Realized P&L (90d)
-$229
Unrealized P&L
-$37.7K
Hit rate
74.4%
Resolved (90d)
1,356
Trades (90d)
4,133
21,104 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.43M
$6.77M lifetime
Avg / trade
$321
Open exposure
$5.54K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 10-29 13:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 217 days
Categories
Politics
48% 26% -$182,981
Other
44% 34% -$297,080
Sports
7% 32% -$11,490
Crypto
1% 18% -$4,254
Pop-Culture
0% 20% +$126
Tech
0% 26% -$119
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 440 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England England +1,592 $1,410 98¢ $1.6K +$158 10-29 08:16
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +23,332 $17,567 6¢ $1.5K -$16,051 07-08 22:36
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +68,516 $24,626 1¢ $719 -$23,906 05-08 22:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +484 -$2,501 46¢ $225 +$2,726 10-29 06:15
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +158 $66 99¢ $156 +$90 07-09 18:09
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +251 $138 53¢ $133 -$5 10-29 02:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +131 $118 98¢ $129 +$11 05-13 14:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +196 $139 54¢ $105 -$34 10-29 00:45
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +901 $81 12¢ $104 +$22 09-27 23:59
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +573 $90 15¢ $89 -$1 09-06 03:29
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +112 $99 70¢ $79 -$20 09-14 10:42
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,249 $89 6¢ $72 -$16 08-14 10:59
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +112 $99 57¢ $64 -$34 06-01 13:26
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +854 $69 8¢ $64 -$5 10-29 02:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +57 $50 97¢ $55 +$5 10-29 02:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +284 $57 18¢ $50 -$8 08-03 02:21
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +1,846 $166 3¢ $48 -$118 07-18 07:17
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +583 $56 8¢ $44 -$13 09-14 21:29
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,864 $102 2¢ $43 -$59 10-28 12:49
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +531 $55 6¢ $34 -$21 07-07 16:21
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +442 $36 8¢ $33 -$3 10-26 17:29
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +353 $47 9¢ $32 -$15 08-25 13:24
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,330 $190 2¢ $31 -$158 06-22 20:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +40 $23 66¢ $27 +$4 10-25 21:16
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +1,486 $161 2¢ $23 -$138 06-25 21:45
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +121 $18 18¢ $22 +$4 10-19 18:57
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +87 $67 24¢ $21 -$46 10-28 04:40
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +102 $19 18¢ $18 -$1 10-27 10:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +457 $62 4¢ $18 -$44 09-23 05:46
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +232 $23 8¢ $17 -$6 09-03 13:44