Realized P&L (24h)
-$159
Unrealized P&L
-$39.4K
Hit rate
69.6%
Resolved (24h)
38
Trades (24h)
28
21,451 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$8.81K
$6.81M lifetime
Avg / trade
$317
Open exposure
$8.51K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 11-05 04:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 224 days
Categories
Politics
48% 26% -$184,195
Other
44% 34% -$299,661
Sports
7% 32% -$11,697
Crypto
1% 20% -$4,205
Pop-Culture
0% 20% +$126
Tech
0% 26% -$119
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 440 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,566 $4,708 96¢ $5.3K +$630 11-04 15:23
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +23,332 $17,567 4¢ $933 -$16,634 07-08 22:36
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +68,516 $24,626 1¢ $514 -$24,112 05-08 22:56
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +573 $90 26¢ $151 +$61 09-06 03:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +207 $146 72¢ $149 +$4 10-30 01:12
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? Yes +4,044 $1,305 4¢ $144 -$1,162 09-22 02:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +131 $118 98¢ $128 +$10 05-13 14:09
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +266 $144 46¢ $122 -$22 11-04 00:52
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +901 $81 12¢ $113 +$31 09-27 23:59
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,167 $524 4¢ $87 -$437 11-04 06:30
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,864 $102 4¢ $84 -$18 10-28 12:49
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,249 $89 6¢ $79 -$9 08-14 10:59
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +112 $99 68¢ $77 -$22 09-14 10:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +219 -$2,605 28¢ $61 +$2,667 11-04 08:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +101 $72 57¢ $57 -$15 11-04 20:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +57 $50 100¢ $57 +$7 10-29 02:40
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes +1,098 $62 5¢ $53 -$8 11-01 17:23
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +1,846 $166 2¢ $42 -$125 07-18 07:17
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +531 $55 6¢ $34 -$21 07-07 16:21
Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes +453 $34 8¢ $34 +$1 11-04 17:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +284 $57 12¢ $33 -$25 08-03 02:21
Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes +271 $28 12¢ $31 +$3 11-01 05:13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +353 $47 8¢ $30 -$17 08-25 13:24
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +121 $18 22¢ $27 +$9 10-19 18:57
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +583 $56 4¢ $26 -$30 09-14 21:29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +1,486 $161 2¢ $26 -$135 06-25 21:45
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +149 $13 15¢ $22 +$9 10-31 23:11
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +102 $19 18¢ $19 $0 10-27 10:31
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +646 $18 3¢ $19 +$0 10-27 05:01
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +98 $13 17¢ $16 +$3 11-04 17:47