Realized P&L (7d)
-$24.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$37.2K
Hit rate
46.6%
Resolved (7d)
178
Trades (7d)
979
21,116 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$222.7K
$6.77M lifetime
Avg / trade
$321
Open exposure
$5.39K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 10-29 20:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 217 days
Categories
Politics
48% 26% -$182,981
Other
44% 34% -$296,675
Sports
7% 32% -$11,490
Crypto
1% 18% -$4,254
Pop-Culture
0% 20% +$126
Tech
0% 26% -$119
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 440 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +23,332 $17,567 10¢ $2.2K -$15,351 07-08 22:36
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner CTBC Flying Oyster — +958 $680 67¢ $642 -$38 10-29 21:13
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +68,516 $24,626 1¢ $617 -$24,009 05-08 22:56
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +370 $193 52¢ $191 -$2 10-29 20:35
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +158 $66 100¢ $157 +$92 07-09 18:09
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +251 $138 54¢ $134 -$4 10-29 02:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +131 $118 95¢ $124 +$6 05-13 14:09
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,249 $89 10¢ $121 +$32 08-14 10:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +269 -$2,591 42¢ $114 +$2,705 10-29 21:33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +196 $139 57¢ $113 -$26 10-29 00:45
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +901 $81 12¢ $104 +$22 09-27 23:59
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +573 $90 15¢ $89 -$1 09-06 03:29
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +112 $99 74¢ $83 -$16 09-14 10:42
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +1,486 $161 5¢ $77 -$83 06-25 21:45
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +112 $99 59¢ $67 -$32 06-01 13:26
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +854 $69 8¢ $64 -$5 10-29 02:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +284 $57 20¢ $55 -$2 08-03 02:21
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +1,846 $166 3¢ $48 -$118 07-18 07:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +57 $50 82¢ $47 -$3 10-29 02:40
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,864 $102 2¢ $46 -$56 10-28 12:49
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +583 $56 8¢ $44 -$13 09-14 21:29
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +531 $55 6¢ $34 -$21 07-07 16:21
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +442 $36 8¢ $33 -$3 10-26 17:29
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,330 $190 2¢ $31 -$158 06-22 20:24
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +353 $47 8¢ $29 -$18 08-25 13:24
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +87 $67 31¢ $27 -$39 10-28 04:40
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +40 $23 68¢ $27 +$4 10-25 21:16
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +121 $18 18¢ $22 +$4 10-19 18:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +457 $62 4¢ $18 -$44 09-23 05:46
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +102 $19 16¢ $17 -$2 10-27 10:31