Realized P&L (30d)
-$44.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$39.5K
Hit rate
64.1%
Resolved (30d)
587
Trades (30d)
2,000
21,060 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$452.3K
$6.76M lifetime
Avg / trade
$321
Open exposure
$5.36K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 10-28 16:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 216 days
Categories
Politics
48% 26% -$182,981
Other
44% 34% -$297,469
Sports
7% 31% -$11,662
Crypto
1% 19% -$4,248
Pop-Culture
0% 20% +$126
Tech
0% 26% -$119
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 440 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +23,332 $17,567 6¢ $1.5K -$16,051 07-08 22:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3,145 -$1,313 46¢ $1.4K +$2,744 10-28 16:27
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +68,516 $24,626 1¢ $685 -$23,940 05-08 22:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +6,937 $2,012 4¢ $277 -$1,734 10-15 06:53
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +158 $66 100¢ $157 +$92 07-09 18:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +131 $118 98¢ $129 +$10 05-13 14:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +204 $143 55¢ $111 -$32 10-28 01:12
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +901 $81 12¢ $104 +$22 09-27 23:59
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +573 $90 15¢ $87 -$2 09-06 03:29
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +95 $16 91¢ $86 +$70 10-19 17:43
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,249 $89 7¢ $84 -$5 08-14 10:59
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +112 $99 72¢ $81 -$17 09-14 10:42
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +112 $99 57¢ $64 -$34 06-01 13:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +284 $57 20¢ $55 -$2 08-03 02:21
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,864 $102 3¢ $49 -$53 10-28 12:49
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +1,846 $166 3¢ $48 -$118 07-18 07:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +46 $39 96¢ $44 +$5 10-28 00:01
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +583 $56 8¢ $44 -$13 09-14 21:29
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +531 $55 8¢ $40 -$15 07-07 16:21
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +442 $36 8¢ $38 +$2 10-26 17:29
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +353 $47 9¢ $32 -$15 08-25 13:24
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,330 $190 2¢ $31 -$158 06-22 20:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +40 $23 66¢ $27 +$4 10-25 21:16
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +1,486 $161 2¢ $25 -$136 06-25 21:45
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +87 $67 27¢ $24 -$43 10-28 04:40
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +121 $18 17¢ $20 +$2 10-19 18:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +457 $62 4¢ $19 -$43 09-23 05:46
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +102 $19 18¢ $18 -$1 10-27 10:31
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +232 $23 8¢ $17 -$6 09-03 13:44
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +91 $12 18¢ $17 +$5 10-13 18:08