Pink-Outfit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.53K

Hit rate

92.7%

Resolved

5,337

Trades

101,791

lifetime

Volume

$6.53M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

$87.1K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-28 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 206 days

Categories

Other

57% 87% +$25,237

Politics

30% 87% +$4,277

Sports

12% 88% +$2,765

Tech

1% 67% -$12,103

Pop-Culture

0% 87% -$82

Crypto

0% 84% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+35,000	$26,850	98¢	$34.3K	+$7,450	10-06 15:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+80,000	$15,950	12¢	$9.2K	-$6,750	10-28 13:54
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+2,541	$2,123	99¢	$2.5K	+$386	06-12 01:17
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	+1,868	$1,540	99¢	$1.9K	+$315	06-18 06:07
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,754	$1,750	100¢	$1.8K	+$1	06-12 01:17
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,753	$1,749	100¢	$1.8K	+$3	06-10 22:06
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,753	$1,751	100¢	$1.8K	+$1	06-10 21:56
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,753	$1,751	100¢	$1.8K	-$1	06-10 21:56
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,753	$1,749	100¢	$1.8K	+$1	06-10 21:56
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,753	$1,745	100¢	$1.8K	+$5	06-10 21:56
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,753	$1,750	100¢	$1.8K	$0	06-10 21:56
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,753	$1,741	100¢	$1.8K	+$10	06-10 21:56
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,753	$1,746	100¢	$1.7K	+$2	06-15 22:48
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,753	$1,750	100¢	$1.7K	-$5	06-10 21:56
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,753	$1,748	99¢	$1.7K	-$6	06-10 21:56
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,742	$1,730	100¢	$1.7K	+$7	05-17 16:39
2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	+1,728	$1,718	100¢	$1.7K	+$9	05-10 22:03
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	+1,737	$1,706	99¢	$1.7K	+$18	05-27 18:09
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,754	$1,101	96¢	$1.7K	+$582	06-15 20:07
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+1,730	$1,377	94¢	$1.6K	+$240	05-11 11:39
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,466	$1,387	98¢	$1.4K	+$45	05-13 17:53
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	+1,410	$1,288	100¢	$1.4K	+$117	06-05 18:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,757	$1,531	76¢	$1.3K	-$199	06-14 04:13
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+1,297	$1,124	100¢	$1.3K	+$171	05-09 11:28
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	+1,727	$1,148	72¢	$1.3K	+$104	05-10 17:11
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+1,230	$1,156	100¢	$1.2K	+$72	04-30 03:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,756	$1,063	56¢	$975	-$88	06-19 04:56
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+903	$892	100¢	$902	+$10	05-07 21:32
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+829	$826	100¢	$828	+$2	04-29 22:11
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+826	$795	100¢	$824	+$29	04-29 22:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	80	$101.1K	75,200	50,200	+25,000	No	+$10,363	09-26 19:05
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	153	$65.6K	65,634	0	+65,634	No	+$66	02-02 22:01
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	406	$62.7K	62,928	0	+62,928	No	+$276	02-02 21:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	163	$62.2K	62,278	0	+62,278	No	+$80	04-05 14:51
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	415	$60.8K	62,116	0	+62,116	No	+$1,331	02-03 08:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	213	$60.6K	60,832	0	+60,832	No	+$225	04-05 14:51
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	471	$58.0K	59,461	0	+59,461	No	+$1,479	02-02 22:01
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	370	$56.1K	56,547	0	+56,547	No	+$487	01-31 04:34
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	578	$55.0K	55,991	0	+55,991	No	+$985	02-02 21:30
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	550	$51.7K	61,101	0	+61,101	No	+$9,360	02-01 23:50
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	149	$51.7K	51,844	0	+51,844	No	+$140	04-02 02:06
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	258	$51.3K	69,692	0	+69,692	No	+$18,415	06-11 01:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	64	$48.6K	122,500	42,500	+80,000	open	—	10-28 13:54
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	288	$42.6K	55,892	0	+55,892	No	+$13,305	04-12 18:31
will the us next strike iran on january 30 2026 et 866	379	$39.5K	40,935	0	+40,935	No	+$1,460	01-31 02:15
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	341	$38.8K	40,949	0	+40,949	No	+$2,156	01-31 02:15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	206	$38.5K	59,641	0	+59,641	No	+$21,097	04-05 14:51
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	206	$37.9K	37,951	0	+37,951	No	+$98	01-30 06:04
will the us next strike iran on january 29 2026 et 159	336	$37.3K	38,167	0	+38,167	No	+$818	01-30 05:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	42	$37.2K	21,000	21,000	+0	No	+$4,072	08-31 03:43
will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	260	$36.6K	38,829	0	+38,829	No	+$2,220	02-01 01:55
will the us next strike iran on january 27 2026 et 332	218	$35.3K	35,896	0	+35,896	No	+$618	01-29 10:27
will the us next strike iran on january 28 2026 et 699	244	$32.0K	32,618	0	+32,618	No	+$667	01-30 20:36
will alexander zverev win the 2026 australian open	228	$30.0K	31,209	0	+31,209	No	+$1,185	01-30 09:07
will the us next strike iran on january 26 2026 et 241	185	$28.9K	29,522	0	+29,522	No	+$669	01-27 19:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	29	$26.8K	35,000	0	+35,000	open	—	10-06 15:53
will ben shelton win the 2026 australian open	97	$25.9K	26,179	0	+26,179	No	+$248	01-28 08:14
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	189	$25.9K	36,557	0	+36,557	Yes	-$25,913	06-03 22:16
will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	153	$25.7K	26,294	0	+26,294	No	+$614	01-26 15:06
will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1 575	113	$25.2K	25,976	0	+25,976	No	+$815	01-25 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:54:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10,000	11¢	$1,100	0x83c181…
10-28 07:51:01	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0c45b9…
10-28 07:09:07	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd87c4a…
10-28 03:59:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x05cfa7…
10-28 03:56:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd67413…
10-28 03:56:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	No	SELL	18	53¢	$10	0x0c93e4…
10-28 03:34:10	Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x993e31…
10-28 02:56:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	No	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xf54c03…
10-28 02:56:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbe8536…
10-28 01:32:32	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x924310…
10-28 01:16:24	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb9b9cd…
10-28 00:38:03	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x74ec61…
10-28 00:36:56	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x46795e…
10-28 00:36:54	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfe685c…
10-28 00:36:54	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xc9b52d…
10-28 00:36:54	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc40b54…
10-28 00:36:54	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x15965c…
10-28 00:29:54	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe0df75…
10-28 00:29:54	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xa23125…
10-28 00:29:54	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x74a986…
10-28 00:29:54	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x247267…
10-28 00:29:54	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x22a22c…
10-28 00:05:57	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	94¢	$35	0xeb60cd…
10-28 00:05:36	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0xf9300d…
10-28 00:05:33	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xed14ca…
10-28 00:05:33	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xacd904…
10-27 23:55:26	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe910e4…
10-27 23:55:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdf4b59…
10-27 23:55:26	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x749ab6…
10-27 23:55:26	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52897b…
10-27 23:55:26	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x316d37…
10-27 23:50:02	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x943f72…
10-27 23:16:29	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb0a618…
10-27 23:13:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xb473c9…
10-27 23:09:11	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x34904f…
10-27 23:02:53	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x8665f4…
10-27 22:49:21	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x044dd7…
10-27 22:49:20	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa3cb96…
10-27 22:49:12	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3a6409…
10-27 22:48:53	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x2dda36…
10-27 22:46:02	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xd521bc…
10-27 22:45:56	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x497639…
10-27 22:44:53	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x8a9bd8…
10-27 22:44:41	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa6d7cf…
10-27 22:44:20	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x8535c0…
10-27 22:39:39	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x8fed4f…
10-27 22:38:50	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x39de8b…
10-27 22:38:41	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1cf579…
10-27 22:38:17	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x666e13…
10-27 22:38:14	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x74bba2…
10-27 22:37:56	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xef3630…
10-27 22:37:54	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x54b6b1…
10-27 22:37:35	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe721d8…
10-27 22:37:18	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x09f9a9…
10-27 22:36:57	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf2310c…
10-27 22:36:57	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x9585fb…
10-27 22:36:57	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x46dc32…
10-27 22:36:57	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x340aac…
10-27 22:36:57	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x2095d0…
10-27 22:36:08	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb63d75…
10-27 22:35:27	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xe3c995…
10-27 22:35:20	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe80500…
10-27 22:35:20	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x787dc5…
10-27 22:32:05	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xb8c08e…
10-27 22:31:56	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x16ae89…
10-27 22:30:41	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x281761…
10-27 22:27:23	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xc3636e…
10-27 22:15:26	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdc8438…
10-27 22:15:15	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xceb295…
10-27 22:14:50	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9a0c30…
10-27 22:10:15	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xc17635…
10-27 22:07:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x851bc8…
10-27 22:02:45	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xf1c9b4…
10-27 22:01:03	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	No	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x34a37c…
10-27 21:59:38	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x3f322c…
10-27 21:59:17	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x799dd1…
10-27 21:58:27	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x3138a4…
10-27 21:58:26	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xa65086…
10-27 21:58:18	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xe27f23…
10-27 21:57:29	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xbbbe61…
10-27 21:57:17	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x104154…
10-27 21:43:48	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x742a13…
10-27 21:43:36	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x77a35d…
10-27 21:39:42	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	94¢	$142	0xdeccd1…
10-27 21:32:44	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xff21a3…
10-27 21:32:29	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb7bf63…
10-27 21:32:15	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2f967c…
10-27 21:32:00	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x581378…
10-27 21:31:45	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x939f56…
10-27 21:31:29	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x921ecb…
10-27 21:31:29	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5e5de4…
10-27 21:31:15	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9d7633…
10-27 21:31:05	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe62fea…
10-27 21:31:03	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xaa2afb…
10-27 21:30:51	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3b54f1…
10-27 21:30:50	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x072623…
10-27 21:30:38	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe17bc9…
10-27 21:30:38	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb38c32…
10-27 21:30:24	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2f75d9…
10-27 21:30:24	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x25f12a…