Realized P&L (90d)
+$18.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.85K
Hit rate
99.1%
Resolved (90d)
213
Trades (90d)
623
101,302 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$235.1K
$6.51M lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$86.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 10-30 11:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 207 days
Categories
Other
57% 87% +$25,240
Politics
30% 87% +$4,286
Sports
12% 88% +$2,765
Tech
1% 67% -$12,103
Pop-Culture
0% 87% -$82
Crypto
0% 84% -$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +35,000 $26,850 98¢ $34.1K +$7,275 10-06 15:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +80,000 $15,950 11¢ $8.4K -$7,550 10-28 13:54
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,541 $2,123 99¢ $2.5K +$391 06-12 01:17
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +1,868 $1,540 99¢ $1.8K +$307 06-18 06:07
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,754 $1,750 100¢ $1.8K +$1 06-12 01:17
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,753 $1,751 100¢ $1.8K -$1 06-10 21:56
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,753 $1,745 100¢ $1.8K +$5 06-10 21:56
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,753 $1,741 100¢ $1.8K +$10 06-10 21:56
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,753 $1,749 100¢ $1.8K +$1 06-10 21:56
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,753 $1,751 100¢ $1.8K $0 06-10 21:56
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,753 $1,749 100¢ $1.8K +$2 06-10 22:06
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,753 $1,750 100¢ $1.8K $0 06-10 21:56
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,753 $1,750 100¢ $1.7K -$3 06-10 21:56
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,753 $1,748 99¢ $1.7K -$7 06-10 21:56
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,742 $1,730 100¢ $1.7K +$7 05-17 16:39
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,753 $1,746 99¢ $1.7K -$16 06-15 22:48
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +1,728 $1,718 100¢ $1.7K +$8 05-10 22:03
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +1,737 $1,706 99¢ $1.7K +$18 05-27 18:09
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,754 $1,101 94¢ $1.7K +$556 06-15 20:07
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,730 $1,377 94¢ $1.6K +$240 05-11 11:39
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,466 $1,387 97¢ $1.4K +$36 05-13 17:53
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +1,410 $1,288 100¢ $1.4K +$117 06-05 18:15
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +1,727 $1,148 76¢ $1.3K +$173 05-10 17:11
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,297 $1,124 100¢ $1.3K +$168 05-09 11:28
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,230 $1,156 100¢ $1.2K +$72 04-30 03:04
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,757 $1,531 67¢ $1.2K -$359 06-14 04:13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,234 $636 47¢ $1.0K +$414 06-20 01:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,756 $1,063 59¢ $1.0K -$26 06-19 04:56
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +903 $892 100¢ $902 +$10 05-07 21:32
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +829 $826 100¢ $828 +$2 04-29 22:11