Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open
Total volume
$624
$129 in 24h
Trades
23
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$70,523
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-11 21:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $202 | $202 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $349 | $349 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $21 | $40 | $19 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $38 | $38 |
| Median | 3 | — | $14 | $14 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $3 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $178 | $178 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $353 | $353 |
| unranked | 3 | $21 | $5 | +$16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admired-Map 0x791d…d914 | Yes | +4,000 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-07 19:15 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +200 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 05-10 04:02 |
| Far-Off-Drink 0xf17a…7b1f | Yes | +200 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 03:53 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +149 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 05-06 15:35 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +131 | $129 | $129 | 2 | 05-10 08:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xd32c…a4c2 | No | +38 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-10 04:02 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-07 09:04 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-06 21:11 |
| Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 04:02 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 09:04 |
| Calculating-Plugin 0xe71d…7359 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-06 03:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xd39c…8d35 | No | +3 | $3 | $6 | 4 | 05-11 21:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 21:52:46 | (anonymous) 0xd39c…8d35 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1646ad… |
| 05-11 17:12:56 | (anonymous) 0xd39c…8d35 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xb12042… |
| 05-11 13:14:05 | (anonymous) 0xd39c…8d35 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x47a47c… |
| 05-11 11:02:03 | (anonymous) 0xd39c…8d35 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x3d7b18… |
| 05-10 08:21:30 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x692bbb… |
| 05-10 04:02:04 | (anonymous) 0xd32c…a4c2 | No | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0xdcbbfe… |
| 05-10 04:02:04 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x138d2b… |
| 05-10 04:02:04 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $199 | 0x6f66b7… |
| 05-10 04:02:04 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc830f2… |
| 05-10 03:21:07 | (anonymous) 0x9e7c…f06f | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x4ea283… |
| 05-10 03:20:55 | (anonymous) 0x9e7c…f06f | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x958ea7… |
| 05-09 22:00:13 | Ironclad-Prey 0x0c59…b98b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd830ed… |
| 05-08 05:18:45 | Meek-Nurse 0x553f…bcfd | Yes | SELL | 47 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x03daed… |
| 05-07 19:15:40 | Admired-Map 0x791d…d914 | Yes | BUY | 4,000 | 0¢ | $20 | 0x965130… |
| 05-07 13:05:38 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x92c371… |
| 05-07 09:04:31 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd37ea0… |
| 05-07 09:04:31 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x14a282… |
| 05-07 03:53:11 | Far-Off-Drink 0xf17a…7b1f | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9fa0da… |
| 05-06 21:11:46 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x4347f9… |
| 05-06 15:35:30 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 149 | 100¢ | $148 | 0x63b7e4… |
| 05-06 03:59:32 | Calculating-Plugin 0xe71d…7359 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x6286e4… |
| 05-05 06:40:08 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x0314a4… |
| 05-05 00:39:34 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x799097… |