Realized P&L
-$28
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
0.7%
Resolved
21
Trades
1,353
lifetime
Volume
$1.89M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.40K
Open exposure
$226
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 07-23 05:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
42% 40% $-32
Sports
24% 50% $-2
Politics
18% 100% +$6
Crypto
15% 92% $-1
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -27 $-17 78¢ $-21 $-4 05-31 06:11
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -22 $-18 85¢ $-19 $-1 06-01 05:23
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -14 $-13 96¢ $-13 +$0 06-05 05:08
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No -18 $-15 70¢ $-12 +$3 06-05 04:25
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-15 64¢ $-12 +$3 06-01 05:23
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 $-10 88¢ $-11 $-0 07-09 09:26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-16 03:20
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes -19 $-15 54¢ $-10 +$5 06-05 04:26
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-8 84¢ $-9 $-1 06-13 05:26
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -10 $-9 98¢ $-9 $-0 06-26 07:07
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-8 89¢ $-9 $-1 06-10 05:02
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 06-26 07:07
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-9 97¢ $-9 $-0 06-26 07:07
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -9 $-9 96¢ $-9 $-0 06-10 05:02
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No -9 $-8 96¢ $-8 $-0 07-10 05:07
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes -11 $-9 77¢ $-8 +$1 06-22 04:06
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -8 $-8 95¢ $-8 $-0 07-10 05:07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -8 $-8 96¢ $-8 $-0 07-10 05:08
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-8 99¢ $-8 $-0 06-16 03:21
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -7 $-7 98¢ $-7 $-0 06-12 03:04
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +16 $5 40¢ $7 +$2 07-20 14:39
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 92¢ $-5 $-0 06-05 05:08
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? No +3 $2 88¢ $3 +$1 06-13 05:27