Calculating-Plugin 0xe71d94…6b7359
whale cold 26L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.29K
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
0.2%
Resolved
694
Trades
2,150
lifetime
Volume
$3.86M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.80K
Open exposure
$227
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 10-07 05:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Other
37% 59% -$897
Politics
29% 48% -$641
Sports
26% 32% -$547
Crypto
8% 90% -$198
Tech
0% 70% -$27
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -17 -$16 92¢ $-16 $0 06-01 05:24
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No -19 -$15 77¢ $-15 +$0 06-01 05:23
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -13 $10 100¢ $-13 -$22 05-28 04:29
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +15 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 10-06 05:13
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -11 -$10 98¢ $-11 $0 06-05 05:08
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No -11 -$8 90¢ $-10 -$2 06-13 05:26
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -9 -$9 98¢ $-9 $0 06-26 07:07
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -9 -$9 97¢ $-9 $0 06-10 05:02
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -8 -$8 97¢ $-8 $0 07-10 05:07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -8 -$8 98¢ $-8 $0 07-10 05:08
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8 -$8 100¢ $-8 $0 06-16 03:21
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -8 -$7 98¢ $-7 $0 08-04 16:34
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -8 -$7 97¢ $-7 $0 06-26 07:07
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -7 -$7 99¢ $-7 $0 06-12 03:04
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -7 $0 100¢ $-7 -$7 05-28 04:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +7 $7 96¢ $7 $0 05-25 04:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +6 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 09-10 16:37
No one announced as next James Bond? No +7 $5 84¢ $6 +$1 08-18 16:35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 84¢ $6 +$1 08-29 05:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +7 $5 85¢ $6 +$1 07-21 09:28
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 08-07 15:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 07-31 15:59
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 10-07 05:24
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-31 16:00
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 10-06 05:13
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-16 03:23
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-01 04:54
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +8 $5 61¢ $5 $0 06-22 04:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -5 -$4 97¢ $-5 -$1 05-23 03:11
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$5 96¢ $-5 $0 06-05 05:08