Realized P&L
-$28
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
0.7%
Resolved
21
Trades
1,306
lifetime
Volume
$1.89M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.45K
Open exposure
$286
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 06-05 05:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
42% 40% $-32
Sports
24% 50% $-2
Politics
18% 100% +$6
Crypto
15% 92% $-1
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -27 $-17 74¢ $-20 $-3 05-31 06:11
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -22 $-18 80¢ $-18 $-0 06-01 05:23
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes -19 $-15 87¢ $-16 $-2 06-05 04:26
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No -18 $-15 88¢ $-16 $-0 06-05 04:25
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? No -15 $-14 98¢ $-14 +$0 06-05 04:27
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No -15 $-14 94¢ $-14 $-0 06-05 04:28
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? No -14 $-14 97¢ $-14 $-0 06-05 04:27
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -14 $-13 97¢ $-13 $-0 06-05 05:08
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? No -14 $-13 98¢ $-13 +$0 06-05 04:28
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? No -13 $-13 99¢ $-13 $-0 06-05 05:08
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -14 $-12 94¢ $-13 $-1 06-05 05:13
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -13 $-13 99¢ $-13 $-0 06-01 04:54
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? No -13 $-13 98¢ $-12 +$0 06-05 05:09
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-15 64¢ $-12 +$3 06-01 05:23
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30? No -13 $-12 97¢ $-12 $-0 06-05 05:12
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? No -13 $-12 98¢ $-12 $-0 06-05 05:12
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? Yes -13 $-12 92¢ $-12 $-0 06-05 05:13
SBF released from custody in 2026? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 $-0 06-10 05:01
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -9 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 06-10 05:02
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-8 82¢ $-9 $-0 06-10 05:02
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30? No -9 $-8 94¢ $-8 $-0 06-10 05:02
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? No +13 $10 57¢ $7 $-3 05-29 03:49
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 88¢ $-4 +$0 06-05 05:08