NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?
open
Total volume
$1,103
$20 in 24h
Trades
47
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$2,233
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-10-22
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-18 08:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $397
vs crowd: 7% YES on $932)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $545 | $545 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $3 | $67 | $65 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $16 | $201 | $184 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $48 | $51 | $3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $397 | $397 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $1 | $270 | $269 |
| Median | 4 | $15 | $50 | $35 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 9 | $43 | $147 | $103 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brief-Withdrawal 0xbe1a…0f22 | Yes | +516 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-14 09:29 |
| Violet-Mercury 0xd529…f0d4 | No | +427 | $397 | $397 | 1 | 06-14 09:29 |
| Prickly-Filly 0x55d9…d702 | Yes | +243 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-09 09:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +196 | $3 | $10 | 18 | 06-16 15:15 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +159 | $148 | $148 | 2 | 06-14 09:29 |
| Glorious-Locker 0x834f…8b6e | No | +102 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 05-29 15:18 |
| Admirable-Netbook 0xabdd…2d96 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 06-09 09:04 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +93 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 15:15 |
| Alarming-Research 0xb3b3…c4ef | No | +41 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 06-06 18:56 |
| Self-Reliant-Spool 0x7aa4…1ffe | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-06 19:05 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +28 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-18 08:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x2148…7621 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 22:58 |
| Acceptable-Angle 0xb12b…2465 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-31 05:29 |
| Frizzy-Fatigues 0x9fbf…3829 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-09 09:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x8291…e1a2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-11 04:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb43…6dbc | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 09:53 |
| Oily-Bay 0xf716…28fe | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 03:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 08:42:58 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x80a2da… |
| 06-18 08:42:58 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x80a2da… |
| 06-16 15:15:04 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 121 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x486245… |
| 06-16 15:15:04 | Awkward-Anguish 0x81ed…59f5 | Yes | SELL | 361 | 2¢ | $8 | 0x486245… |
| 06-16 15:15:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 93 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x486245… |
| 06-16 15:15:04 | Dependent-Objective 0xb7f3…e279 | No | SELL | 58 | 97¢ | $56 | 0x486245… |
| 06-16 15:15:04 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x486245… |
| 06-16 15:15:04 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x486245… |
| 06-16 08:36:27 | (anonymous) 0xcf65…d2f5 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x55587f… |
| 06-16 08:36:27 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x55587f… |
| 06-14 17:00:43 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2a4ba2… |
| 06-14 17:00:43 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x2a4ba2… |
| 06-14 17:00:43 | Dependent-Objective 0xb7f3…e279 | No | SELL | 42 | 97¢ | $41 | 0x2a4ba2… |
| 06-14 17:00:43 | Pretty-Shred 0x4faf…5812 | Yes | SELL | 102 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x2a4ba2… |
| 06-14 09:29:27 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 83 | 93¢ | $78 | 0x13d929… |
| 06-14 09:29:27 | Violet-Mercury 0xd529…f0d4 | No | BUY | 427 | 93¢ | $397 | 0x13d929… |
| 06-14 09:29:27 | Brief-Withdrawal 0xbe1a…0f22 | Yes | BUY | 516 | 7¢ | $36 | 0x13d929… |
| 06-14 09:29:27 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x13d929… |
| 06-11 04:13:28 | (anonymous) 0x8291…e1a2 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xc44d0d… |
| 06-11 04:13:28 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc44d0d… |
| 06-09 09:04:28 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 76 | 93¢ | $70 | 0x665287… |
| 06-09 09:04:28 | Admirable-Netbook 0xabdd…2d96 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x665287… |
| 06-09 09:04:28 | Prickly-Filly 0x55d9…d702 | Yes | BUY | 243 | 6¢ | $15 | 0x665287… |
| 06-09 09:04:28 | Frizzy-Fatigues 0x9fbf…3829 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x665287… |
| 06-09 09:04:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 24 | 94¢ | $23 | 0x665287… |
| 06-09 09:04:28 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x665287… |
| 06-07 22:58:00 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xfc4c1c… |
| 06-07 22:58:00 | (anonymous) 0x2148…7621 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xfc4c1c… |
| 06-07 22:58:00 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xfc4c1c… |
| 06-06 19:05:36 | Self-Reliant-Spool 0x7aa4…1ffe | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xba5740… |
| 06-06 19:05:36 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xba5740… |
| 06-06 18:56:36 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd0d258… |
| 06-06 18:56:36 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd0d258… |
| 06-06 18:56:36 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xd0d258… |
| 06-06 18:56:36 | Alarming-Research 0xb3b3…c4ef | No | BUY | 41 | 96¢ | $39 | 0xd0d258… |
| 06-06 08:29:36 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xeb8fbf… |
| 06-06 08:29:36 | (anonymous) 0xcf65…d2f5 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xeb8fbf… |
| 06-05 14:16:25 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc845d2… |
| 06-05 14:16:25 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0xc845d2… |
| 06-02 03:42:45 | Oily-Bay 0xf716…28fe | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xbd3643… |
| 06-02 03:42:45 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbd3643… |
| 05-31 05:29:03 | Acceptable-Angle 0xb12b…2465 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xc36c68… |
| 05-31 05:29:03 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xc36c68… |
| 05-29 15:18:23 | Pretty-Shred 0x4faf…5812 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x3d192e… |
| 05-29 15:18:23 | Glorious-Locker 0x834f…8b6e | No | BUY | 102 | 95¢ | $97 | 0x3d192e… |
| 05-29 09:53:09 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x2f6815… |
| 05-29 09:53:09 | (anonymous) 0xdb43…6dbc | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x2f6815… |