Realized P&L
+$1.97K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
67.6%
Resolved
162
Trades
381
lifetime
Volume
$139.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$366
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 07-29 16:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Politics
59%
50%
+$5,974
Other
31%
29%
-$1,974
Sports
8%
14%
-$1,305
Crypto
2%
44%
-$704
Pop-Culture
0%
0%
-$20
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | 8 | $12.8K | 10,311 | 10,311 | +0 | No | +$2,198 | 04-26 11:13 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | 6 | $10.5K | 7,656 | 7,656 | +0 | No | +$755 | 04-28 10:38 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | 3 | $10.4K | 7,565 | 7,565 | +0 | No | +$4,388 | 05-23 01:23 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | 5 | $7.0K | 4,355 | 4,355 | +0 | No | +$542 | 04-22 10:21 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 13 | $7.0K | 11,568 | 11,568 | +0 | No | +$2,201 | 04-20 04:26 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026 | 4 | $5.9K | 4,342 | 4,342 | +0 | No | +$1,588 | 04-22 04:13 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 5 | $4.8K | 25,047 | 6,755 | +18,292 | Yes | -$1,487 | 07-29 15:55 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026 | 4 | $4.8K | 4,434 | 4,434 | +0 | Yes | -$348 | 04-28 01:43 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026 | 4 | $4.6K | 4,042 | 4,042 | +0 | No | +$1,935 | 04-21 08:23 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | 3 | $4.3K | 6,276 | 2,060 | +4,215 | Yes | -$1,338 | 06-20 03:07 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | 2 | $4.0K | 2,632 | 2,632 | +0 | No | +$8 | 05-05 06:39 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | 4 | $2.9K | 6,494 | 6,494 | +0 | No | -$146 | 06-12 16:43 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | 5 | $2.7K | 2,590 | 2,590 | +0 | No | +$1,343 | 04-21 16:24 |
| nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | 4 | $2.6K | 3,571 | 2,500 | +1,071 | Knicks | +$1,660 | 06-11 03:35 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026 | 3 | $2.6K | 1,698 | 1,698 | +0 | No | +$427 | 04-19 03:47 |
| us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045 | 2 | $2.5K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | Yes | +$580 | 07-29 15:52 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | 2 | $2.3K | 3,228 | 3,228 | +0 | No | +$256 | 05-23 01:41 |
| nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 | 5 | $2.2K | 3,891 | 1,429 | +2,462 | Knicks | -$475 | 06-06 02:40 |
| israel closes its airspace by june 15 687 | 7 | $2.1K | 6,768 | 6,768 | +0 | No | -$471 | 06-12 16:37 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 2 | $2.0K | 1,449 | 1,449 | +0 | No | +$43 | 05-06 16:10 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? | 3 | $1.9K | 8,831 | 8,831 | +0 | No | -$220 | 06-10 17:10 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | 2 | $1.9K | 9,231 | 9,231 | +0 | open | — | 07-27 21:01 |
| highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 13c | 4 | $1.9K | 1,113 | 1,113 | +0 | No | +$114 | 03-17 16:33 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | 2 | $1.6K | 3,274 | 3,274 | +0 | No | -$1,177 | 04-21 02:47 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026? | 2 | $1.6K | 999 | 999 | +0 | No | +$138 | 04-23 00:21 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | 3 | $1.5K | 10,765 | 0 | +10,765 | No | -$1,544 | 05-06 16:12 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026 | 2 | $1.4K | 9,402 | 0 | +9,402 | Yes | -$1,371 | 06-20 14:52 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | 5 | $1.3K | 46,045 | 0 | +46,045 | Yes | -$1,277 | 06-11 00:39 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 4 | $1.2K | 1,194 | 1,194 | +0 | Yes | +$201 | 04-05 02:33 |
| usisrael strike yemen by march 31 | 3 | $1.1K | 856 | 856 | +0 | No | +$261 | 03-31 11:25 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||