Late-Mantua 0x7dff73…fc1f35
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$5.55K
Unrealized P&L
+$270
Hit rate
77.2%
Resolved
322
Trades
2,392
lifetime
Volume
$177.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$74
Open exposure
$22.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 01:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 122 days
Categories
Other
51% 54% +$1,671
Politics
41% 56% +$3,118
Crypto
4% 46% +$1,106
Sports
3% 50% -$16
Tech
1% 8% -$329
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,802 $3,868 82¢ $3.9K +$46 10-03 06:07
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3,007 $2,757 92¢ $2.8K +$25 09-22 13:15
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,503 $2,172 92¢ $2.3K +$118 10-01 07:28
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,500 $2,110 92¢ $2.3K +$178 08-02 09:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,200 -$1,056 96¢ $-1153 -$97 07-18 01:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,500 $1,029 72¢ $1.1K +$58 10-27 01:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1,000 $672 88¢ $880 +$208 10-03 20:31
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $823 86¢ $857 +$34 09-20 21:06
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,500 $744 54¢ $816 +$72 10-07 16:12
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $749 72¢ $725 -$24 10-07 09:49
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +704 $520 74¢ $525 +$5 09-29 00:31
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +500 $374 96¢ $478 +$104 10-23 15:52
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +612 $594 76¢ $468 -$127 10-27 01:22
No one announced as next James Bond? No +600 $468 75¢ $451 -$18 10-16 15:30
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +500 $412 86¢ $428 +$16 08-31 05:44
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +603 $444 68¢ $413 -$31 09-24 06:00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -500 -$327 76¢ $-382 -$56 09-20 16:31
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +500 $421 72¢ $358 -$64 09-20 10:16
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $298 66¢ $332 +$35 10-22 03:46
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -300 -$287 98¢ $-293 -$6 07-19 06:33
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $237 74¢ $220 -$16 09-23 01:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +500 $319 42¢ $208 -$112 09-15 21:44
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +304 $198 66¢ $202 +$5 09-22 07:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +300 $201 66¢ $196 -$4 10-24 15:56
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +200 $160 92¢ $183 +$23 08-11 22:13
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +400 $173 40¢ $162 -$11 10-17 18:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $278 15¢ $145 -$133 10-23 17:16
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +200 $128 66¢ $133 +$5 10-21 09:38
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +200 $117 65¢ $130 +$13 10-20 14:48
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $89 38¢ $112 +$23 08-22 05:11