Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

Trades

7,942

lifetime

Volume

$1.04M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 06:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

52% 50% $-3,994

Other

43% 83% $-58

Sports

3% 100% +$4

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	43	$14.4K	7,600	7,600	-0	open	—	02-15 19:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	48	$13.3K	7,400	6,153	+1,247	open	—	05-25 12:00
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	70	$12.2K	15,245	15,245	+0	open	—	02-28 06:41
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	50	$12.1K	7,200	5,200	+2,000	open	—	07-26 19:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	39	$11.8K	6,100	6,100	+0	open	—	04-21 21:01
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	37	$11.7K	6,895	5,678	+1,217	open	—	03-27 19:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	32	$11.7K	6,200	5,800	+400	open	—	05-21 04:55
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	27	$10.5K	5,400	5,400	-0	open	—	01-19 09:49
trump out as president by march 31	30	$10.5K	4,800	5,942	-1,142	open	—	03-24 15:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	57	$10.2K	8,000	4,587	+3,413	open	—	08-07 00:16
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	39	$10.0K	6,000	4,300	+1,700	open	—	03-04 16:07
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	45	$9.3K	4,642	4,900	-258	open	—	02-07 09:12
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	39	$9.1K	4,683	4,700	-17	open	—	02-08 05:24
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	42	$9.1K	5,800	4,391	+1,409	open	—	03-25 03:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	41	$8.9K	7,019	2,900	+4,119	open	—	01-31 17:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	31	$8.8K	4,200	4,786	-586	open	—	06-25 22:38
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	18	$8.7K	4,500	5,100	-600	open	—	02-16 06:18
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	48	$8.4K	6,643	4,791	+1,852	open	—	01-25 10:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	35	$7.6K	7,400	7,400	+0	open	—	03-03 15:43
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	40	$7.5K	4,995	2,942	+2,053	open	—	08-10 17:23
netanyahu out by march 31 854	36	$7.3K	3,200	4,400	-1,200	open	—	03-24 11:50
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	33	$7.1K	7,955	4,927	+3,028	open	—	02-28 06:25
Trump out as President by April 30?	34	$6.7K	3,200	3,600	-400	open	—	04-17 10:36
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	30	$6.6K	4,328	3,200	+1,128	open	—	04-03 00:54
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	27	$6.6K	6,249	800	+5,449	open	—	04-18 07:38
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	30	$6.5K	4,100	4,700	-600	open	—	01-19 13:49
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	41	$6.2K	3,400	3,100	+300	open	—	03-25 09:54
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	32	$5.7K	3,600	2,397	+1,203	open	—	03-11 17:10
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	20	$5.7K	3,152	3,276	-124	open	—	04-07 14:42
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	22	$5.7K	2,908	3,108	-200	open	—	05-06 04:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:21:04	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xc4835c…
08-11 11:05:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x319b69…
08-11 10:08:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x188707…
08-11 07:42:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x830619…
08-11 07:41:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	44	81¢	$36	0xd9e61d…
08-11 07:34:10	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3cee95…
08-11 07:34:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x993f47…
08-11 07:33:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xabc192…
08-11 07:33:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	61	81¢	$49	0xdec102…
08-11 07:33:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0xa3d416…
08-11 07:33:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x7a8d0b…
08-11 07:33:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x8967c6…
08-11 07:33:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x721824…
08-11 07:33:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x48362c…
08-11 07:33:15	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xceadd2…
08-11 07:33:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x360639…
08-11 07:33:10	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	36	81¢	$29	0xba193a…
08-11 07:14:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x925291…
08-11 06:24:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	191	94¢	$179	0x7fdd72…
08-11 06:20:07	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x5475f4…
08-11 05:06:06	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$26	0x83c96e…
08-10 20:50:49	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xb4a7ca…
08-10 19:11:30	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x5aa4d7…
08-10 18:26:18	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x2ed9ab…
08-10 18:26:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xbe4861…
08-10 17:43:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x5bdbb8…
08-10 17:23:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x85a512…
08-10 17:10:45	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Something	BUY	182	10¢	$18	0x670605…
08-10 16:29:00	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Something	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x71843c…
08-10 15:56:27	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x6f2117…
08-10 13:49:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x6c88e5…
08-10 13:09:03	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	250	98¢	$246	0xca947a…
08-10 12:39:19	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xb90f29…
08-10 11:51:27	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x639c36…
08-10 11:51:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xb94b5f…
08-10 11:26:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0xf586a0…
08-10 09:43:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	300	96¢	$289	0x7e2450…
08-10 09:37:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x00099d…
08-10 06:52:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0xf13cc8…
08-10 06:34:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	168	99¢	$166	0xb201eb…
08-10 06:15:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	200	99¢	$197	0xb5dc6f…
08-10 03:34:25	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xd5c9d0…
08-10 03:10:12	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	Anthropic	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x352081…
08-10 03:09:24	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	Anthropic	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x40ca6e…
08-10 02:55:06	trump announces lisa cook termination by august 31 20260807185637359	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xc302fe…
08-10 02:43:45	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	Anthropic	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xd7c2b8…
08-10 00:36:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	300	98¢	$295	0x4a677c…
08-09 20:33:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x80fbce…
08-09 19:43:16	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	26	81¢	$21	0xc42387…
08-09 19:33:03	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	86	81¢	$69	0x45e27e…
08-09 18:59:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	65	7¢	$5	0xdb7ccb…
08-09 18:41:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xa1a433…
08-09 18:24:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x0050b5…
08-09 18:15:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xadcbe0…
08-09 18:08:49	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	300	98¢	$293	0x796014…
08-09 17:56:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0x447527…
08-09 17:56:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xa2d57f…
08-09 17:56:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	78	7¢	$5	0xd43f39…
08-09 17:05:18	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x7865dc…
08-09 17:05:07	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	386	98¢	$380	0x26fc53…
08-09 15:59:04	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	No	BUY	300	96¢	$287	0x22d377…
08-09 15:14:18	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	148	80¢	$119	0x74c344…
08-09 14:02:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	70	77¢	$54	0x251633…
08-09 13:09:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	130	77¢	$100	0x90010e…
08-09 13:05:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0xad7675…
08-09 12:46:43	iran leadership change by august 15	No	SELL	125	99¢	$123	0x380b5a…
08-09 12:15:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x0e6112…
08-09 11:55:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x7e25fc…
08-09 11:53:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x1ff097…
08-09 11:49:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0xf08493…
08-09 11:43:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0xc035b9…
08-09 11:15:57	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xac4969…
08-09 11:15:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x2ce445…
08-09 11:05:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	200	93¢	$185	0xe92e3e…
08-09 11:03:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xeffec2…
08-09 07:52:30	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0xa7e200…
08-09 04:19:46	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x350582…
08-09 03:50:42	nba will anthony davis be traded by next season	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xa27b51…
08-09 01:15:42	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	300	96¢	$287	0xac8072…
08-08 21:39:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	171	93¢	$159	0xf38b91…
08-08 21:39:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x6cfe2a…
08-08 19:25:39	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xa4b054…
08-08 19:23:57	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x532182…
08-08 18:50:45	nba will anthony davis be traded by next season	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x5573f7…
08-08 17:15:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x5b8e30…
08-08 17:15:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x3612d2…
08-08 17:15:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0x1a20ab…
08-08 15:22:31	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	BUY	142	96¢	$136	0xec4954…
08-08 10:44:49	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x657ecc…
08-08 07:55:31	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	SELL	56	84¢	$47	0xbfa293…
08-08 07:52:07	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	SELL	44	84¢	$37	0xdac5a8…
08-08 07:00:31	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0xf8e097…
08-08 06:33:48	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	500	99¢	$497	0xe6cb3c…
08-08 06:32:48	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xe7efe1…
08-08 05:22:39	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	69	79¢	$54	0x304666…
08-08 04:46:10	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	BUY	194	96¢	$186	0x50f447…
08-08 03:38:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x277f42…
08-08 03:23:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x8feb53…
08-08 03:21:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xd4f7c8…
08-08 02:24:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x0c66d3…