(anonymous) 0x7f2928…fc0760
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.05K
Unrealized P&L
+$994
Hit rate
62.2%
Resolved
11
Trades
6,368
lifetime
Volume
$883.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$139
Open exposure
$18.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
55% 50% $-3,994
Other
41% 83% $-58
Sports
2% 100% +$4
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +1,382 $1,283 100¢ $1.4K +$98 06-10 19:36
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1,200 $-1,118 95¢ $-1144 $-26 06-06 08:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,104 $1,015 100¢ $1.1K +$84 06-26 17:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +1,000 $947 100¢ $999 +$52 06-21 18:10
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +1,000 $938 99¢ $988 +$50 06-30 01:43
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +825 $810 100¢ $824 +$14 06-27 14:52
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +815 $776 100¢ $813 +$37 06-17 17:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -786 $-899 100¢ $-785 +$114 06-25 22:38
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +762 $694 100¢ $760 +$66 06-22 19:10
Jimmy Lai released by June 30? No -609 $-605 100¢ $-608 $-4 06-16 07:40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +700 $577 86¢ $605 +$28 06-30 23:47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +600 $577 100¢ $599 +$23 06-12 18:14
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +600 $594 100¢ $599 +$5 06-24 14:20
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +600 $561 100¢ $599 +$38 06-02 19:08
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +578 $520 98¢ $566 +$46 06-30 18:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +600 $496 84¢ $501 +$5 06-28 04:34
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -500 $-519 100¢ $-499 +$20 06-17 06:42
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +500 $436 100¢ $498 +$62 06-08 05:30
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +564 $476 87¢ $490 +$14 06-26 04:44
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No +462 $455 100¢ $461 +$6 06-27 12:50
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +559 $430 82¢ $459 +$28 06-26 07:23
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +457 $396 98¢ $449 +$53 06-10 14:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +500 $386 86¢ $427 +$41 06-11 12:23
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -713 $-539 59¢ $-421 +$118 06-30 03:09
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +423 $377 99¢ $419 +$42 06-17 06:02
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -400 $-396 100¢ $-400 $-3 06-03 17:04
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -400 $-380 96¢ $-384 $-3 06-11 19:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -400 $-350 92¢ $-366 $-16 06-11 02:29
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -535 $-285 56¢ $-302 $-17 06-27 22:22
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +300 $280 100¢ $299 +$19 06-22 17:01