Petty-Bran — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.83K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.6%

Resolved

Trades

676

lifetime

Volume

$139.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$206

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-20 22:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% 0% $-94

Politics

38% — —

Sports

6% 100% +$6,929

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	20	$23.8K	99,937	53,355	+46,582	open	—	04-01 08:45
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$12.5K	11,406	11,406	+0	open	—	03-28 06:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$7.4K	19,600	19,600	+0	open	—	04-14 17:36
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	63	$7.0K	42,002	0	+42,002	open	—	03-09 21:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	15	$5.4K	26,389	26,389	+0	open	—	03-22 17:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	5	$4.7K	12,501	12,501	+0	open	—	04-10 18:02
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$4.6K	115,910	56,796	+59,114	open	—	03-25 02:34
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	14	$4.2K	8,866	8,866	+0	open	—	04-15 16:16
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	28	$3.2K	27,660	0	+27,660	open	—	03-01 14:06
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	23	$3.1K	9,901	4,951	+4,951	open	—	03-29 16:13
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	7	$2.7K	6,012	6,012	+0	open	—	03-30 13:35
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	4	$2.4K	9,900	9,900	+0	open	—	03-22 15:12
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	6	$2.4K	4,287	3,361	+926	open	—	07-05 23:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$2.1K	17,228	4,728	+12,500	open	—	03-25 02:48
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	7	$1.9K	9,595	9,595	+0	open	—	03-30 15:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$1.8K	5,263	5,263	+0	open	—	02-27 12:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	2	$1.7K	4,543	4,401	+142	open	—	04-14 15:44
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$1.5K	21,723	0	+21,723	open	—	04-21 21:29
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	5	$1.4K	5,919	1,419	+4,500	open	—	07-07 20:44
iran strike on israel by february 28	2	$1.3K	1,234	1,234	+0	open	—	02-28 10:08
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	8	$1.2K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-10 20:10
fl1 pfc olm 2026 01 31 btts	2	$1.2K	821	821	+0	open	—	01-31 19:38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.1K	10,586	10,586	+0	open	—	02-08 23:19
will trump say mr speaker during the 2026 state of the union address 379	3	$1.1K	1,045	1,045	+0	open	—	02-25 09:12
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	17	$1.1K	3,270	3,270	+0	open	—	04-10 18:02
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.1K	48,008	0	+48,008	open	—	04-14 17:37
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.0K	15,007	15,007	+0	No	+$50	03-20 22:16
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 halftime result home	1	$1.0K	4,015	0	+4,015	open	—	04-14 17:37
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	2	$997	3,103	0	+3,103	open	—	02-08 23:48
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$905	10,135	0	+10,135	open	—	03-05 16:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 22:37:31	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	972	0¢	$5	0x58ec42…
07-20 07:24:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5,726	1¢	$34	0x398663…
07-20 06:51:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	6,128	1¢	$44	0x809a01…
07-15 20:54:53	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	840	26¢	$215	0xb93582…
07-12 03:35:04	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	199	3¢	$5	0x6dab57…
07-11 22:03:56	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	1,480	6¢	$81	0x5274ce…
07-08 21:45:23	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	378	43¢	$161	0x84532c…
07-08 21:31:38	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	No	BUY	2,556	3¢	$89	0xceb773…
07-08 00:47:31	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	No	SELL	1,827	4¢	$70	0xffd3a3…
07-07 23:00:22	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	No	BUY	1,827	5¢	$85	0x039af3…
07-07 21:00:53	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	888	5¢	$44	0x50e328…
07-07 21:00:37	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	1,494	2¢	$25	0x921a27…
07-07 20:44:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4,500	0¢	$9	0x1b06c0…
07-07 20:42:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	761	100¢	$759	0x72d266…
07-07 11:42:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	761	19¢	$145	0x6fcc49…
07-07 01:40:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	658	37¢	$246	0xe502a7…
07-06 21:34:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	658	30¢	$197	0x279332…
07-06 02:02:31	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	600	60¢	$360	0xaf3d02…
07-06 01:53:20	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	SELL	410	100¢	$410	0x752f17…
07-06 01:27:25	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	410	37¢	$152	0xdeae14…
07-06 01:26:53	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	600	21¢	$126	0xbb7572…
07-06 01:24:26	england mexico game rescheduled to a different date 20260703195026173	Yes	SELL	360	0¢	$0	0x8e60e8…
07-05 23:41:35	england mexico game rescheduled to a different date 20260703195026173	Yes	BUY	140	14¢	$19	0x9318fb…
07-05 23:41:16	england mexico game rescheduled to a different date 20260703195026173	Yes	BUY	147	14¢	$20	0x56a999…
07-05 23:39:04	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	926	2¢	$15	0x55800b…
07-05 23:16:52	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	1,041	98¢	$1,021	0x640e7c…
07-05 23:16:49	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	400	98¢	$392	0x8e22f7…
07-05 22:08:31	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	1,442	37¢	$536	0x1cecff…
07-05 22:07:35	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	478	41¢	$196	0x899da3…
07-04 23:22:16	england mexico game rescheduled to a different date 20260703195026173	Yes	BUY	73	2¢	$1	0xfd7266…
07-04 16:25:26	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	3,361	7¢	$232	0x78ea36…
07-01 17:52:35	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	BUY	950	2¢	$19	0xa32f66…
06-30 21:54:46	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	285	10¢	$28	0xcbf8a1…
06-30 21:54:29	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	1,062	2¢	$17	0xd9223c…
06-28 02:56:25	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	332	28¢	$93	0xab96c4…
06-26 01:35:34	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 goals kenan yldz gte1	Yes	BUY	814	19¢	$155	0x39584e…
06-23 18:14:44	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	375	53¢	$197	0x1642d8…
06-21 20:45:37	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	686	21¢	$144	0x83cc3f…
06-16 11:50:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,400	1¢	$37	0x425501…
06-16 01:02:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,969	3¢	$95	0xb95533…
06-14 18:06:39	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Curaçao	BUY	354	6¢	$21	0xf07639…
06-07 19:13:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	102	47¢	$48	0xe57ecf…
06-07 19:02:18	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbb87f2…
06-07 19:01:55	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	956	6¢	$55	0x8e3d50…
06-06 14:00:15	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	452	24¢	$108	0x2782bb…
06-06 13:58:04	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	81	27¢	$22	0xbca800…
06-06 13:57:55	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	1,349	2¢	$22	0x0cb27e…
06-05 17:40:31	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	71	3¢	$2	0x04076b…
06-05 17:39:15	btc updown 5m 1780680900	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xe7a79a…
06-04 21:48:45	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	759	6¢	$46	0xf01c38…
06-04 21:26:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	107	6¢	$6	0x328dcf…
06-04 19:56:01	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	204	6¢	$12	0xa5bcb2…
06-04 18:48:09	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0xfef8dc…
06-04 18:04:28	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xafc842…
06-04 17:43:16	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x75491b…
06-04 17:42:52	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x36f8e0…
06-04 17:35:18	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x5947a1…
06-04 17:33:34	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0xc0bc2a…
06-04 17:32:07	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x80c74b…
06-04 17:31:43	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x963dae…
06-04 17:01:34	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x123c1b…
06-04 16:48:54	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xba63ae…
06-04 16:48:46	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	165	6¢	$10	0x6daaf9…
06-02 13:26:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,950	1¢	$30	0x0d8562…
06-02 13:23:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26,546	1¢	$239	0x96e5c4…
06-02 08:49:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	268	1¢	$2	0xec519f…
06-02 06:40:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12,924	1¢	$90	0xc2ab33…
06-01 23:21:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	1,568	0¢	$2	0x9609a8…
06-01 19:26:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13,890	0¢	$14	0x094b8b…
06-01 12:58:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	62	32¢	$20	0xb7958d…
06-01 12:58:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x8ad662…
06-01 12:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	60	22¢	$13	0x9462a5…
06-01 12:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0xac9fd7…
06-01 12:43:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	531	78¢	$414	0x01be00…
06-01 07:26:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	511	11¢	$56	0x0cba59…
06-01 07:24:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x6d7704…
05-31 23:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x0c59e4…
05-30 04:32:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	610	0¢	$1	0x9f52f6…
05-29 02:16:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xbb0190…
05-29 02:16:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$18	0x9143a2…
05-29 02:15:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	831	5¢	$38	0x991ac5…
05-28 09:10:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0x8ad562…
05-28 03:19:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,560	0¢	$8	0xc74d77…
05-28 03:19:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	3,843	0¢	$8	0x7cc212…
05-27 02:55:08	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5	Under	BUY	953	2¢	$17	0x0830c8…
05-27 02:54:54	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	225	8¢	$18	0x0e3ccc…
05-27 01:25:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	22,040	0¢	$110	0xc5d823…
05-27 01:23:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	831	14¢	$119	0xddbd42…
05-26 05:54:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	7,535	3¢	$200	0x08b8a0…
05-26 02:38:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,364	6¢	$142	0x4a8da3…
05-26 02:38:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xc493bf…
05-26 02:37:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x14b191…
05-26 02:37:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x53a7e7…
05-24 07:19:52	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	108	18¢	$20	0x718510…
05-24 07:03:10	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	107	21¢	$23	0x2e2ab4…
05-24 07:02:19	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	Yes	SELL	4,695	1¢	$24	0xc92055…
05-24 07:01:32	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	144	21¢	$30	0x8cf4ba…
05-24 06:54:51	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	151	24¢	$36	0x787bf9…
05-24 06:47:16	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x84c2c2…
05-24 06:44:26	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x7ca831…