Petty-Bran — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.83K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.6%

Resolved

Trades

635

lifetime

Volume

$132.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$209

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-07 19:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-94

Politics

39% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$6,929

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	20	$23.8K	99,937	53,355	+46,582	open	—	04-01 08:45
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$12.5K	11,406	11,406	+0	open	—	03-28 06:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$7.4K	19,600	19,600	+0	open	—	04-14 17:36
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	63	$7.0K	42,002	0	+42,002	open	—	03-09 21:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	15	$5.4K	26,389	26,389	+0	open	—	03-22 17:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	5	$4.7K	12,501	12,501	+0	open	—	04-10 18:02
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$4.6K	115,910	56,796	+59,114	open	—	03-25 02:34
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	14	$4.2K	8,866	8,866	+0	open	—	04-15 16:16
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	28	$3.2K	27,660	0	+27,660	open	—	03-01 14:06
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	23	$3.1K	9,901	4,951	+4,951	open	—	03-29 16:13
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	7	$2.7K	6,012	6,012	+0	open	—	03-30 13:35
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	4	$2.4K	9,900	9,900	+0	open	—	03-22 15:12
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$2.1K	17,228	4,728	+12,500	open	—	03-25 02:48
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	7	$1.9K	9,595	9,595	+0	open	—	03-30 15:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$1.8K	5,263	5,263	+0	open	—	02-27 12:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	2	$1.7K	4,543	4,401	+142	open	—	04-14 15:44
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$1.5K	21,723	0	+21,723	open	—	04-21 21:29
iran strike on israel by february 28	2	$1.3K	1,234	1,234	+0	open	—	02-28 10:08
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	8	$1.2K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-10 20:10
fl1 pfc olm 2026 01 31 btts	2	$1.2K	821	821	+0	open	—	01-31 19:38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.1K	10,586	10,586	+0	open	—	02-08 23:19
will trump say mr speaker during the 2026 state of the union address 379	3	$1.1K	1,045	1,045	+0	open	—	02-25 09:12
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	17	$1.1K	3,270	3,270	+0	open	—	04-10 18:02
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.1K	48,008	0	+48,008	open	—	04-14 17:37
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.0K	15,007	15,007	+0	No	+$50	03-20 22:16
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 halftime result home	1	$1.0K	4,015	0	+4,015	open	—	04-14 17:37
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	2	$997	3,103	0	+3,103	open	—	02-08 23:48
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$905	10,135	0	+10,135	open	—	03-05 16:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	10	$891	30,357	27,407	+2,950	open	—	06-02 13:26
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	2	$885	4,215	0	+4,215	open	—	03-09 21:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 19:13:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	102	47¢	$48	0xe57ecf…
06-07 19:02:18	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbb87f2…
06-07 19:01:55	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	956	6¢	$55	0x8e3d50…
06-06 14:00:15	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	452	24¢	$108	0x2782bb…
06-06 13:58:04	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	81	27¢	$22	0xbca800…
06-06 13:57:55	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	1,349	2¢	$22	0x0cb27e…
06-05 17:40:31	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	71	3¢	$2	0x04076b…
06-05 17:39:15	btc updown 5m 1780680900	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xe7a79a…
06-04 21:48:45	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	759	6¢	$46	0xf01c38…
06-04 21:26:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	107	6¢	$6	0x328dcf…
06-04 19:56:01	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	204	6¢	$12	0xa5bcb2…
06-04 18:48:09	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0xfef8dc…
06-04 18:04:28	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xafc842…
06-04 17:43:16	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x75491b…
06-04 17:42:52	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x36f8e0…
06-04 17:35:18	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x5947a1…
06-04 17:33:34	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0xc0bc2a…
06-04 17:32:07	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x80c74b…
06-04 17:31:43	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x963dae…
06-04 17:01:34	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x123c1b…
06-04 16:48:54	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xba63ae…
06-04 16:48:46	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	165	6¢	$10	0x6daaf9…
06-02 13:26:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,950	1¢	$30	0x0d8562…
06-02 13:23:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26,546	1¢	$239	0x96e5c4…
06-02 08:49:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	268	1¢	$2	0xec519f…
06-02 06:40:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12,924	1¢	$90	0xc2ab33…
06-01 23:21:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	1,568	0¢	$2	0x9609a8…
06-01 19:26:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13,890	0¢	$14	0x094b8b…
06-01 12:58:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	62	32¢	$20	0xb7958d…
06-01 12:58:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x8ad662…
06-01 12:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	60	22¢	$13	0x9462a5…
06-01 12:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0xac9fd7…
06-01 12:43:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	531	78¢	$414	0x01be00…
06-01 07:26:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	511	11¢	$56	0x0cba59…
06-01 07:24:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x6d7704…
05-31 23:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x0c59e4…
05-30 04:32:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	610	0¢	$1	0x9f52f6…
05-29 02:16:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xbb0190…
05-29 02:16:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$18	0x9143a2…
05-29 02:15:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	831	5¢	$38	0x991ac5…
05-28 09:10:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0x8ad562…
05-28 03:19:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,560	0¢	$8	0xc74d77…
05-28 03:19:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	3,843	0¢	$8	0x7cc212…
05-27 02:55:08	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5	Under	BUY	953	2¢	$17	0x0830c8…
05-27 02:54:54	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	225	8¢	$18	0x0e3ccc…
05-27 01:25:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	22,040	0¢	$110	0xc5d823…
05-27 01:23:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	831	14¢	$119	0xddbd42…
05-26 05:54:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	7,535	3¢	$200	0x08b8a0…
05-26 02:38:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,364	6¢	$142	0x4a8da3…
05-26 02:38:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xc493bf…
05-26 02:37:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x14b191…
05-26 02:37:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x53a7e7…
05-24 07:19:52	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	108	18¢	$20	0x718510…
05-24 07:03:10	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	107	21¢	$23	0x2e2ab4…
05-24 07:02:19	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	Yes	SELL	4,695	1¢	$24	0xc92055…
05-24 07:01:32	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	144	21¢	$30	0x8cf4ba…
05-24 06:54:51	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	151	24¢	$36	0x787bf9…
05-24 06:47:16	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x84c2c2…
05-24 06:44:26	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x7ca831…
05-24 06:43:18	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	94	20¢	$19	0xde209b…
05-24 06:41:33	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xcdba07…
05-24 06:40:39	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x034500…
05-24 06:38:59	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	165	20¢	$33	0xf24335…
05-22 22:21:16	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	Yes	BUY	171	2¢	$3	0x8c3b48…
05-22 06:42:53	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	Yes	BUY	4,524	1¢	$50	0xe4214a…
05-22 02:11:57	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	210	13¢	$27	0xb88b60…
05-22 02:10:32	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	685	13¢	$89	0x5fb3aa…
05-21 02:39:58	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	87	34¢	$30	0xeb59a2…
05-21 02:39:39	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1,250	0¢	$4	0xdba023…
05-21 02:39:35	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2,138	0¢	$6	0xddbf01…
05-21 02:39:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	7,011	0¢	$21	0x425b68…
05-20 20:23:31	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	1,394	4¢	$56	0xc918cb…
05-20 18:31:43	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,138	0¢	$11	0x5ee2a5…
05-19 20:47:30	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	918	1¢	$7	0x513f5c…
05-19 20:47:06	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1,052	2¢	$19	0x72fa4e…
05-19 20:46:31	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	521	21¢	$109	0x331225…
05-19 17:56:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0x9912f8…
05-19 17:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x9a2d92…
05-19 17:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x293f87…
05-19 17:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	44	79¢	$35	0x97a7e5…
05-19 17:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0x1d1230…
05-19 17:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0xbba1ac…
05-19 17:41:16	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	4,179	1¢	$42	0x56c7a6…
05-18 18:04:53	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,531	2¢	$51	0x718915…
05-17 19:29:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	214	2¢	$4	0x3c8ecf…
05-16 23:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	203	7¢	$14	0xc34793…
05-16 23:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	63	14¢	$9	0x016aef…
05-16 13:31:46	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	6,826	0¢	$20	0x020c0a…
05-16 13:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xececf0…
05-16 13:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	53	18¢	$10	0xfe826e…
05-16 13:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	524	1¢	$5	0xf8b938…
05-15 23:30:44	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,154	5¢	$53	0x68446d…
05-15 23:29:41	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	106	25¢	$26	0x872904…
05-15 22:06:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	705	3¢	$19	0x8fc8be…
05-15 22:00:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	106	38¢	$40	0x94252e…
05-15 21:55:25	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	95	20¢	$19	0xf2668f…
05-15 21:52:29	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	53	18¢	$10	0x7455c5…
05-15 21:30:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	343	3¢	$9	0x96e4fc…
05-15 21:20:32	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,154	2¢	$19	0x76b2ec…
05-15 21:20:13	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	184	34¢	$62	0xfb0118…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	124	$1.47M	24,487	06-08 00:27
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	120	$310.2K	1,591	06-08 20:17
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	116	$31.7M	36,958	06-07 22:54
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	109	$647.3K	45,623	06-08 06:16
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	104	$632.7K	51,492	06-01 03:47
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	101	$356.0K	2,562	06-08 11:58
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	101	$19.0K	4,821	06-08 12:00
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	95	$43.4K	3,976	06-07 19:56