Petty-Bran — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$27.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

546

2,592 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$46.8K

$224.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-12 04:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Other

60% 12% -$25,993

Politics

28% 5% -$39,529

Sports

9% 15% -$4,766

Crypto

3% 14% +$20

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$349

Tech

0% 0% -$241

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 290 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	20	$23.8K	99,937	53,355	+46,582	No	-$15,666	04-01 08:45
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	52	$13.3K	13,816	13,816	+0	Yes	+$10,488	07-24 15:56
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$12.5K	11,406	11,406	+0	Yes	+$7,523	03-28 06:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$7.4K	19,600	19,600	+0	No	-$4,627	04-14 17:36
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	63	$7.0K	42,002	0	+42,002	No	-$7,033	03-09 21:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	15	$5.4K	26,389	26,389	+0	No	-$3,590	03-22 17:49
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	9	$5.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$4,745	08-12 22:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	5	$4.7K	12,501	12,501	+0	No	-$2,257	04-10 18:02
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$4.6K	115,910	56,796	+59,114	No	-$3,622	03-25 02:34
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$4.6K	16,284	0	+16,284	Yes	-$4,596	10-26 22:15
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	3	$4.2K	4,423	4,423	+0	Yes	+$3,050	11-12 04:10
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	14	$4.2K	8,866	8,866	+0	No	-$2,903	04-15 16:16
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	3	$3.6K	12,957	0	+12,957	Bilibili Gaming	-$3,633	11-08 23:58
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	26	$3.6K	7,574	7,574	+0	No	+$1,329	07-18 15:04
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	2	$3.4K	12,457	0	+12,457	Islam Makhachev	-$3,364	08-16 01:35
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	193	$3.4K	28,960	2,532	+26,428	No	-$2,795	10-26 20:16
laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	12	$3.3K	6,307	6,307	+0	No	+$1,984	09-09 23:08
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	28	$3.2K	27,660	0	+27,660	No	-$3,181	03-01 14:06
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	23	$3.1K	9,901	4,951	+4,951	No	-$2,235	03-29 16:13
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	5	$2.7K	2,063	2,063	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$784	11-08 22:34
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	7	$2.7K	6,012	6,012	+0	No	+$711	03-30 13:35
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	4	$2.4K	9,900	9,900	+0	No	-$1,841	03-22 15:12
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	6	$2.4K	4,287	3,361	+926	Yes	+$1,898	07-05 23:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$2.1K	17,228	4,728	+12,500	No	-$1,000	03-25 02:48
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	7	$1.9K	9,595	9,595	+0	No	-$893	03-30 15:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$1.8K	5,263	5,263	+0	Yes	-$175	02-27 12:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	2	$1.7K	4,543	4,401	+142	Yes	-$292	04-14 15:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	10	$1.7K	8,985	0	+8,985	Yes	-$1,653	09-16 17:25
Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$1.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	-$1,600	10-26 09:26
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	1	$1.6K	15,870	0	+15,870	No	-$1,587	11-03 22:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 04:35:58	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0xc25aab…
11-12 04:34:06	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,698	8¢	$616	0xe20db1…
11-12 04:34:01	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x8ee12c…
11-12 04:33:52	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xdb6771…
11-12 04:33:43	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xabe6f3…
11-12 04:33:39	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x4c0b52…
11-12 04:33:36	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xac8cbd…
11-12 04:33:34	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	325	8¢	$26	0xcda0b9…
11-12 04:33:28	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x620667…
11-12 04:33:27	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	8¢	$7	0xdabd63…
11-12 04:33:27	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	8¢	$120	0x5e4a3d…
11-12 04:30:51	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	245	38¢	$93	0x515dfe…
11-12 04:16:34	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	754	39¢	$294	0x8ba869…
11-12 04:10:15	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,423	82¢	$3,627	0x16e3aa…
11-11 20:23:28	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	17¢	$9	0x76bd4d…
11-10 08:13:09	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4,372	13¢	$568	0x5984eb…
11-09 01:40:15	Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	708	100¢	$707	0xfac28b…
11-08 23:58:37	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	T1	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0xac4fd1…
11-08 23:58:19	Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	708	27¢	$191	0xe13333…
11-08 23:33:22	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	717	4¢	$29	0xc7e07e…
11-08 23:33:06	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	188	10¢	$19	0xf9a40b…
11-08 22:56:52	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	T1	BUY	108	29¢	$31	0xc8b143…
11-08 22:56:36	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	T1	BUY	12,831	28¢	$3,593	0xa23865…
11-08 22:34:48	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	737	85¢	$627	0x4d4dd2…
11-08 22:34:48	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	600	85¢	$510	0x3ae977…
11-08 22:34:46	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	525	85¢	$447	0xd9a7e0…
11-08 22:34:46	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0xc4a64f…
11-08 22:16:43	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	2,063	47¢	$970	0x0bd2e0…
11-07 20:10:07	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,070	8¢	$236	0xf937e9…
11-06 04:49:27	Heat vs. Warriors	Heat	BUY	482	16¢	$77	0x1059b1…
11-06 04:49:09	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,615	2¢	$83	0x7f5430…
11-06 00:21:57	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Dplus KIA	BUY	722	20¢	$144	0x054922…
11-05 00:04:07	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 3 Winner	LYON	BUY	1,406	5¢	$70	0x472bfb…
11-05 00:03:42	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1,198	6¢	$76	0xa10a19…
11-04 17:45:07	Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 3 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	1,617	8¢	$129	0x128c70…
11-04 17:44:34	Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 5 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	2,854	2¢	$60	0xef2886…
11-04 17:42:31	Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 4 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	917	4¢	$40	0x2918d2…
11-04 17:39:48	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	452	8¢	$38	0xf49c10…
11-04 17:39:25	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	253	8¢	$21	0xf98423…
11-04 17:31:10	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xe83d9f…
11-04 17:30:58	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x7b2fc5…
11-04 17:30:57	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,619	8¢	$138	0xe99f1d…
11-04 17:30:57	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x95c69a…
11-04 17:28:18	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	8¢	$15	0xed70cc…
11-04 17:28:18	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$5	0x9176ed…
11-04 17:28:18	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x907a8a…
11-04 17:18:30	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,013	9¢	$90	0x96f586…
11-04 17:18:16	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,102	8¢	$91	0xbc4a5d…
11-04 16:55:00	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	97	5¢	$5	0x95ab32…
11-03 22:59:33	Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	23,834	1¢	$279	0x50afd2…
11-03 22:59:15	Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	55,724	0¢	$270	0x37fe60…
11-03 22:58:51	Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	19,276	2¢	$400	0xbf8c97…
11-03 22:58:34	Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	22,876	1¢	$343	0x5b6c11…
11-03 22:53:55	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	15,870	10¢	$1,587	0x05fabc…
11-03 22:50:40	Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	17,421	2¢	$331	0x72056a…
11-03 22:49:03	Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	21,053	2¢	$400	0x833df7…
11-03 20:53:24	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x6ef818…
11-03 00:24:31	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 0%-10%?	Yes	BUY	1,043	7¢	$70	0x15b4e6…
11-03 00:23:18	Will the Democrats win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	875	3¢	$23	0x47308a…
11-03 00:22:24	Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	3,619	3¢	$93	0xfe8f94…
11-03 00:21:54	Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	9,971	2¢	$186	0xab9181…
11-03 00:21:33	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,829	14¢	$396	0x52f772…
11-03 00:19:37	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,600	13¢	$338	0x8c2aa5…
11-03 00:10:57	Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Maine?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xf5033e…
11-03 00:07:13	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	485	25¢	$121	0x624a8d…
11-02 15:20:49	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,300	15¢	$495	0xb10743…
11-02 08:12:55	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,850	27¢	$500	0xad9a75…
11-01 23:43:31	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	582	4¢	$24	0xc76e5f…
11-01 23:42:04	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x39881f…
11-01 23:39:21	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xc0b0f0…
11-01 23:38:52	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xb4ff67…
11-01 23:37:55	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x311acd…
11-01 23:37:45	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd34d3a…
11-01 23:37:09	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x69c3d2…
10-28 17:56:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6,343	3¢	$190	0xed6885…
10-28 17:56:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40,000	0¢	$40	0x701a56…
10-28 17:56:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12,000	0¢	$36	0xa98942…
10-27 23:32:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,552	4¢	$115	0xb8ab74…
10-27 22:53:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,310	4¢	$92	0x2faf59…
10-27 04:29:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,950	0¢	$24	0x2b7978…
10-27 00:01:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	134	7¢	$9	0x5d4aa5…
10-26 22:15:23	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5,565	26¢	$1,456	0x7434ab…
10-26 20:16:38	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x260a31…
10-26 19:58:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,639	23¢	$379	0x307614…
10-26 19:58:23	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	471	23¢	$107	0x363adb…
10-26 15:59:53	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	416	8¢	$33	0xfdbc61…
10-26 10:35:54	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	4,195	33¢	$1,384	0x349255…
10-26 09:26:00	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3,938	32¢	$1,260	0x16280f…
10-26 07:46:05	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x525bfb…
10-26 06:43:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5,215	32¢	$1,685	0x4fb7e5…
10-26 05:43:38	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,062	32¢	$340	0xe43c5c…
10-26 05:05:54	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10,711	1¢	$118	0xf603ec…
10-26 05:04:53	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	629	10¢	$62	0x44d594…
10-26 02:17:39	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,645	1¢	$21	0xc6e4b1…
10-25 23:52:27	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	72	11¢	$8	0x0e545a…
10-25 23:52:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3,394	29¢	$971	0x446fe3…
10-25 22:38:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,034	32¢	$1,295	0x6affd5…
10-25 21:55:41	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	637	17¢	$107	0xf9c137…
10-25 12:47:50	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	250	11¢	$26	0xb8ae33…
10-25 12:47:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,585	11¢	$271	0x1823b3…