Realized P&L
+$23
Unrealized P&L
+$39
Hit rate
85.2%
Resolved
18
Trades
11,620
lifetime
Volume
$24.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$192
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 14:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Sports
41% 62% $-12
Other
37% 80% +$26
Crypto
11% 0% $-3
Politics
8% 75% +$11
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +252 $30 12¢ $29 $-1 07-16 18:35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +667 $30 $28 $-2 07-01 11:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +500 $44 $28 $-16 07-17 17:03
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +323 $23 $27 +$4 07-20 23:50
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +257 $10 $18 +$8 07-19 09:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes -641 $-42 $-15 +$27 06-24 15:00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -423 $-23 $-14 +$10 06-02 09:45
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -690 $-17 $-13 +$3 06-25 00:15
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes +612 $30 $12 $-18 07-03 05:42
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes -145 $-9 $-7 +$2 06-02 10:58
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 $0 +$0 07-21 14:10
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes -1 $-4 $-0 +$4 06-09 11:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 $-5 29¢ $0 +$5 06-19 11:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +0 $-8 11¢ $0 +$8 07-16 10:00
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes +0 $-5 $0 +$5 06-07 12:32