Realized P&L
+$1.56K
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved
2,239
Trades
24,137
lifetime
Volume
$92.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$904
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 12:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 221 days
Categories
Other
43% 49% +$579
Politics
23% 57% +$100
Sports
21% 58% +$1,122
Crypto
12% 51% -$203
Tech
2% 67% -$36
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15? Yes +291 $255 96¢ $281 +$25 11-06 15:05
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -333 -$23 27¢ $-91 -$68 07-11 14:38
Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026? No +61 $55 96¢ $59 +$4 11-05 10:27
Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31? Yes +60 $40 80¢ $48 +$7 11-04 12:00
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +54 $10 77¢ $42 +$32 11-05 21:55
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C? No +40 $32 91¢ $36 +$4 11-06 14:34
Will the Republicans win Maine in the 2028 Presidential Election? No +40 $30 84¢ $34 +$4 11-07 05:49
Trump declares a national emergency by December 31, 2026? No +40 $28 81¢ $32 +$5 11-01 21:53
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30? No +36 $28 79¢ $28 +$0 11-05 23:17
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -455 -$6 5¢ $-24 -$18 07-12 01:31
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? No +38 $23 57¢ $22 -$2 11-07 02:53
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027? No +32 $19 57¢ $19 $0 11-05 23:00
Will Anthropic sell between 4% and 5% of its shares in its IPO? No +20 $14 74¢ $15 +$1 11-07 08:11
Carlson's Republican nomination odds dip to 2% by December 31? No +20 $14 74¢ $15 +$0 11-05 23:13
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by November 30? No +20 $13 70¢ $14 +$1 11-06 19:58
Will US gas hit $4.15 (High) in November? Yes +40 $13 33¢ $13 +$0 11-06 16:08
Will Nico Collins have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +20 $8 59¢ $12 +$3 11-07 00:08
Will Hy4 debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? No +20 $6 58¢ $12 +$6 11-07 02:53
democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 60 by march 31 No +20 $12 56¢ $11 $0 11-07 07:02
Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds dip to 4% by December 31? No +20 $8 52¢ $10 +$3 11-04 14:49
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 in November? No +20 $9 48¢ $10 +$1 11-06 21:01
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +40 $13 23¢ $9 -$4 11-06 21:06
Will Cameron Ward have 12.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +20 $8 44¢ $9 +$1 11-05 20:36
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +40 $12 22¢ $9 -$3 11-06 21:01
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -500 -$7 2¢ $-9 -$2 07-01 20:45
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -645 -$35 1¢ $-9 +$27 09-19 10:01
Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? Yes +36 $8 24¢ $9 +$0 11-06 20:11
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $61B by November 30? Yes +40 $12 21¢ $8 -$3 11-06 06:29
Will US gas hit $3.85 (Low) in November? No +20 $1 42¢ $8 +$8 11-05 10:43
Will Mark Andrews have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +20 $8 39¢ $8 +$0 11-06 11:04