Realized P&L
+$23
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
85.2%
Resolved
18
Trades
11,406
lifetime
Volume
$23.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$174
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 10:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Sports
42% 62% $-12
Other
36% 80% +$26
Crypto
11% 0% $-3
Politics
8% 75% +$11
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +435 $30 $30 $-0 06-15 03:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes -641 $-42 $-27 +$16 06-24 15:00
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +517 $26 $21 $-5 06-11 16:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +270 $30 $20 $-9 06-11 02:29
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +294 $29 $19 $-10 06-04 03:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -423 $-23 $-16 +$7 06-02 09:45
Will Alberta join the US? Yes +769 $30 $15 $-15 06-10 09:25
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -690 $-17 $-13 +$4 06-25 00:15
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes -145 $-9 $-8 +$1 06-02 10:58
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,758 $-11 $-4 +$6 06-04 07:49
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Yes -500 $-2 $-0 +$1 06-02 06:45
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? Yes -179 $-11 $-0 +$11 06-03 16:10
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes -1 $-4 $-0 +$4 06-09 11:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 $-5 15¢ $0 +$5 06-19 11:31
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes +0 $-5 $0 +$5 06-07 12:32