Teeming-Min — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

Trades

3,664

lifetime

Volume

$1.35M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$369

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-10 18:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

53% 80% $-44

Other

32% 75% +$25

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	28	$103.6K	51,678	52,338	-659	open	—	01-31 08:51
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	3	$59.9K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	02-08 16:20
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	56	$54.2K	57,585	0	+57,585	open	—	01-31 20:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	23	$49.0K	36,694	13,000	+23,694	open	—	01-31 19:53
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	53	$47.4K	25,000	25,000	+0	open	—	03-31 02:11
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	10	$40.0K	40,171	100	+40,071	open	—	02-03 15:25
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	66	$37.3K	38,777	0	+38,777	open	—	02-06 02:37
bitcoin above 80k on february 2	17	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-02 17:27
nba phx por 2026 02 03	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-04 06:34
bitcoin above 72k on february 10	1	$29.9K	29,977	0	+29,977	open	—	02-10 16:28
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	17	$29.9K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-04 17:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	64	$26.1K	23,561	4,100	+19,461	open	—	04-24 13:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	81	$25.9K	25,122	9,300	+15,822	open	—	04-08 19:31
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	38	$25.2K	30,971	31,000	-29	open	—	02-28 07:27
bitcoin above 72k on february 9	9	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	02-09 16:46
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 540 559	13	$18.8K	9,434	9,434	+0	open	—	01-26 13:06
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	25	$17.6K	9,886	9,886	+0	open	—	02-28 21:38
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	21	$16.1K	12,100	5,900	+6,200	open	—	04-08 19:27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	12	$15.8K	10,136	10,136	+0	open	—	02-28 18:13
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	18	$15.6K	7,930	7,930	+0	open	—	02-28 05:42
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes 281	13	$15.3K	15,455	0	+15,455	open	—	01-25 02:19
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	40	$15.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	02-08 14:14
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	2	$14.9K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	02-02 19:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	25	$13.6K	11,000	13,000	-2,000	open	—	02-28 19:46
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	47	$13.4K	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	03-31 05:23
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	47	$12.0K	8,265	7,200	+1,065	open	—	03-12 19:37
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	18	$11.2K	8,000	4,000	+4,000	open	—	02-19 04:36
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	8	$10.8K	6,000	5,000	+1,000	open	—	03-23 18:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	23	$10.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	02-28 18:06
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	36	$10.3K	5,253	5,253	+0	open	—	02-28 14:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 22:55:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	7	81¢	$5	0xb926a5…
08-10 22:37:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	46	81¢	$37	0xcb2637…
08-10 22:33:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x09a250…
08-10 21:56:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	168	81¢	$136	0xf513f7…
08-10 18:39:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	189	98¢	$186	0x9dcf3e…
08-10 17:20:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x6ad4c0…
08-10 15:49:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x7c92d8…
08-10 15:18:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x848256…
08-10 14:06:36	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	No	BUY	14	61¢	$8	0x03d064…
08-10 14:00:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xe7972e…
08-10 11:51:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0xb94b5f…
08-10 10:10:22	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	78¢	$32	0x6fae10…
08-10 08:59:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	78¢	$45	0x4056cb…
08-10 08:57:04	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x17afef…
08-10 08:55:45	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x77a414…
08-10 07:14:06	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	130	94¢	$122	0xe17b33…
08-10 06:21:01	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0x4ad29e…
08-10 06:07:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x9ac575…
08-10 05:44:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x7fdcdd…
08-10 04:43:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xb8f738…
08-10 04:31:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0x67b0c5…
08-10 04:23:19	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x69e630…
08-10 01:24:28	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x67a693…
08-10 01:08:30	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xefb677…
08-10 00:53:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	400	83¢	$332	0xc9a9e1…
08-10 00:49:42	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	57	78¢	$45	0x73d60a…
08-09 22:18:12	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	55	68¢	$37	0x2ab4e2…
08-09 22:07:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0xf05876…
08-09 21:57:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0xc3c530…
08-09 21:54:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	1,000	95¢	$950	0x975d2b…
08-09 21:13:12	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	No	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x486597…
08-09 21:10:00	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	62	88¢	$54	0xdeccb9…
08-09 21:09:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x3689d0…
08-09 19:19:10	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x6c8ba5…
08-09 19:01:21	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xaabcc5…
08-09 18:50:28	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	48	39¢	$19	0x7a3e33…
08-09 18:50:12	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xc2d6fe…
08-09 18:47:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xc570d8…
08-09 18:47:28	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	41	39¢	$16	0x3b2744…
08-09 18:46:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x5e47c4…
08-09 18:45:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xd9b94a…
08-09 18:45:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xbfc3d6…
08-09 18:24:33	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	489	74¢	$362	0xe8ffa4…
08-09 16:41:03	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xa07ccc…
08-09 16:07:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x1bfc3b…
08-09 15:37:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0x36fdda…
08-09 15:28:48	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x4e47a3…
08-09 13:47:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	300	98¢	$293	0x3fff73…
08-09 13:25:27	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x850602…
08-09 13:02:55	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	43	85¢	$37	0x453e38…
08-09 12:58:31	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x6b68b8…
08-09 12:57:57	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	50	85¢	$43	0x377f8b…
08-09 11:43:36	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0x01baff…
08-09 11:34:10	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x95453a…
08-09 11:24:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xedee0c…
08-09 11:18:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	59	84¢	$49	0x1c180e…
08-09 11:17:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xd6759f…
08-09 11:16:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf842ba…
08-09 11:16:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	119	79¢	$94	0x71124a…
08-09 11:16:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	368	79¢	$291	0x019620…
08-09 11:16:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	643	79¢	$508	0xb88949…
08-09 11:02:03	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x1e34ce…
08-09 10:10:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	176	30¢	$53	0x6824d5…
08-09 10:08:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0x0f7228…
08-09 09:40:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0xa75724…
08-09 09:05:39	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	96¢	$964	0xdb3dd9…
08-09 08:58:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x6f197a…
08-09 08:49:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x635a46…
08-09 08:47:19	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	289	96¢	$278	0x153ff6…
08-09 08:44:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x59adfa…
08-09 02:39:01	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x3bbccb…
08-09 02:30:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xd36252…
08-09 02:03:16	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x5ad294…
08-08 22:40:24	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x8fced7…
08-08 22:05:12	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc88583…
08-08 21:53:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x832c66…
08-08 21:53:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0xa657a1…
08-08 21:23:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x7dc934…
08-08 21:23:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xe99329…
08-08 21:03:00	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	400	98¢	$393	0x33cab3…
08-08 20:40:54	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x2e1f3a…
08-08 20:23:18	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	155	89¢	$138	0x987754…
08-08 19:59:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0xc4ffe8…
08-08 19:17:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0x2fe0ac…
08-08 19:02:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$117	0xeaed4b…
08-08 19:02:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	400	81¢	$324	0x62035c…
08-08 18:08:15	andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264	No	SELL	101	74¢	$75	0xda923c…
08-08 17:42:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xaba3f5…
08-08 17:15:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x3612d2…
08-08 16:13:39	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x0d93bd…
08-08 16:10:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xae6877…
08-08 16:04:31	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x2125b3…
08-08 15:45:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0xe1e927…
08-08 14:48:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x898be6…
08-08 14:46:36	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x7ed0a7…
08-08 14:36:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0xe9102a…
08-08 14:31:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0xfa263d…
08-08 13:45:42	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	153	88¢	$134	0x637f1b…
08-08 13:29:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	147	88¢	$130	0xedeac0…
08-08 13:11:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x540adb…