Realized P&L
-$12.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.91K
Hit rate
82.6%
Resolved
740
Trades
5,918
lifetime
Volume
$1.65M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$278
Open exposure
$33.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 10-30 02:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 183 days
Categories
Politics
51%
76%
-$30,188
Other
34%
76%
+$9,713
Crypto
9%
89%
+$3,491
Sports
3%
78%
+$195
Tech
3%
87%
+$4,668
Pop-Culture
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 58 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026 | 28 | $103.6K | 51,678 | 52,338 | -659 | No | +$146 | 01-31 08:51 |
| us x iran meeting by february 6 2026 | 3 | $59.9K | 30,000 | 30,000 | +0 | Yes | +$0 | 02-08 16:20 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 56 | $54.2K | 57,585 | 0 | +57,585 | No | +$3,389 | 01-31 20:00 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 23 | $49.0K | 36,694 | 13,000 | +23,694 | No | +$560 | 01-31 19:53 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 53 | $47.4K | 25,000 | 25,000 | +0 | No | +$486 | 03-31 02:11 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 10 | $40.0K | 40,171 | 100 | +40,071 | Yes | +$81 | 02-03 15:25 |
| us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294 | 66 | $37.3K | 38,777 | 0 | +38,777 | No | +$1,499 | 02-06 02:37 |
| nba phx por 2026 02 03 | 1 | $30.0K | 30,000 | 0 | +30,000 | Suns | +$30 | 02-04 06:34 |
| bitcoin above 80k on february 2 | 17 | $30.0K | 30,000 | 0 | +30,000 | No | +$30 | 02-02 17:27 |
| bitcoin above 72k on february 10 | 1 | $29.9K | 29,977 | 0 | +29,977 | No | +$30 | 02-10 16:28 |
| us strikes iran by february 4 2026 | 17 | $29.9K | 30,000 | 0 | +30,000 | No | +$150 | 02-04 17:16 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 64 | $26.1K | 23,561 | 4,100 | +19,461 | No | +$1,097 | 04-24 13:48 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 81 | $25.9K | 25,122 | 9,300 | +15,822 | Yes | -$955 | 04-08 19:31 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 38 | $25.2K | 30,971 | 31,000 | -29 | Yes | -$23,507 | 02-28 07:27 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 33 | $24.8K | 17,329 | 13,529 | +3,800 | open | — | 10-03 00:47 |
| bitcoin above 72k on february 9 | 9 | $20.0K | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | No | +$20 | 02-09 16:46 |
| elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 540 559 | 13 | $18.8K | 9,434 | 9,434 | +0 | No | +$83 | 01-26 13:06 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | 25 | $17.6K | 9,886 | 9,886 | +0 | Yes | +$1,775 | 02-28 21:38 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 21 | $16.1K | 12,100 | 5,900 | +6,200 | Yes | -$272 | 04-08 19:27 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | 12 | $15.8K | 10,136 | 10,136 | +0 | Yes | +$127 | 02-28 18:13 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026 | 18 | $15.6K | 7,930 | 7,930 | +0 | No | +$238 | 02-28 05:42 |
| will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes 281 | 13 | $15.3K | 15,455 | 0 | +15,455 | No | +$126 | 01-25 02:19 |
| will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election | 40 | $15.0K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | Yes | +$30 | 02-08 14:14 |
| us strikes iran by february 2 2026 | 2 | $14.9K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | No | +$100 | 02-02 19:12 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | 15 | $14.0K | 7,134 | 6,904 | +230 | Yes | -$110 | 07-24 17:14 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 25 | $13.6K | 11,000 | 13,000 | -2,000 | Yes | -$6,634 | 02-28 19:46 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747 | 47 | $13.4K | 7,000 | 7,000 | +0 | No | +$424 | 03-31 05:23 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 8 | $12.5K | 8,000 | 6,000 | +2,000 | open | — | 08-30 21:57 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by March 31? | 47 | $12.0K | 8,265 | 7,200 | +1,065 | No | +$1,561 | 03-12 19:37 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 18 | $11.2K | 8,000 | 4,000 | +4,000 | No | +$534 | 02-19 04:36 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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