Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$388
Hit rate
84.6%
Resolved
9
Trades
3,180
lifetime
Volume
$1.29M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$405
Open exposure
$18.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 07-21 11:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
53% 80% $-44
Other
31% 75% +$25
Crypto
10%
Sports
3%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,000 $1,800 90¢ $1.8K $-10 06-15 03:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,346 92¢ $1.4K +$26 07-07 05:38
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,400 $1,294 92¢ $1.3K +$1 07-11 18:56
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,000 $942 96¢ $956 +$14 06-17 04:49
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,001 $943 95¢ $952 +$9 07-10 19:05
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1,001 $927 94¢ $945 +$18 07-01 15:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1,000 $890 94¢ $935 +$45 06-06 18:35
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +947 $891 92¢ $873 $-18 07-20 09:44
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +1,003 $874 86¢ $862 $-12 07-11 19:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -803 $-771 96¢ $-774 $-3 07-20 02:42
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +900 $777 86¢ $770 $-8 07-11 19:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,000 $-406 72¢ $-725 $-319 07-20 15:31
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +500 $486 99¢ $494 +$8 06-16 07:14
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +516 $480 94¢ $488 +$8 07-12 13:15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +520 $465 90¢ $470 +$5 07-12 13:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +501 $448 92¢ $458 +$11 07-11 19:15
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +500 $464 92¢ $458 $-6 07-06 12:22
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +500 $454 91¢ $453 $-1 07-11 19:22
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +500 $446 90¢ $448 +$2 07-12 22:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +800 $615 55¢ $436 $-179 07-20 17:58
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +405 $373 93¢ $376 +$3 07-20 17:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +301 $286 98¢ $294 +$8 06-18 01:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +301 $283 94¢ $284 +$2 07-02 05:05
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +302 $268 92¢ $280 +$12 07-06 09:01
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +401 $289 66¢ $263 $-26 07-01 08:23
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +274 $250 90¢ $248 $-2 07-10 04:36
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No +246 $234 96¢ $235 +$1 07-03 05:52
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +237 $226 96¢ $227 +$1 06-27 18:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -300 $-223 66¢ $-200 +$24 07-16 01:04
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +238 $198 84¢ $198 $-0 07-05 16:06