Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
+$71
Hit rate
84.6%
Resolved
9
Trades
2,806
lifetime
Volume
$1.24M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$442
Open exposure
$12.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 07-01 12:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
54% 80% $-44
Other
30% 75% +$25
Crypto
10%
Sports
3%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,000 $1,800 90¢ $1.8K +$10 06-15 03:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,720 86¢ $1.7K +$10 06-15 07:04
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1,003 $-965 96¢ $-965 $-1 06-17 04:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,000 $942 95¢ $946 +$4 06-17 04:49
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1,000 $890 94¢ $935 +$45 06-06 18:35
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +601 $557 92¢ $555 $-1 07-01 07:24
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +500 $486 98¢ $488 +$2 06-16 07:14
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +501 $468 94¢ $471 +$3 06-16 07:11
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +502 $421 90¢ $450 +$29 07-01 07:05
Trump out as President before 2027? No +400 $364 92¢ $366 +$2 07-01 07:23
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +400 $337 86¢ $346 +$9 06-15 11:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +301 $286 96¢ $289 +$3 06-18 01:40
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +401 $289 66¢ $263 $-26 07-01 08:23
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +300 $257 86¢ $260 +$2 07-01 07:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +300 $258 82¢ $244 $-14 06-15 06:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +243 $219 95¢ $232 +$13 06-25 13:16
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +237 $226 96¢ $227 +$1 06-27 18:39
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +200 $183 94¢ $187 +$4 07-01 06:55
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +200 $180 92¢ $183 +$3 06-19 01:43
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +201 $180 90¢ $181 +$1 06-16 07:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +200 $176 90¢ $179 +$3 06-27 17:09
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +200 $180 89¢ $178 $-2 06-25 07:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +202 $144 72¢ $144 $-0 06-30 10:43
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +100 $94 100¢ $100 +$6 06-23 01:36
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +100 $95 95¢ $95 +$1 06-23 01:33
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +200 $137 46¢ $93 $-44 06-15 17:34
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +100 $93 92¢ $92 $-0 06-25 03:32
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +101 $87 92¢ $92 +$5 06-18 09:35
New pandemic in 2026? No +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$0 06-27 17:11
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +100 $89 92¢ $92 +$2 06-22 08:40