Realized P&L
+$34.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.07K
Hit rate
76.5%
Resolved
2,958
Trades
26,135
lifetime
Volume
$2.33M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$28.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 07:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 268 days
Categories
Other
46% 53% +$21,413
Politics
38% 75% +$15,460
Sports
14% 49% -$5,535
Crypto
2% 71% +$3,311
Tech
0% 100% +$108
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 286 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +4,200 $3,900 94¢ $4.0K +$69 11-02 04:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,156 $2,876 82¢ $3.4K +$553 10-17 12:35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -2,100 -$1,179 80¢ $-1669 -$490 06-24 05:54
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,500 $1,326 94¢ $1.4K +$92 10-15 02:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1,300 $1,131 93¢ $1.2K +$79 08-24 10:20
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +1,155 $626 96¢ $1.1K +$482 10-29 17:41
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,277 $1,038 80¢ $1.0K -$10 10-28 03:56
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +1,100 $952 92¢ $1.0K +$54 10-23 22:03
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,207 $781 74¢ $899 +$118 10-27 12:26
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,147 $831 74¢ $854 +$23 10-29 17:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +845 $97 99¢ $837 +$740 10-31 10:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +1,123 $797 74¢ $825 +$28 11-01 09:57
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2,700 $1,278 30¢ $810 -$468 10-24 12:13
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +755 $736 98¢ $743 +$7 10-30 03:54
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +800 $584 86¢ $692 +$108 08-23 22:10
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +728 $182 94¢ $688 +$506 10-28 12:27
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +800 $600 86¢ $684 +$84 08-07 10:27
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +722 $614 91¢ $657 +$43 10-29 11:18
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +700 $623 92¢ $648 +$24 10-29 17:47
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +700 $567 84¢ $584 +$17 10-19 07:07
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? Yes +1,188 $746 44¢ $529 -$218 09-25 22:57
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +600 $451 84¢ $501 +$50 10-17 12:36
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +479 $359 100¢ $479 +$119 10-25 03:58
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +655 $386 70¢ $455 +$69 10-28 17:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +766 $471 59¢ $454 -$17 10-29 09:07
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +500 $405 83¢ $415 +$10 09-15 15:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +759 $387 53¢ $402 +$15 09-23 02:55
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +489 $333 78¢ $384 +$51 11-01 17:41
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B 9z +677 $244 56¢ $379 +$135 10-28 01:54
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +3,449 $573 11¢ $362 -$211 11-01 15:18