Realized P&L
+$1.80K
Unrealized P&L
+$333
Hit rate
83.2%
Resolved
12
Trades
7,162
lifetime
Volume
$1.25M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$174
Open exposure
$6.10K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 06:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
53% 80% +$1,676
Other
34% 83% +$360
Sports
9% 0% $-240
Crypto
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 190 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,812 $2,765 72¢ $2.8K $-1 07-18 12:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -900 $-863 97¢ $-871 $-8 06-18 19:09
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -1,175 $-604 58¢ $-687 $-83 06-24 05:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,100 $-190 46¢ $511 +$701 07-16 20:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,100 $457 36¢ $390 $-66 06-26 06:06
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -318 $-296 94¢ $-300 $-5 05-31 18:08
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +300 $149 41¢ $124 $-25 07-18 14:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +700 $126 18¢ $122 $-4 07-20 13:32
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +400 $76 30¢ $122 +$46 06-28 16:55
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +300 $135 37¢ $111 $-24 07-15 15:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +300 $268 22¢ $64 $-204 06-20 08:26
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes +201 $24 15¢ $29 +$5 07-10 10:24