Optimal-Communion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.80K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

Trades

7,917

lifetime

Volume

$1.37M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$172

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 23:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

54% 80% +$1,676

Other

33% 83% +$360

Sports

9% 0% $-240

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 190 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	82	$37.3K	23,494	15,293	+8,201	open	—	03-04 18:35
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	36	$36.7K	22,476	14,946	+7,531	open	—	03-04 16:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	20	$30.5K	31,400	2,970	+28,430	open	—	06-02 22:34
will the us strike somalia next 656	86	$26.2K	12,728	13,912	-1,184	open	—	01-26 21:23
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	30	$21.2K	23,500	3,600	+19,900	open	—	04-07 23:59
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	30	$20.3K	24,032	5,532	+18,500	open	—	07-08 02:42
Will the US strike Somalia next?	30	$20.1K	10,729	10,220	+509	open	—	02-04 23:04
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	40	$19.6K	22,839	3,339	+19,500	open	—	07-20 11:08
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	27	$19.3K	9,703	9,900	-197	open	—	02-03 20:06
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	72	$17.5K	13,239	11,139	+2,100	open	—	02-03 02:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	39	$17.1K	15,819	2,800	+13,019	open	—	03-01 01:55
Will the US strike Somalia next?	37	$16.6K	6,673	10,197	-3,524	open	—	01-27 21:25
Will the US strike Iran next?	24	$15.8K	8,151	8,151	+0	open	—	01-29 23:59
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$15.6K	13,706	2,003	+11,703	open	—	03-31 22:13
will the us strike iran next 433	33	$15.4K	11,008	4,578	+6,430	open	—	01-23 23:35
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	21	$14.7K	14,506	425	+14,081	open	—	07-17 00:50
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	10	$14.5K	6,800	7,800	-1,000	open	—	01-31 17:14
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	49	$14.3K	7,950	7,250	+700	open	—	02-01 05:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	69	$14.0K	10,300	7,449	+2,850	open	—	08-06 22:01
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	12	$13.1K	9,188	4,000	+5,188	open	—	01-26 22:30
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	75	$12.8K	7,100	6,200	+900	open	—	02-08 19:22
will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in january 2026	53	$12.2K	9,156	3,866	+5,290	open	—	01-22 15:24
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	32	$12.0K	11,971	3,660	+8,311	open	—	03-10 18:41
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	27	$11.6K	11,899	451	+11,448	open	—	04-04 21:15
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	48	$10.9K	7,617	4,462	+3,155	open	—	01-30 17:27
Will the US strike Iran next?	22	$10.7K	8,200	2,792	+5,408	open	—	02-04 20:12
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	45	$10.5K	10,073	1,098	+8,975	open	—	03-27 00:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	31	$10.4K	8,140	3,940	+4,200	open	—	04-08 20:37
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	16	$10.3K	10,045	695	+9,350	open	—	03-24 12:22
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	72	$9.7K	7,553	7,864	-312	open	—	01-31 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 23:14:37	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	377	62¢	$234	0x0378cf…
08-10 23:06:43	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x5b61bc…
08-10 19:43:01	will gareth bale attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630271	No	SELL	83	95¢	$79	0x6c9dd5…
08-10 14:57:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x7c61c7…
08-10 14:53:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x6eeb1c…
08-10 12:06:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$81	0x085e66…
08-10 12:05:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	89	82¢	$72	0xf05ff4…
08-10 11:00:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	111	82¢	$91	0xb0caf0…
08-10 00:29:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0x155e80…
08-10 00:27:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x7a7287…
08-10 00:23:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xffcee7…
08-10 00:11:18	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x218050…
08-10 00:08:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	701	96¢	$676	0xf67d8e…
08-10 00:06:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	102	15¢	$15	0x75735b…
08-10 00:06:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	51	15¢	$8	0xa0c476…
08-10 00:06:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x47917a…
08-10 00:06:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	188	15¢	$28	0xed3719…
08-10 00:06:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xe9985f…
08-10 00:06:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0xdc331c…
08-10 00:06:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x3e3edc…
08-10 00:06:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xba50ae…
08-10 00:06:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	182	15¢	$27	0x8d7fd4…
08-10 00:06:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0c389c…
08-10 00:06:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xc2db53…
08-09 22:54:10	will gareth bale attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630271	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x746dd0…
08-09 19:35:34	will gareth bale attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630271	No	SELL	117	95¢	$111	0x80b021…
08-09 19:20:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	205	49¢	$100	0xff3d65…
08-09 16:58:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	300	90¢	$270	0xc879e8…
08-08 23:16:00	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	312	96¢	$298	0x63cbe2…
08-08 23:13:25	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x364770…
08-08 23:13:09	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xcf0167…
08-08 23:11:09	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0xebc9b3…
08-08 23:10:09	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	59	96¢	$56	0x91f1fd…
08-08 19:06:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	800	92¢	$736	0xb7d5e0…
08-08 15:59:09	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xd4b78f…
08-08 15:53:09	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x4dd2c0…
08-08 14:04:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	256	54¢	$138	0x32f5e1…
08-08 12:03:43	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	BUY	2,713	97¢	$2,634	0xf1e243…
08-07 10:27:12	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	800	75¢	$600	0x1a3dad…
08-07 03:19:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xe51de2…
08-07 03:04:49	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	SELL	150	57¢	$85	0xc5a276…
08-07 00:15:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x5cc943…
08-06 22:01:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,200	82¢	$984	0xba74a9…
08-06 19:03:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	138	21¢	$29	0x7c1eb3…
08-06 19:01:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	400	19¢	$76	0x8a69de…
08-06 19:01:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	600	73¢	$438	0x1f5210…
08-06 18:42:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x0d9dc5…
08-06 18:42:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0xee694b…
08-06 18:41:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	229	21¢	$48	0x931bb9…
08-06 18:41:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	900	24¢	$216	0xdddc8a…
08-06 16:37:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	400	78¢	$310	0x6709d5…
08-06 16:31:32	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	Yes	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0xbce39b…
08-06 16:24:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0xc20cd9…
08-06 14:51:35	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	SELL	244	49¢	$120	0xdc150e…
08-06 13:45:45	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x2246cc…
08-06 13:45:42	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	SELL	56	49¢	$27	0x1c4cd1…
08-06 13:30:27	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	170	47¢	$80	0x78d212…
08-06 13:28:27	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x277ecc…
08-06 13:27:27	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd2c23f…
08-06 13:27:26	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x2690df…
08-06 13:27:24	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x962771…
08-06 13:23:53	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd9afa2…
08-06 13:22:56	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xcd024f…
08-06 13:22:54	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x261997…
08-06 13:21:35	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x276609…
08-06 13:21:33	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x59765a…
08-06 13:20:45	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	88	47¢	$41	0xaeead6…
08-06 13:20:27	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x079fa7…
08-06 13:14:54	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x46b4ee…
08-06 10:40:50	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	81	78¢	$63	0xf4bc59…
08-06 10:37:06	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x250c18…
08-06 10:35:23	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x59fb20…
08-06 10:34:45	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xd9182f…
08-06 10:34:42	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x151780…
08-06 09:41:47	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	183	78¢	$143	0xf2697a…
08-06 08:34:50	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	500	93¢	$466	0x4ae597…
08-06 06:55:41	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	460	89¢	$409	0x4cd9fd…
08-06 04:15:44	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1,300	99¢	$1,283	0x809292…
08-05 23:38:51	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	76	76¢	$58	0xca7c25…
08-05 23:38:50	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xfca80b…
08-05 23:38:50	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	18	76¢	$14	0xdf8136…
08-05 23:38:50	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x6829cd…
08-05 23:38:48	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	185	76¢	$141	0xdc476e…
08-05 23:38:48	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xacbb02…
08-05 23:38:48	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x8237df…
08-05 22:57:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	476	76¢	$362	0x39de16…
08-05 21:10:33	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x862341…
08-05 19:13:30	will gareth bale attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630271	No	BUY	165	88¢	$145	0x827d46…
08-05 19:01:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0xdc41ec…
08-05 18:50:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	251	39¢	$98	0x58ef2e…
08-05 18:42:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0x187136…
08-05 18:23:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	249	39¢	$97	0xb32d7e…
08-05 17:56:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	Yes	BUY	700	96¢	$671	0x3d7b35…
08-05 17:32:53	will gareth bale attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630271	No	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x8a0e5a…
08-05 17:08:30	will gareth bale attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630271	No	BUY	119	88¢	$105	0xa2fc63…
08-05 16:36:32	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0xb00249…
08-05 16:21:53	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x60cc12…
08-05 16:18:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0x054628…
08-05 16:07:14	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	150	28¢	$42	0x71b4ec…
08-05 16:06:06	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	23	28¢	$7	0xb6eaab…