Realized P&L
+$1.80K
Unrealized P&L
-$55
Hit rate
83.2%
Resolved
12
Trades
6,759
lifetime
Volume
$1.14M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$169
Open exposure
$12.7K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 08:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
55% 80% +$1,676
Other
35% 83% +$360
Sports
6% 0% $-240
Crypto
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 190 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +6,000 $5,928 100¢ $6.0K +$66 06-30 16:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2,200 $1,975 100¢ $2.2K +$218 07-01 03:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,325 $-1,142 86¢ $-1146 $-5 06-10 00:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -900 $-863 96¢ $-866 $-4 06-18 19:09
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +800 $746 90¢ $723 $-23 06-29 21:38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -1,175 $-604 54¢ $-629 $-25 06-24 05:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,100 $457 44¢ $484 +$27 06-26 06:06
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -318 $-296 93¢ $-296 $-0 05-31 18:08
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes -225 $-253 94¢ $-211 +$43 06-29 23:24
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +400 $76 28¢ $110 +$34 06-28 16:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +300 $268 30¢ $88 $-180 06-20 08:26
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +400 $237 $7 $-229 06-28 01:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -200 $-24 $-1 +$23 06-08 11:45