Realized P&L
+$33.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.35K
Hit rate
76.5%
Resolved
2,970
Trades
26,272
lifetime
Volume
$2.34M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$33.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 01:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 269 days
Categories
Other
46% 53% +$20,522
Politics
38% 75% +$15,460
Sports
14% 49% -$5,535
Crypto
2% 71% +$3,311
Tech
0% 100% +$108
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 286 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +6,600 $6,156 94¢ $6.2K +$81 11-02 18:16
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +3,701 $3,575 100¢ $3.7K +$119 11-02 18:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,156 $2,876 82¢ $3.4K +$553 10-17 12:35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -2,100 -$1,179 84¢ $-1753 -$574 06-24 05:54
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,500 $1,326 94¢ $1.4K +$92 10-15 02:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1,300 $1,131 92¢ $1.2K +$62 08-24 10:20
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +1,155 $626 97¢ $1.1K +$492 10-29 17:41
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,277 $1,038 82¢ $1.1K +$15 10-28 03:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +2,066 $1,155 49¢ $1.0K -$148 11-03 01:55
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +1,100 $952 92¢ $1.0K +$54 10-23 22:03
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,207 $781 72¢ $875 +$94 10-27 12:26
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,147 $831 76¢ $866 +$34 10-29 17:36
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2,700 $1,278 30¢ $823 -$454 10-24 12:13
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +755 $736 98¢ $740 +$4 10-30 03:54
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +800 $584 88¢ $708 +$124 08-23 22:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +800 $600 86¢ $692 +$92 08-07 10:27
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +728 $182 95¢ $691 +$509 10-28 12:27
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +700 $623 96¢ $668 +$46 10-29 17:47
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +722 $614 90¢ $653 +$40 10-29 11:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? Yes +655 $570 90¢ $586 +$16 11-03 01:06
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +755 $559 72¢ $547 -$11 11-02 15:29
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? Yes +1,188 $746 44¢ $529 -$218 09-25 22:57
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +600 $451 84¢ $501 +$50 10-17 12:36
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) Liquid +755 $506 60¢ $457 -$49 11-02 18:22
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +655 $386 70¢ $455 +$69 10-28 17:29
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +500 $405 91¢ $455 +$50 09-15 15:38
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5) Bucks +665 $299 63¢ $419 +$120 11-03 00:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +561 $387 74¢ $413 +$26 11-03 01:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +759 $387 53¢ $402 +$15 09-23 02:55
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +489 $333 78¢ $384 +$51 11-01 17:41