Realized P&L
-$7.61K
Unrealized P&L
+$134
Hit rate
65.8%
Resolved
27,072
Trades
139,576
lifetime
Volume
$493.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$598
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 18:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 296 days
Categories
Crypto
61% 59% -$2,955
Other
34% 39% -$4,365
Politics
4% 45% -$335
Tech
1% 39% +$153
Sports
0% 30% -$91
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2506 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -160 -$72 66¢ $-106 -$34 08-11 01:54
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -58 -$49 92¢ $-54 -$4 04-28 15:50
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -160 -$86 34¢ $-54 +$33 08-11 01:54
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +83 $35 55¢ $45 +$10 08-25 02:29
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +85 $26 46¢ $39 +$13 10-27 12:49
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +20 $5 99¢ $20 +$14 10-27 20:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +19 $8 90¢ $17 +$9 08-05 21:52
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +22 $10 74¢ $16 +$7 07-25 15:25
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -16 -$15 96¢ $-15 -$1 05-03 11:12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +16 $7 92¢ $15 +$8 06-18 20:05
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +15 -$4 93¢ $14 +$18 08-25 00:26
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +15 -$4 94¢ $14 +$18 07-17 23:18
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +15 $14 91¢ $14 $0 08-08 02:10
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes -15 -$14 91¢ $-14 +$1 10-27 16:24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +23 $8 58¢ $13 +$6 06-30 14:18
will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232 Yes +27 $10 49¢ $13 +$3 07-25 13:05
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +15 $3 80¢ $12 +$9 07-22 06:08
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -68 -$14 18¢ $-12 +$2 10-26 21:22
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +12 $5 96¢ $12 +$6 06-18 17:32
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +20 $9 55¢ $11 +$2 08-13 13:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$1 08-25 01:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 10-25 02:20
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +10 $0 95¢ $10 +$10 08-28 04:04
will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232 No +18 $10 51¢ $9 -$1 07-15 08:36
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No -9 -$8 98¢ $-9 -$1 05-05 10:04
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +50 $12 18¢ $9 -$3 08-14 15:03
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +10 $0 88¢ $9 +$9 10-06 20:39
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +114 $2 7¢ $8 +$5 08-17 16:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +54 $11 14¢ $8 -$4 08-02 07:13
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +81 $10 9¢ $8 -$2 08-23 16:36