Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b73b…bff43c
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.03K
Unrealized P&L
+$50
Hit rate
61.2%
Resolved
4,291
Trades
65,232
lifetime
Volume
$207.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$143
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-15 06:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Crypto
83% 53% $-1,039
Other
11% 80% +$6
Politics
6% 33% +$2
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 4525 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +57 $15 96¢ $54 +$39 06-08 02:51
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +14 $10 94¢ $13 +$3 06-09 21:18
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-02 02:19
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 $-0 06-01 13:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -9 $-4 94¢ $-8 $-4 06-13 18:24
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +8 $2 76¢ $6 +$4 06-11 16:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -120 $-7 4¢ $-5 +$2 05-28 14:19
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes +5 $2 100¢ $5 +$2 06-09 21:10
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +10 $4 46¢ $5 +$0 06-10 23:13
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +5 $4 84¢ $4 $-0 06-06 03:01
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +5 $1 72¢ $4 +$2 06-14 21:40
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +5 $3 46¢ $2 $-0 06-14 21:40
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 44¢ $2 $-0 06-11 02:26
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Yes +5 $1 43¢ $2 +$1 06-11 07:49
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +5 $2 43¢ $2 +$0 06-09 20:12
UK Recession in 2026? Yes +5 $2 42¢ $2 $-0 06-11 00:12
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-13 15:28
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $1 23¢ $1 +$0 06-12 02:37
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +5 $2 22¢ $1 $-1 06-10 12:39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +5 $2 20¢ $1 $-1 06-10 14:57
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-11 18:05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +5 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-11 13:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -23 $-6 3¢ $-1 +$5 06-11 18:30
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +5 $0 10¢ $0 +$0 06-11 23:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +5 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 06-11 22:05
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +6 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 06-15 01:05
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $-0 06-11 02:53
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +5 $2 0¢ $0 $-2 06-12 05:19