Friendly-Legislation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

4,291

Trades

74,021

lifetime

Volume

$235.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-18 06:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 53% $-1,039

Other

12% 80% +$6

Politics

7% 33% +$2

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1155 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	130	$1.6K	779	823	-44	open	—	02-13 18:17
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	139	$903	1,536	1,153	+382	open	—	02-13 15:22
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	64	$712	348	368	-20	open	—	02-03 02:52
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	119	$712	1,965	2,302	-337	open	—	02-10 18:27
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 6pm et	73	$661	1,123	871	+252	open	—	04-09 23:01
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	118	$649	895	993	-98	open	—	03-21 20:41
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 5pm et	105	$615	1,430	141	+1,290	open	—	04-09 21:59
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	120	$503	262	262	+0	open	—	02-23 18:07
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	139	$503	1,515	1,626	-111	open	—	02-13 15:19
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 115 139	65	$495	937	1,034	-96	open	—	02-09 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	62	$492	803	142	+662	open	—	04-27 23:40
will bitcoin dip to 62k august 10 16 2026	51	$488	490	464	+26	open	—	08-17 00:18
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	95	$477	775	693	+82	open	—	02-10 13:03
btc updown 15m 1767817800	11	$469	240	240	+0	open	—	01-07 20:42
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	24	$461	310	222	+89	open	—	03-02 19:05
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	238	$446	829	635	+194	open	—	02-20 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	44	$437	321	359	-37	open	—	04-27 20:55
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	85	$408	1,201	369	+832	open	—	08-12 14:28
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	120	$407	640	1,014	-374	open	—	02-13 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	30	$405	477	240	+237	open	—	04-27 22:20
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	128	$399	2,048	1,980	+68	open	—	02-10 14:54
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	40	$398	273	273	+0	open	—	03-24 20:11
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 11pm et	49	$382	479	437	+42	open	—	04-09 04:00
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	65	$381	282	327	-45	open	—	02-17 17:30
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	157	$380	381	332	+48	open	—	02-28 07:16
btc updown 15m 1767798900	6	$374	192	192	+0	open	—	01-07 15:24
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	50	$371	792	781	+11	open	—	04-08 07:35
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	68	$363	426	211	+215	open	—	08-07 00:22
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 40 64	18	$358	204	205	-1	open	—	02-08 23:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	59	$356	163	205	-42	open	—	04-22 22:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 10:38:39	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by december 31 2026	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xffead8…
08-18 10:38:36	will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by december 31 2026 20260604155615146	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x2fe1e2…
08-18 10:17:40	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 300b hkd 20260727205430942	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x3209ca…
08-18 09:40:06	will anyone say secret during big brother e21 20260819	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe79899…
08-18 08:55:40	will insidious out of the further score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260824	No	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0x4b3891…
08-18 08:51:58	will insidious out of the further score at least 30 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260824	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xca845b…
08-18 08:14:21	will klarna say southwest airlines during earnings call	No	BUY	9	58¢	$6	0x5dc369…
08-18 06:17:58	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 27 2026 20260724221849658	No	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xa07de2…
08-18 05:51:51	will coyote vs acme score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260831	Yes	SELL	14	88¢	$13	0x18c640…
08-18 04:46:18	will coyote vs acme score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260831	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$7	0x498546…
08-18 04:32:31	will insidious out of the further score at least 45 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260824	No	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0xaf398f…
08-18 03:50:13	will the dog stars score at least 75 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260831	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x978c17…
08-18 03:23:58	will home depot say tariff during earnings call	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x856e18…
08-18 02:55:22	will klarna say southwest airlines during earnings call	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0ed443…
08-18 02:04:57	bitcoin above 66k on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xc74966…
08-18 00:31:34	will trump speak to kim jong un in august 20260731154203514	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x100ed8…
08-18 00:28:57	will bitcoin reach 70k august 17 23 2026	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x9720d8…
08-18 00:23:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x5c8842…
08-18 00:10:00	will home depot say tariff during earnings call	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x685f3b…
08-17 23:41:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0xda24ba…
08-17 23:32:07	Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x833e02…
08-17 23:27:52	will trump speak to kim jong un in august 20260731154203514	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xbeaef5…
08-17 23:19:03	Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0xac2ab7…
08-17 23:05:48	will bitcoin reach 70k august 17 23 2026	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x120e96…
08-17 23:04:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xebc1f3…
08-17 22:58:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	28	91¢	$26	0x574c45…
08-17 22:53:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0xfcf3ae…
08-17 22:51:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x1a9957…
08-17 22:33:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xaaffbf…
08-17 22:33:12	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xc63190…
08-17 22:31:18	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x6b9aac…
08-17 22:22:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x955ab4…
08-17 21:18:39	will solana reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$0	0x17338a…
08-17 21:10:57	will ethereum reach 2300 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x08f7e2…
08-17 21:09:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	54	7¢	$4	0xe48885…
08-17 21:08:04	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	No	SELL	26	21¢	$5	0x15832e…
08-17 20:59:22	will ethereum reach 2300 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0x4a644f…
08-17 20:59:21	ethereum above 2000 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfa22c9…
08-17 20:47:36	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x06acab…
08-17 20:44:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x6f2d47…
08-17 20:44:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x2799ef…
08-17 20:44:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0xace783…
08-17 20:28:45	bitcoin above 60k on august 22 2026	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xbc681d…
08-17 20:23:24	will ethereum reach 2300 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0x1eb639…
08-17 20:18:58	wti closes above 82 on august 17 2026	No	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x33ed36…
08-17 20:11:16	pltr up or down on august 17 2026	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0a0707…
08-17 20:10:31	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x876b67…
08-17 20:07:07	will ethereum reach 2300 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	63	4¢	$2	0x9e77a3…
08-17 19:57:06	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xf90cb2…
08-17 19:55:58	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xdd0ee8…
08-17 19:55:16	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x43356f…
08-17 19:53:16	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xb707c8…
08-17 19:44:31	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	No	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x3e8375…
08-17 19:43:51	will solana dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x4e6f3f…
08-17 19:40:28	will solana reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xca7f67…
08-17 19:40:27	will solana reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$2	0xb2fa22…
08-17 19:36:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0xeebfe6…
08-17 19:31:25	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0xffe9a9…
08-17 19:31:18	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	No	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0xf186d4…
08-17 19:30:46	will solana reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$2	0xb23dae…
08-17 19:18:39	bitcoin above 62k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xa6254e…
08-17 19:15:40	will steve witkoff attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044258	No	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0xefe8e2…
08-17 19:15:22	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	No	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x47102f…
08-17 19:15:18	will solana reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x018f55…
08-17 19:15:10	will jared kushner attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044257	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x047fce…
08-17 19:14:03	will kazem gharibabadi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044265	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x4abd7f…
08-17 19:13:46	spy closes above 775 on august 17 2026	No	SELL	22	93¢	$21	0xdca67e…
08-17 19:12:15	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9630ac…
08-17 19:02:24	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	No	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0x2acf96…
08-17 18:57:51	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	No	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x9d0353…
08-17 18:45:30	spx up or down on august 17 2026	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x72a902…
08-17 18:43:27	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	No	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x8e05b7…
08-17 18:39:33	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	No	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x760c65…
08-17 18:31:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x871ff7…
08-17 18:23:28	will bitcoin reach 66k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xb06e5c…
08-17 18:23:25	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0x2800e2…
08-17 18:22:36	wti closes above 84 on august 17 2026	No	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x246995…
08-17 18:21:45	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0x1aceba…
08-17 18:15:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0xb652b8…
08-17 18:09:00	wti closes above 84 on august 17 2026	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xb204dd…
08-17 18:04:34	will trump speak to kim jong un in august 20260731154203514	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xecea88…
08-17 18:02:15	spx up or down on august 17 2026	Up	SELL	27	2¢	$0	0x42b3be…
08-17 17:59:13	wti closes above 84 on august 17 2026	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x915260…
08-17 17:58:22	spx up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xc4cb52…
08-17 17:55:25	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	No	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x267296…
08-17 17:38:42	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0x722e2a…
08-17 17:37:39	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	No	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x000c0e…
08-17 17:31:06	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 23 2026 20260724221849654	No	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x53c48a…
08-17 17:26:10	will bill walker advance from the 2026 alaska governor primary election	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x0eddbd…
08-17 17:18:30	bitcoin above 60k on august 22 2026	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x55d6ee…
08-17 17:13:25	trump meets with putin by september 30	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9936a5…
08-17 16:59:48	will solana reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$0	0x6cf00d…
08-17 16:53:58	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 17 2026 20260722225036941	Yes	BUY	41	6¢	$2	0xba9d03…
08-17 16:51:54	Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	114	2¢	$2	0x308ad9…
08-17 16:40:01	ethereum above 2100 on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	118	0¢	$0	0x503f09…
08-17 16:21:22	bitcoin above 58k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	222	0¢	$1	0x624d54…
08-17 16:16:57	bitcoin above 66k on august 18 2026	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$0	0xb43bcf…
08-17 16:14:54	bitcoin above 62k on august 18 2026	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb6e1d0…
08-17 16:14:33	ethereum above 1700 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	222	0¢	$0	0x495fac…
08-17 16:05:24	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x223ac6…