Realized P&L
-$7.60K
Unrealized P&L
+$114
Hit rate
65.8%
Resolved
26,972
Trades
139,331
lifetime
Volume
$493.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$597
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 10:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 295 days
Categories
Crypto
61% 59% -$2,955
Other
34% 39% -$4,353
Politics
4% 45% -$335
Tech
1% 39% +$153
Sports
0% 30% -$91
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2506 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -160 -$72 66¢ $-105 -$33 08-11 01:54
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -160 -$86 34¢ $-55 +$31 08-11 01:54
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -58 -$49 92¢ $-53 -$4 04-28 15:50
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +83 $35 60¢ $50 +$15 08-25 02:29
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $22 40¢ $30 +$8 10-01 18:36
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +38 $15 70¢ $27 +$12 08-06 14:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +19 $8 90¢ $17 +$9 08-05 21:52
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -16 -$15 96¢ $-15 -$1 05-03 11:12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +16 $7 92¢ $15 +$8 06-18 20:05
will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232 Yes +27 $10 54¢ $15 +$5 07-25 13:05
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +15 $14 97¢ $15 +$1 08-08 02:10
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +15 -$4 93¢ $14 +$18 08-25 00:26
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +15 -$4 92¢ $14 +$17 07-17 23:18
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +50 $12 24¢ $12 $0 08-14 15:03
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +12 $5 97¢ $12 +$6 06-18 17:32
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +15 $3 76¢ $11 +$8 07-22 06:08
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -68 -$14 16¢ $-11 +$3 10-26 21:22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +23 $8 46¢ $11 +$3 06-30 14:18
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +20 $9 54¢ $10 +$1 08-13 13:31
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? Yes +28 $10 36¢ $10 +$0 10-27 08:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$1 08-25 01:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 +$0 10-25 02:20
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +14 $5 70¢ $10 +$5 10-25 09:21
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +81 $10 12¢ $10 +$0 08-23 16:36
will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from july 21 Yes +55 $20 18¢ $10 -$10 08-21 08:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 10-27 09:41
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +10 $0 95¢ $10 +$10 08-28 04:04
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $0 10-27 04:39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +22 $10 41¢ $9 -$1 07-25 15:25
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No -9 -$8 98¢ $-9 -$1 05-05 10:04