Realized P&L
-$1.03K
Unrealized P&L
+$82
Hit rate
61.2%
Resolved
4,291
Trades
69,544
lifetime
Volume
$218.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$198
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-06 23:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Crypto
82% 53% $-1,039
Other
11% 80% +$6
Politics
7% 33% +$2
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 4525 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +32 $10 76¢ $24 +$15 06-18 03:06
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No +36 $8 58¢ $21 +$13 06-30 15:03
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +16 $7 66¢ $11 +$4 06-18 20:05
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +17 $-21 57¢ $10 +$31 06-22 13:58
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +12 $5 78¢ $9 +$4 06-18 17:32
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +15 $4 60¢ $9 +$5 07-03 21:28
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +14 $-4 64¢ $9 +$13 07-06 03:12
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +12 $8 73¢ $8 +$0 06-17 03:22
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +30 $6 28¢ $8 +$3 06-30 17:45
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $6 48¢ $7 +$1 06-24 18:40
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +15 $7 48¢ $7 +$0 06-30 14:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +26 $8 24¢ $6 $-2 06-18 13:50
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +23 $8 28¢ $6 $-1 06-30 15:29
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +10 $4 54¢ $5 +$1 06-27 06:05
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? Yes +12 $5 44¢ $5 +$1 06-29 12:47
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +15 $7 34¢ $5 $-2 07-04 15:13
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +12 $5 35¢ $4 $-0 06-18 11:24
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +11 $4 38¢ $4 +$0 06-28 21:39
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +5 $2 78¢ $4 +$2 06-18 16:48
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +11 $5 34¢ $4 $-1 06-22 05:39
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? No +12 $4 28¢ $3 $-0 07-03 15:24
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +15 $5 22¢ $3 $-2 06-27 08:53
Epstein storage units raided in 2026? Yes +11 $3 29¢ $3 +$0 06-29 01:34
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +15 $4 20¢ $3 $-1 06-17 11:03
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +15 $4 19¢ $3 $-1 07-03 02:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $4 16¢ $3 $-1 06-18 17:08
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $4 28¢ $3 $-1 06-28 11:05
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 50¢ $3 +$1 06-18 11:46
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 26¢ $3 +$0 06-29 09:57
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 52¢ $3 +$0 06-11 02:26