Realized P&L (30d)
-$79
Unrealized P&L
+$207
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved (30d)
2,485
Trades (30d)
5,067
142,456 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$20.1K
$506.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$521
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 19:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 313 days
Categories
Crypto
60% 59% -$2,857
Other
34% 39% -$4,203
Politics
5% 45% -$360
Tech
1% 40% +$123
Sports
0% 31% -$127
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2506 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +83 $35 94¢ $77 +$43 08-25 02:29
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +81 $10 35¢ $28 +$18 08-23 16:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +72 $20 32¢ $23 +$4 08-21 08:28
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +30 $19 74¢ $22 +$3 11-14 07:21
Will Gustav Klimt's “Litzlbergkeller” sell for between $75m and $90m at auction? No +32 $20 64¢ $21 +$1 11-08 07:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +22 $8 92¢ $20 +$13 06-30 13:38
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 $0 08-05 23:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +23 $8 82¢ $19 +$11 06-30 14:18
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +86 $5 21¢ $18 +$13 11-05 09:32
Will Amedeo Modigliani's “Tête” sell for between $28m and $33m at auction? Yes +71 $20 24¢ $17 -$3 11-08 04:28
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -16 -$15 98¢ $-16 -$1 05-03 11:12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +16 $7 96¢ $15 +$9 06-18 20:05
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +15 -$4 96¢ $15 +$19 08-25 00:26
will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232 No +18 $10 82¢ $15 +$5 07-15 08:36
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +15 -$4 96¢ $14 +$18 07-17 23:18
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes +21 $5 68¢ $14 +$9 07-09 07:03
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $10.00 on December 31, 2026? No +25 $14 54¢ $14 -$1 11-07 18:43
Will Anthropic close between $80 and $90 on its first trading day? No +24 $20 56¢ $14 -$6 11-14 08:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +148 $12 9¢ $13 +$1 08-21 08:48
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +15 $3 88¢ $13 +$10 07-22 06:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +19 $8 68¢ $13 +$5 08-05 21:52
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes +15 $7 84¢ $13 +$5 07-03 21:38
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? No +14 $5 88¢ $12 +$7 07-02 14:49
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +12 $5 99¢ $12 +$6 06-18 17:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 10-25 02:20
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +20 $9 56¢ $11 +$2 08-13 13:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $7 18¢ $11 +$4 08-23 15:49
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +11 -$1 97¢ $11 +$12 11-06 16:21
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +50 $12 21¢ $10 -$2 08-14 15:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 11-09 02:16