Realized P&L (7d)
+$438
Unrealized P&L
+$155
Hit rate
69.8%
Resolved (7d)
771
Trades (7d)
1,506
141,272 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$7.13K
$501.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$466
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 23:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 304 days
Categories
Crypto
60% 59% -$2,923
Other
34% 39% -$3,963
Politics
4% 45% -$369
Tech
1% 40% +$121
Sports
0% 30% -$95
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2506 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +83 $35 76¢ $63 +$29 08-25 02:29
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +50 $12 41¢ $21 +$9 08-14 15:03
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +85 $26 24¢ $20 -$6 10-27 12:49
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming +22 $19 88¢ $19 +$0 11-06 00:09
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 98¢ $19 +$0 08-05 23:32
highest temperature in seattle on november 6 2026 56 57f Yes +29 $11 60¢ $17 +$6 11-05 04:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +19 $8 88¢ $17 +$9 08-05 21:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +23 $8 69¢ $16 +$8 06-30 14:18
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -16 -$15 97¢ $-16 -$1 05-03 11:12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +22 $8 70¢ $16 +$8 06-30 13:38
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +16 $7 97¢ $15 +$9 06-18 20:05
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +86 $5 17¢ $15 +$10 11-05 09:32
will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232 No +18 $10 82¢ $15 +$5 07-15 08:36
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +15 -$4 94¢ $15 +$19 08-25 00:26
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +15 -$4 93¢ $14 +$18 07-17 23:18
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? Yes +26 $2 51¢ $13 +$11 10-25 14:47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 7? Yes +56 $13 24¢ $13 $0 11-05 21:26
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 6? Yes +24 $7 53¢ $13 +$5 11-05 02:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November? No +35 $10 36¢ $12 +$3 11-04 16:59
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +12 $5 98¢ $12 +$6 06-18 17:32
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? No +12 $6 94¢ $12 +$5 10-25 13:57
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +81 $10 14¢ $11 +$1 08-23 16:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 10-25 02:20
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +20 $9 56¢ $11 +$2 08-13 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 6? Yes +113 $23 10¢ $11 -$12 11-05 01:50
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on November 6? Yes +35 $6 30¢ $11 +$5 11-04 20:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$1 08-25 01:23
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 7? Yes +24 $7 42¢ $10 +$3 11-05 21:23
Magic vs. Suns Suns +19 $10 52¢ $10 $0 11-06 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down — +10 $7 98¢ $10 +$3 11-06 00:23