Realized P&L
-$944
Unrealized P&L
+$127
Hit rate
19.6%
Resolved
22
Trades
65,370
lifetime
Volume
$762.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$4.84K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-03 13:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
64% 89% +$176
Sports
22% 57% $-1,126
Politics
8% 100% +$3
Crypto
3% 80% +$3
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 797 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,800 $-1,445 88¢ $-1575 $-130 06-04 13:46
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +643 $588 95¢ $613 +$25 06-11 08:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +600 $559 97¢ $580 +$21 06-16 10:54
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -602 $-571 94¢ $-565 +$6 06-09 07:01
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +600 $462 68¢ $408 $-54 06-21 19:16
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +1,300 $461 26¢ $338 $-123 06-26 09:32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -6,643 $-423 $-223 +$200 07-01 11:15
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -1,488 $-281 12¢ $-186 +$95 07-01 12:11
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +609 $180 18¢ $113 $-67 07-02 13:45
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -98 $-80 99¢ $-97 $-17 05-28 20:09
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +1,543 $-37 $63 +$100 06-11 14:31
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -600 $-78 $-33 +$45 06-02 16:19
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? Yes +31 $17 84¢ $26 +$9 06-19 23:53
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +18 $11 81¢ $15 +$4 06-03 07:35
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes -185 $-8 $-7 +$1 06-05 15:57
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $-2 $2 +$4 06-02 21:30
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $2 $1 $-1 05-28 17:00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +0 $-10 $0 +$10 06-09 18:08