Realized P&L
-$44.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$130
Hit rate
55.4%
Resolved
6,825
Trades
69,552
lifetime
Volume
$1.58M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$477
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 09-04 06:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 155 days
Categories
Other
83% 53% -$42,742
Crypto
12% 58% -$904
Politics
3% 66% +$338
Sports
2% 49% -$1,406
Tech
0% 62% -$66
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,328 -$322 18¢ $-246 +$76 06-03 11:45
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -437 -$28 16¢ $-68 -$40 05-18 16:04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +125 $43 45¢ $56 +$12 07-28 16:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +58 $29 47¢ $27 -$1 07-27 16:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +527 $113 3¢ $15 -$99 05-08 03:04
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -129 -$5 9¢ $-12 -$7 05-08 00:56
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 06-22 01:06
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes +28 $6 31¢ $9 +$3 07-03 08:05
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922 Yes +12 $5 58¢ $7 +$2 07-10 13:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +467 $74 1¢ $7 -$67 05-08 03:06
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +9 -$10 72¢ $6 +$16 07-17 22:10
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 No +89 $11 6¢ $6 -$5 06-13 09:57
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -107 -$1 2¢ $-3 -$2 05-10 21:23
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 07-14 22:11
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +9 $5 20¢ $2 -$4 07-11 18:50
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 04-29 20:31
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948 Yes +10 $5 8¢ $1 -$4 07-17 07:23
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +24 $6 2¢ $0 -$6 06-08 21:25
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +5 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 06-10 16:02
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +4 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 05-02 21:39