(anonymous) 0x040ad8…b5118d
bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.90K
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
2,124
Trades
3,856
lifetime
Volume
$66.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$136
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 10-24 07:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Other
54% 35% -$2,078
Politics
28% 35% -$485
Crypto
13% 51% +$690
Tech
2% 37% -$26
Sports
2% 50% +$12
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +50 $22 99¢ $49 +$27 09-10 18:06
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +50 $22 63¢ $31 +$9 09-08 19:45
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $22 19¢ $19 -$2 09-09 14:00
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +50 $18 18¢ $9 -$9 09-11 18:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +10 -$9 91¢ $9 +$18 09-03 21:10
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +50 $18 17¢ $8 -$10 09-09 23:08
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +12 $4 37¢ $4 +$1 09-08 06:54
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +50 $9 3¢ $2 -$7 09-05 02:09
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes +45 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 09-21 17:17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +10 $8 9¢ $1 -$8 08-13 15:25
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? Yes +37 $8 2¢ $1 -$7 09-29 13:39
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? No +5 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 09-09 18:08
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +0 $18 18¢ $0 -$18 09-04 06:45