Immediate-Pilot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$303

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

553

Trades

1,208

lifetime

Volume

$170.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$141

Open exposure

$569

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 02:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 190 days

Categories

Sports

89% 29% +$13,841

Other

10% 21% +$881

Politics

1% 8% +$59

Crypto

0% 0% -$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+8,083	$693	6¢	$505	-$188	09-06 23:07
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+891	$59	4¢	$36	-$23	09-01 07:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+100	$50	10¢	$10	-$40	05-28 04:57
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+208	$25	3¢	$7	-$18	05-23 01:21
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	+68	$20	10¢	$6	-$14	05-28 04:57
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+287	$25	2¢	$5	-$20	05-11 21:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hawks vs. Knicks	3	$6.0K	9,241	0	+9,241	Knicks	+$437	04-29 02:29
Cavaliers vs. 76ers	4	$5.9K	7,863	0	+7,863	76ers	-$2,138	10-23 01:48
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	9	$5.8K	9,899	0	+9,899	Knicks	-$2,632	06-11 03:34
Lakers vs. Thunder	5	$5.3K	8,592	0	+8,592	Thunder	+$767	05-06 02:47
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$5.0K	6,083	0	+6,083	Thunder	+$1,083	05-27 03:00
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	5	$4.2K	5,253	0	+5,253	Spurs	+$1,003	06-09 03:10
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$3.7K	4,429	0	+4,429	Thunder	+$714	05-21 02:49
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$3.5K	4,489	0	+4,489	Spurs	+$959	05-29 02:04
Celtics vs. 76ers	4	$3.5K	4,638	0	+4,638	76ers	+$382	05-01 02:18
mlb nym lad 2026 04 13	1	$3.4K	3,800	0	+3,800	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$380	04-14 03:10
Thunder vs. Spurs	5	$3.1K	3,550	0	+3,550	Thunder	+$297	05-23 03:13
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte3	3	$3.0K	3,213	0	+3,213	No	+$204	06-25 04:16
Pistons vs. Magic	1	$3.0K	3,191	0	+3,191	Pistons	+$191	05-02 01:25
mlb kc tb 2026 06 24	5	$3.0K	3,314	0	+3,314	Tampa Bay Rays	+$345	06-25 00:17
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	3	$2.9K	3,747	0	+3,747	Spurs	+$320	05-09 04:21
mlb ari wsh 2026 07 25	1	$2.7K	8,182	0	+8,182	Washington Nationals	+$5,482	07-25 20:53
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	4	$2.6K	6,155	0	+6,155	Bears	-$2,600	09-29 01:46
Thunder vs. Spurs	3	$2.4K	3,530	0	+3,530	Thunder	+$295	10-21 04:19
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	2	$2.3K	2,392	0	+2,392	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$77	05-02 21:36
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$2.3K	2,337	0	+2,337	Spurs	+$37	05-13 02:19
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	2	$2.2K	2,587	0	+2,587	New York Yankees	+$154	05-02 20:15
nfl nyg mia 2026 08 22	6	$2.1K	3,025	3,025	+0	Giants	+$1,057	08-21 19:56
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	5	$2.1K	1,329	1,122	+207	No	+$100	04-03 03:46
Pistons vs. Magic	2	$2.0K	2,628	0	+2,628	Magic	+$123	04-25 19:46
Magic vs. Pistons	2	$2.0K	2,393	0	+2,393	Pistons	+$68	04-30 01:41
nba min gsw 2026 03 13	3	$2.0K	2,490	0	+2,490	Timberwolves	+$100	03-14 04:27
Spread: Bears (-5.5)	1	$1.9K	2,969	0	+2,969	Bears	+$1,069	09-29 02:18
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 shots kylian mbappe gte2	4	$1.8K	2,093	0	+2,093	Yes	+$248	07-13 22:23
Warriors vs. Lakers	1	$1.8K	2,069	0	+2,069	Lakers	+$269	10-22 03:17
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$1.8K	1,977	0	+1,977	76ers	+$177	05-03 01:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:24:24	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	764	1¢	$5	0x0ab7d0…
10-27 02:13:35	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	498	0¢	$2	0xc87c4a…
10-27 02:12:03	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x9d2d08…
10-27 02:12:02	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x6063a2…
10-27 02:12:00	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	2,600	0¢	$3	0x8053d0…
10-26 22:49:05	Elijah Moore: 2+ Touchdowns	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0xb26053…
10-26 00:12:38	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	241	59¢	$142	0xea9201…
10-24 04:15:23	Clippers vs. Lakers	Clippers	BUY	319	2¢	$5	0x891d8e…
10-24 03:48:17	Clippers vs. Lakers	Clippers	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x01bfcd…
10-23 04:12:29	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Nuggets	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x516dfb…
10-23 03:09:38	Patriots vs. Bears	Patriots	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xfb2400…
10-23 01:48:54	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x5c2c8e…
10-23 01:33:18	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	3,765	85¢	$3,200	0x0bb1df…
10-23 01:12:48	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	2,083	72¢	$1,500	0x60fd1c…
10-22 23:40:18	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	1,765	68¢	$1,200	0x701202…
10-22 03:17:24	Warriors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	2,069	87¢	$1,800	0xf63998…
10-21 04:19:17	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xa83cb1…
10-21 04:18:24	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xec1e7b…
10-21 03:02:59	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	2,697	89¢	$2,400	0x8256c4…
10-20 21:33:09	Celtics vs. Pistons	Celtics	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x175c37…
10-20 21:08:18	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	3,036	28¢	$850	0xa8e6ba…
10-20 20:36:29	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x416668…
10-20 20:35:09	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xeb84b6…
10-11 21:27:47	Broncos vs. Chargers	Chargers	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x6f0a48…
10-11 08:18:13	TreVeyon Henderson: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5	Under	BUY	462	73¢	$337	0xda2f66…
10-09 01:43:24	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 35.5	Under	BUY	1,483	29¢	$430	0x38fa0c…
10-09 00:12:36	Dak Prescott: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0xd54c24…
10-06 01:36:01	Falcons vs. Saints	Saints	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x54d83f…
10-04 20:07:47	Cowboys vs. Texans	Cowboys	BUY	920	87¢	$800	0x83cf05…
10-03 22:40:58	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Atlanta Braves	BUY	334	1¢	$2	0xc47b43…
10-03 22:07:28	mlb atl lad 2026 10 03	Atlanta Braves	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0x5f142d…
09-29 23:52:27	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0x1f810e…
09-29 02:18:27	Spread: Bears (-5.5)	Bears	BUY	2,969	64¢	$1,900	0x989d63…
09-29 01:46:09	Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Eagles	BUY	3,519	42¢	$1,475	0xfe60a3…
09-29 01:40:39	Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Eagles	BUY	1,751	40¢	$700	0x896606…
09-28 22:03:26	Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Eagles	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x63fd59…
09-28 22:03:14	Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Eagles	BUY	833	48¢	$400	0x84d43d…
09-28 02:51:26	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa46a3e…
09-28 02:50:11	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x6a1a39…
09-28 02:49:35	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	1,108	30¢	$332	0xfb18c6…
09-28 02:49:35	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	183	30¢	$55	0x4496c0…
09-28 02:49:35	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	209	30¢	$63	0x345dec…
09-28 02:06:41	Rams vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	114	11¢	$12	0xe52249…
09-27 23:13:21	Cardinals vs. 49ers	Cardinals	BUY	3,333	0¢	$3	0x1e0168…
09-27 23:13:15	Cardinals vs. 49ers	Cardinals	BUY	2,222	0¢	$2	0xbf8567…
09-27 03:39:30	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	18,092	0¢	$18	0x5cdb61…
09-27 03:38:50	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x520983…
09-25 21:49:51	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	782	96¢	$755	0x710bf3…
09-20 17:50:54	Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 56.5	Over	BUY	2,700	15¢	$405	0xd2646f…
09-20 06:57:52	Spread: Texans (-7.5)	Bengals	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xac1879…
09-20 06:57:30	Spread: Texans (-7.5)	Bengals	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xd44b54…
09-20 06:56:52	Spread: Texans (-7.5)	Bengals	BUY	600	72¢	$432	0x8b14ca…
09-20 06:54:52	Spread: Texans (-7.5)	Bengals	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x20f994…
09-20 06:53:30	Spread: Texans (-7.5)	Bengals	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3ee35c…
09-16 06:47:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xc2c201…
09-16 06:47:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x1d1016…
09-16 06:47:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0xf7815a…
09-16 06:46:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xc6b3cc…
09-12 02:24:49	Jahmyr Gibbs: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	500	38¢	$190	0x35758a…
09-10 08:16:46	Trump out as President by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,886	1¢	$29	0x17cb8b…
09-06 23:07:09	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	1,706	7¢	$119	0xfaaff8…
09-06 14:51:55	Trump out as President by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,965	1¢	$30	0x9439a7…
09-06 14:42:37	Trump out as President by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,079	1¢	$21	0x75ff41…
09-06 11:58:13	Trump out as President by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc13648…
09-06 11:38:12	Trump out as President by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x53e8b7…
09-06 11:38:07	Trump out as President by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x78c7e3…
09-06 11:37:25	Trump out as President by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcf956c…
09-06 10:04:06	Trump out as President by September 30?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xc752a0…
09-06 09:36:45	Trump out as President by September 30?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x64a272…
09-06 09:25:12	Trump out as President by September 30?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x9c0bb7…
09-06 07:56:16	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	141	1¢	$1	0x0c047e…
09-06 07:43:51	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$1	0x699cc0…
09-06 07:36:09	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	145	1¢	$1	0x1a76f7…
09-06 06:51:00	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	121	1¢	$1	0xcfc950…
09-06 04:13:12	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfad40e…
09-06 04:08:28	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x472583…
09-06 04:03:34	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x1be7e5…
09-06 03:57:48	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xef7512…
09-06 03:54:18	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xa452b3…
09-06 01:39:18	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd87393…
09-05 23:52:10	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x97353c…
09-05 23:15:10	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x0fa266…
09-05 23:14:34	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xac35f9…
09-05 23:14:30	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x4554e8…
09-05 21:47:55	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	990	1¢	$10	0xfa9a7b…
09-05 20:45:16	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x60aead…
09-05 20:45:09	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x55ad96…
09-05 20:36:22	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9bd494…
09-05 20:35:24	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x91fdb1…
09-05 20:35:21	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd36211…
09-05 20:35:19	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xdfa3f1…
09-05 20:35:15	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x71239a…
09-05 20:35:15	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x507a75…
09-05 18:35:13	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	525	1¢	$5	0xc0d18d…
09-05 15:35:39	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc1116a…
09-05 15:27:42	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x09bec6…
09-05 15:27:36	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x6b81f9…
09-05 15:06:54	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x149e16…
09-05 14:32:58	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x6efc86…
09-05 11:29:30	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x90973d…