Needy-Cenotaph 0xeb22f4…7d808a
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.42K
Unrealized P&L
-$9.88K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
20,206
lifetime
Volume
$2.08M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$14.6K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
38% 0% $-516
Sports
31% 0% $-3,340
Other
31% 0% $-565
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +196,119 $11,943 2¢ $3.0K $-8,903 07-13 02:14
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +11,930 $2,894 24¢ $2.8K $-90 07-06 13:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -14,896 $-1,181 12¢ $-1862 $-681 06-23 01:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +10,000 $2,500 17¢ $1.7K $-800 07-09 09:22
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +5,000 $1,500 32¢ $1.6K +$125 07-19 16:46
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +5,000 $1,650 32¢ $1.6K $-75 07-20 20:07
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +5,080 $1,470 30¢ $1.5K +$80 07-20 19:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -441 $-815 98¢ $-434 +$381 06-22 14:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +166 $-2,156 26¢ $44 +$2,200 07-20 13:56
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +5 $3 87¢ $4 +$1 06-01 07:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $2,117 14¢ $-1 $-2,118 06-23 01:55