Needy-Cenotaph 0xeb22f4…7d808a
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$102.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$14.9K
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved
1,168
Trades
32,800
lifetime
Volume
$3.50M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$107
Open exposure
$133.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 21:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 214 days
Categories
Other
40% 36% -$13,198
Politics
37% 41% +$150,383
Sports
23% 45% -$39,546
Crypto
0% 83% +$4,291
Tech
0% 100% +$45
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100,000 $23,576 18¢ $18.1K -$5,526 10-19 16:33
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +50,000 $7,058 22¢ $11.0K +$3,942 10-10 22:09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +67,661 $11,932 15¢ $10.1K -$1,783 10-21 22:09
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $5,969 38¢ $7.5K +$1,531 10-22 10:16
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200,897 $4,521 4¢ $7.2K +$2,711 10-19 17:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +124,990 $32,421 6¢ $6.9K -$25,546 10-26 11:24
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $4,500 64¢ $6.4K +$1,850 09-13 14:05
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +50,000 $7,411 10¢ $5.2K -$2,236 10-26 15:08
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +17,174 $5,659 28¢ $4.7K -$936 10-25 19:55
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +100,000 $1,669 5¢ $4.6K +$2,931 10-23 05:57
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +10,149 $3,132 44¢ $4.5K +$1,385 10-06 01:52
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $3,838 42¢ $4.2K +$412 10-09 14:24
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +30,705 $3,111 14¢ $4.1K +$1,034 10-23 19:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -20,000 -$6,373 20¢ $-3900 +$2,473 08-07 00:16
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $2,591 38¢ $3.8K +$1,209 09-21 19:33
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes +10,000 $2,683 38¢ $3.8K +$1,067 10-20 21:05
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $2,700 68¢ $3.4K +$700 09-20 10:42
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +10,020 $1,963 32¢ $3.3K +$1,293 10-25 05:34
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +15,000 $2,750 18¢ $2.8K +$25 10-26 15:09
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +15,040 $3,415 18¢ $2.7K -$707 10-18 00:29
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +200,208 $1,907 1¢ $2.3K +$395 08-24 06:10
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $1,800 22¢ $2.2K +$400 10-21 02:45
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +15,000 $2,250 12¢ $1.9K -$375 10-22 10:15
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +13,042 $1,502 14¢ $1.8K +$259 10-23 19:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +25,000 $1,255 6¢ $1.6K +$370 10-26 06:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? Yes +11,378 $2,368 12¢ $1.3K -$1,059 10-23 15:47
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +4,000 $1,230 32¢ $1.3K +$30 10-20 22:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +5,000 $1,200 24¢ $1.2K +$25 10-24 23:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +10,000 $2,188 12¢ $1.2K -$1,038 10-25 20:32
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +3,008 $791 36¢ $1.1K +$277 10-19 23:26