Realized P&L
-$4.42K
Unrealized P&L
-$46
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
19,185
lifetime
Volume
$1.67M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$87
Open exposure
$6.59K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Sports
39% 0% $-3,340
Politics
38% 0% $-516
Other
23% 0% $-565
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 871 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +8,500 $2,415 29¢ $2.4K +$8 06-08 01:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,214 $1,928 38¢ $2.0K +$27 06-05 09:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +5,104 $1,021 18¢ $944 $-77 06-07 13:26
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +865 $412 53¢ $459 +$46 06-04 20:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -14,962 $-354 $-382 $-28 06-06 13:22
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +5,000 $200 $217 +$17 06-01 17:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $230 18¢ $185 $-45 06-01 16:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +22 $15 90¢ $20 +$4 06-01 01:21
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +5 $3 84¢ $4 +$1 06-01 07:26