Needy-Cenotaph 0xeb22f4…7d808a
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.66K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.23K
Hit rate
30.6%
Resolved (7d)
33
Trades (7d)
783
33,166 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$73.3K
$3.53M lifetime
Avg / trade
$106
Open exposure
$137.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 01:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 216 days
Categories
Other
40% 36% -$16,895
Politics
37% 41% +$150,157
Sports
23% 45% -$41,141
Crypto
0% 83% +$4,291
Tech
0% 100% +$45
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +70,000 $18,267 18¢ $12.9K -$5,351 10-28 20:08
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +50,000 $7,058 26¢ $12.7K +$5,692 10-10 22:09
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $5,969 48¢ $9.7K +$3,731 10-22 10:16
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +100,000 $1,669 8¢ $8.3K +$6,581 10-23 05:57
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200,897 $4,521 4¢ $7.1K +$2,611 10-19 17:49
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $4,500 70¢ $7.1K +$2,550 09-13 14:05
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $6,450 32¢ $6.3K -$150 10-27 12:25
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +10,149 $3,132 56¢ $5.7K +$2,603 10-06 01:52
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $2,591 50¢ $5.0K +$2,458 09-21 19:33
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +50,000 $7,411 9¢ $4.7K -$2,736 10-26 15:08
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $3,838 46¢ $4.5K +$712 10-09 14:24
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +15,000 $2,750 30¢ $4.4K +$1,675 10-26 15:09
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +15,040 $3,415 29¢ $4.3K +$872 10-18 00:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +14,437 $3,559 30¢ $4.3K +$700 10-28 20:19
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +30,705 $3,111 14¢ $4.1K +$1,034 10-23 19:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +27,661 $7,132 15¢ $4.0K -$3,122 10-29 10:20
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +10,020 $1,963 38¢ $3.8K +$1,794 10-25 05:34
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes +10,000 $2,683 38¢ $3.8K +$1,067 10-20 21:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -20,000 -$6,373 18¢ $-3600 +$2,773 08-07 00:16
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $2,700 70¢ $3.5K +$825 09-20 10:42
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +25,000 $3,497 14¢ $3.4K -$122 10-28 20:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +149,990 $33,046 2¢ $3.0K -$30,046 10-28 21:18
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +200,208 $1,907 1¢ $2.5K +$596 08-24 06:10
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +13,042 $1,502 14¢ $1.8K +$259 10-23 19:38
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +4,000 $1,230 44¢ $1.7K +$510 10-20 22:13
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +3,008 $791 42¢ $1.3K +$487 10-19 23:26
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200,000 $2,172 1¢ $1.1K -$1,072 10-19 15:36
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,000 $954 99¢ $994 +$40 10-27 13:40
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +18,944 $922 5¢ $957 +$35 10-27 01:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +10,000 $2,188 10¢ $950 -$1,238 10-25 20:32