Needy-Cenotaph 0xeb22f4…7d808a
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$55.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$990
Hit rate
40.6%
Resolved (90d)
129
Trades (90d)
5,054
33,202 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$852.8K
$3.51M lifetime
Avg / trade
$106
Open exposure
$142.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 17:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 216 days
Categories
Other
40% 36% -$16,895
Politics
37% 41% +$150,157
Sports
23% 45% -$41,141
Crypto
0% 83% +$4,291
Tech
0% 100% +$45
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +50,000 $7,058 27¢ $13.5K +$6,442 10-10 22:09
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +70,000 $18,267 19¢ $13.5K -$4,791 10-28 20:08
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $5,969 54¢ $10.7K +$4,731 10-22 10:16
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +100,000 $1,669 7¢ $7.5K +$5,781 10-23 05:57
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $4,500 72¢ $7.2K +$2,650 09-13 14:05
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200,897 $4,521 4¢ $7.0K +$2,510 10-19 17:49
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $6,450 32¢ $6.5K +$50 10-27 12:25
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +10,149 $3,132 60¢ $6.0K +$2,907 10-06 01:52
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $2,591 55¢ $5.4K +$2,858 09-21 19:33
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +50,000 $7,411 10¢ $4.8K -$2,661 10-26 15:08
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +15,040 $3,415 32¢ $4.7K +$1,323 10-18 00:29
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +15,000 $2,750 32¢ $4.7K +$1,975 10-26 15:09
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $3,838 45¢ $4.5K +$662 10-09 14:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +14,437 $3,559 30¢ $4.3K +$700 10-28 20:19
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +30,705 $3,111 13¢ $4.0K +$881 10-23 19:37
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +10,020 $1,963 38¢ $3.9K +$1,895 10-25 05:34
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes +10,000 $2,683 38¢ $3.8K +$1,067 10-20 21:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +149,990 $33,046 2¢ $3.7K -$29,296 10-28 21:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +27,661 $7,132 14¢ $3.7K -$3,398 10-29 10:20
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $2,700 70¢ $3.5K +$825 09-20 10:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -20,000 -$6,373 18¢ $-3500 +$2,873 08-07 00:16
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +25,000 $3,497 14¢ $3.4K -$122 10-28 20:05
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $2,699 29¢ $2.9K +$151 10-27 17:36
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +200,208 $1,907 1¢ $2.5K +$596 08-24 06:10
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +4,000 $1,230 44¢ $1.8K +$550 10-20 22:13
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +13,042 $1,502 13¢ $1.7K +$193 10-23 19:38
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +3,008 $791 41¢ $1.2K +$442 10-19 23:26
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200,000 $2,172 1¢ $1.2K -$972 10-19 15:36
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,000 $954 99¢ $993 +$39 10-27 13:40
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +2,388 $670 34¢ $800 +$130 10-27 23:10