Needy-Cenotaph 0xeb22f4…7d808a
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$2.52K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.13K
Hit rate
41.3%
Resolved (30d)
64
Trades (30d)
1,798
33,316 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$232.2K
$3.53M lifetime
Avg / trade
$106
Open exposure
$148.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 07:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 217 days
Categories
Other
40% 36% -$18,048
Politics
37% 41% +$150,157
Sports
23% 45% -$41,141
Crypto
0% 83% +$4,291
Tech
0% 100% +$45
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +70,000 $18,267 20¢ $14.0K -$4,231 10-28 20:08
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +50,000 $7,058 26¢ $13.2K +$6,192 10-10 22:09
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $5,969 52¢ $10.3K +$4,331 10-22 10:16
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200,897 $4,521 4¢ $7.4K +$2,912 10-19 17:49
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $4,500 72¢ $7.2K +$2,650 09-13 14:05
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +100,000 $1,669 7¢ $6.8K +$5,131 10-23 05:57
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +10,149 $3,132 62¢ $6.2K +$3,110 10-06 01:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +149,990 $33,046 4¢ $6.0K -$27,046 10-28 21:18
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +15,040 $3,415 38¢ $5.8K +$2,376 10-18 00:29
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +15,000 $2,750 38¢ $5.8K +$3,025 10-26 15:09
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +50,000 $7,411 11¢ $5.5K -$1,911 10-26 15:08
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $6,450 27¢ $5.4K -$1,050 10-27 12:25
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $2,591 52¢ $5.2K +$2,608 09-21 19:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +14,437 $3,559 36¢ $5.1K +$1,566 10-28 20:19
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $3,838 44¢ $4.4K +$612 10-09 14:24
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes +10,000 $2,683 40¢ $4.0K +$1,267 10-20 21:05
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +25,000 $3,497 15¢ $3.6K +$128 10-28 20:05
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +10,020 $1,963 36¢ $3.6K +$1,644 10-25 05:34
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $2,700 72¢ $3.6K +$900 09-20 10:42
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +30,705 $3,111 12¢ $3.5K +$420 10-23 19:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -20,000 -$6,373 18¢ $-3500 +$2,873 08-07 00:16
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $2,699 29¢ $2.9K +$151 10-27 17:36
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +200,208 $1,907 1¢ $2.5K +$596 08-24 06:10
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? No +25,000 $2,590 10¢ $2.5K -$90 10-30 10:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +20,000 $6,136 12¢ $2.3K -$3,836 10-31 01:08
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200,000 $2,172 1¢ $2.1K -$72 10-19 15:36
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +4,000 $1,230 44¢ $1.7K +$510 10-20 22:13
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +13,042 $1,502 12¢ $1.6K +$63 10-23 19:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? Yes +11,471 $691 14¢ $1.5K +$857 10-31 05:19
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +3,008 $791 41¢ $1.2K +$442 10-19 23:26