Daring-Blinker 0x755d29…0b6acc
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$126
Unrealized P&L
+$222
Hit rate
85.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
2,299
lifetime
Volume
$54.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.53K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 18:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
36% 50% +$85
Other
31% 50% +$37
Sports
29% 100% +$4
Tech
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +276 $239 100¢ $275 +$36 06-27 09:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +400 $85 30¢ $118 +$33 06-30 15:20
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes -114 $-104 86¢ $-98 +$6 06-13 13:49
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +100 $80 96¢ $96 +$16 06-06 16:28
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +800 $102 11¢ $84 $-18 07-01 09:22
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +337 $88 24¢ $81 $-7 07-01 15:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +239 $72 30¢ $70 $-2 06-25 08:12
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +93 $67 76¢ $70 +$3 07-01 10:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +393 $85 18¢ $69 $-16 06-22 21:24
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +60 $44 94¢ $57 +$12 06-06 02:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +214 $51 26¢ $55 +$3 07-01 20:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +100 $40 46¢ $46 +$6 06-24 05:54
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -181 $-142 26¢ $-46 +$96 06-02 11:29
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes -750 $-54 6¢ $-41 +$13 06-08 07:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +618 $48 6¢ $40 $-8 06-27 07:09
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +100 $37 38¢ $38 +$1 06-26 10:14
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +300 $41 12¢ $34 $-7 06-27 14:15
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? Yes -119 $-47 26¢ $-31 +$15 06-26 14:03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +110 $30 24¢ $27 $-3 05-29 13:49
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes +38 $30 66¢ $25 $-4 05-28 15:56
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -30 $-23 80¢ $-24 $-1 05-29 06:10
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes +100 $24 22¢ $22 $-2 06-29 13:39
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +199 $-3 11¢ $22 +$24 06-30 08:38
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? No -30 $-22 58¢ $-17 +$5 06-06 08:35
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +300 $21 5¢ $14 $-7 07-01 00:42
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? Yes -100 $-12 11¢ $-11 +$1 06-12 12:41
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? Yes -41 $-20 17¢ $-7 +$13 06-09 00:06
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes -48 $-5 9¢ $-4 +$0 07-01 14:44
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes +7 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 06-22 00:24
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +1 $-11 43¢ $0 +$11 06-29 01:27