Daring-Blinker 0x755d29…0b6acc
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$126
Unrealized P&L
+$165
Hit rate
85.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
2,591
lifetime
Volume
$58.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$1.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 11:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
36% 50% +$85
Other
32% 50% +$37
Sports
27% 100% +$4
Tech
4% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +600 $231 42¢ $249 +$18 07-08 18:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +750 $177 19¢ $142 $-34 07-17 15:25
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +100 $80 97¢ $97 +$17 06-06 16:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +200 $60 34¢ $67 +$7 07-16 16:07
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +76 $53 88¢ $67 +$14 07-17 13:46
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes -91 $-52 69¢ $-63 $-11 07-08 16:00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +60 $44 95¢ $57 +$13 06-06 02:46
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +237 $55 22¢ $53 $-2 07-14 11:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +393 $85 14¢ $53 $-31 06-22 21:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +239 $72 22¢ $51 $-21 06-25 08:12
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +50 $40 88¢ $44 +$4 07-10 15:00
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +300 $41 12¢ $38 $-4 06-27 14:15
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -181 $-142 20¢ $-35 +$107 06-02 11:29
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes -750 $-54 5¢ $-34 +$20 06-08 07:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +618 $48 6¢ $34 $-14 06-27 07:09
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -476 $-62 7¢ $-32 +$30 07-10 05:39
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +100 $37 30¢ $30 $-6 06-26 10:14
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -30 $-23 84¢ $-25 $-2 05-29 06:10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +110 $30 22¢ $24 $-6 05-29 13:49
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -62 $-32 36¢ $-23 +$9 07-12 22:02
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +199 $-3 11¢ $22 +$24 06-30 08:38
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? No -30 $-22 64¢ $-19 +$3 06-06 08:35
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes +38 $30 40¢ $15 $-14 05-28 15:56
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? Yes -119 $-47 10¢ $-11 +$35 06-26 14:03
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -500 $-10 2¢ $-10 $-0 07-06 14:26
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes +37 $9 26¢ $10 +$1 07-21 17:02
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +20 $16 38¢ $8 $-9 07-07 17:14
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? Yes -41 $-20 16¢ $-7 +$13 06-09 00:06
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +8 $10 62¢ $5 $-5 07-20 00:28
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? Yes -100 $-12 3¢ $-3 +$9 06-12 12:41