Clear-Screenwriting 0x011f2d…711122
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$102.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$41.1K
Hit rate
82.7%
Resolved
1,393
Trades
145,787
lifetime
Volume
$8.64M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$940.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 20:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Politics
61% 60% +$47,210
Other
21% 61% +$41,769
Sports
18% 61% +$17,988
Crypto
0% 36% -$4,236
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$56
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1598 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +162,030 $141,881 94¢ $151.5K +$9,617 10-13 21:09
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +243,071 $92,931 32¢ $79.0K -$13,933 10-29 07:21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +86,407 $75,120 87¢ $75.4K +$270 10-27 04:38
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +71,619 $54,262 84¢ $60.0K +$5,718 10-29 17:51
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +49,000 $47,202 99¢ $48.6K +$1,357 10-02 10:48
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +50,762 $45,347 92¢ $47.0K +$1,608 10-13 20:41
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +129,499 $57,236 32¢ $42.1K -$15,149 10-29 16:48
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +38,489 $37,504 99¢ $38.0K +$504 08-22 02:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +62,406 $34,161 58¢ $36.2K +$2,034 10-28 20:49
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +49,134 $27,275 68¢ $33.2K +$5,890 10-29 17:45
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -79,155 -$36,922 40¢ $-31781 +$5,141 10-29 17:53
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +71,114 $24,032 36¢ $25.2K +$1,213 10-27 12:37
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +20,831 $15,504 99¢ $20.6K +$5,118 10-29 17:52
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +34,117 $27,223 59¢ $20.2K -$6,974 10-02 22:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +47,205 $21,076 42¢ $19.8K -$1,250 10-28 06:35
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +19,490 $9,441 100¢ $19.5K +$10,049 10-27 23:02
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +26,915 $13,134 68¢ $18.2K +$5,034 10-26 01:03
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -107,392 -$21,512 16¢ $-17720 +$3,792 10-29 20:56
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +23,990 $12,480 68¢ $16.2K +$3,714 10-05 11:48
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +16,000 $15,457 98¢ $15.7K +$223 10-24 02:30
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -57,838 -$15,129 26¢ $-15327 -$198 10-29 17:50
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +15,000 $14,805 99¢ $14.8K +$15 10-28 09:48
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +36,299 $4,938 41¢ $14.8K +$9,817 09-18 01:14
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +12,038 $11,849 99¢ $11.9K +$80 10-06 16:00
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -33,847 -$13,946 34¢ $-11677 +$2,268 09-20 12:36
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +31,775 $10,196 36¢ $11.3K +$1,085 10-27 21:08
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +69,136 $11,290 16¢ $11.2K -$56 10-29 17:47
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +17,403 $10,149 64¢ $11.2K +$1,076 10-26 20:53
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +16,327 $7,399 69¢ $11.2K +$3,801 10-27 22:47
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +18,357 $11,580 59¢ $10.8K -$749 09-23 13:00