Clear-Screenwriting 0x011f2d…711122
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$102.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$47.0K
Hit rate
82.7%
Resolved
1,392
Trades
144,798
lifetime
Volume
$8.57M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$930.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 19:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 194 days
Categories
Politics
61% 60% +$47,210
Other
21% 61% +$41,769
Sports
18% 61% +$17,990
Crypto
0% 36% -$4,236
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$56
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1598 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +162,030 $141,881 94¢ $151.5K +$9,617 10-13 21:09
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +239,071 $91,631 34¢ $80.1K -$11,542 10-28 10:04
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +86,407 $75,120 87¢ $75.2K +$97 10-27 04:38
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +173,253 $71,675 34¢ $59.8K -$11,903 10-27 21:31
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +49,000 $47,202 99¢ $48.6K +$1,357 10-02 10:48
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +50,762 $45,347 92¢ $47.0K +$1,608 10-13 20:41
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +52,403 $40,795 82¢ $42.9K +$2,070 10-26 18:02
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +38,489 $37,504 99¢ $38.0K +$504 08-22 02:47
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -79,748 -$37,141 39¢ $-31141 +$6,000 10-27 01:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +60,149 $33,055 50¢ $30.4K -$2,680 10-28 20:37
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +71,114 $24,032 38¢ $26.7K +$2,636 10-27 12:37
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +39,134 $20,475 66¢ $26.0K +$5,549 10-28 02:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +47,205 $21,076 50¢ $23.4K +$2,291 10-28 06:35
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +19,490 $9,441 100¢ $19.5K +$10,049 10-27 23:02
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +34,117 $27,223 55¢ $18.8K -$8,441 10-02 22:12
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +26,915 $13,134 66¢ $17.9K +$4,765 10-26 01:03
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -67,415 -$17,619 26¢ $-17865 -$246 10-28 19:38
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +17,331 $12,139 100¢ $17.3K +$5,192 10-28 11:49
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -106,922 -$21,432 16¢ $-17268 +$4,164 10-22 22:23
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +36,299 $4,938 45¢ $16.3K +$11,378 09-18 01:14
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +23,990 $12,480 66¢ $15.7K +$3,234 10-05 11:48
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +16,000 $15,457 98¢ $15.6K +$143 10-24 02:30
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +15,000 $14,805 99¢ $14.8K +$22 10-28 09:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +16,327 $7,399 74¢ $12.0K +$4,633 10-27 22:47
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +31,775 $10,196 38¢ $11.9K +$1,720 10-27 21:08
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +12,038 $11,849 99¢ $11.9K +$38 10-06 16:00
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -33,847 -$13,946 34¢ $-11677 +$2,268 09-20 12:36
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +17,403 $10,149 62¢ $10.9K +$728 10-26 20:53
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +18,357 $11,580 55¢ $10.1K -$1,484 09-23 13:00
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +10,169 $6,896 99¢ $10.1K +$3,192 07-01 05:36