Realized P&L
+$27.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.42K
Hit rate
82.9%
Resolved
4,780
Trades
155,677
lifetime
Volume
$4.65M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$27.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 260 days
Categories
Politics
51% 75% +$10,428
Other
34% 52% -$1,724
Sports
13% 50% +$17,997
Crypto
1% 85% +$790
Tech
0% 77% +$138
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 659 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +4,706 $4,214 94¢ $4.4K +$234 09-16 18:32
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +2,500 $2,474 99¢ $2.5K +$2 10-28 12:38
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +2,500 $2,104 97¢ $2.4K +$331 09-03 22:10
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +2,222 $2,174 98¢ $2.2K +$1 10-28 13:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,500 $1,912 85¢ $2.1K +$211 09-24 09:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,500 $637 80¢ $1.2K +$571 10-02 18:03
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,000 $990 100¢ $1.0K +$10 10-28 12:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $981 98¢ $982 +$1 10-26 10:54
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1,000 $921 96¢ $955 +$34 09-19 16:19
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $872 92¢ $925 +$53 08-29 16:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +900 $870 98¢ $880 +$10 10-25 09:15
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -2,157 -$1,142 40¢ $-874 +$268 09-21 07:17
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +1,000 $668 81¢ $810 +$143 10-27 12:06
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +800 $692 91¢ $728 +$36 10-01 12:18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage Natus Vincere +699 $217 100¢ $699 +$482 10-27 21:28
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +800 $595 78¢ $620 +$26 10-28 07:36
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +500 $408 87¢ $435 +$27 09-15 15:18
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage Hanwha Life Esports +544 $430 80¢ $432 +$3 10-27 14:09
Trump out as President before 2027? No +400 $376 96¢ $384 +$8 08-20 16:57
Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Adrian Mannarino — +388 $70 99¢ $384 +$314 10-28 15:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 Yes +1,050 $813 35¢ $366 -$446 10-01 10:51
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $330 62¢ $312 -$18 09-24 11:26
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +294 $281 97¢ $285 +$5 09-30 20:17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +300 $261 92¢ $278 +$16 08-18 23:44
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +300 $180 88¢ $266 +$86 09-29 16:31
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5 Over — +488 $239 48¢ $237 -$2 10-28 15:52
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage LYON +688 $241 34¢ $230 -$10 10-27 23:34
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +200 $186 99¢ $198 +$12 10-01 21:27
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +200 $174 90¢ $181 +$7 08-25 21:05
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +200 $177 90¢ $179 +$2 09-04 11:14