Sparse-Celsius 0x8f4112…b3260e
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$316
Unrealized P&L
+$521
Hit rate
39.6%
Resolved
9
Trades
41,633
lifetime
Volume
$3.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$76
Open exposure
$7.92K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 23:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
66% 60% $-250
Other
28% 67% $-42
Sports
4% 0% $-23
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 371 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +4,500 $4,040 90¢ $4.0K $-13 07-20 14:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,200 $959 74¢ $882 $-77 07-18 11:52
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +700 $637 94¢ $654 +$18 07-02 16:45
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,200 $360 42¢ $510 +$150 07-20 14:03
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +500 $460 92¢ $462 +$2 07-08 22:26
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $427 88¢ $441 +$14 07-20 21:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +500 $-347 44¢ $222 +$569 07-20 09:17
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +742 $94 28¢ $204 +$110 07-15 17:44
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,212 $250 16¢ $200 $-50 07-03 12:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +200 $138 80¢ $161 +$23 06-24 16:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +300 $334 20¢ $62 $-272 07-14 19:28
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes +300 $38 16¢ $47 +$9 07-10 22:10
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -200 $-74 22¢ $-43 +$31 06-04 22:27
Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-8 24¢ $-2 +$6 06-25 20:50