Sparse-Celsius — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$316

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.6%

Resolved

Trades

43,005

lifetime

Volume

$3.29M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 05:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

66% 60% $-250

Other

28% 67% $-42

Sports

4% 0% $-23

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1,823	$489.0K	254,018	255,084	-1,066	open	—	02-08 19:30
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1,416	$356.6K	181,255	186,009	-4,754	open	—	03-04 17:14
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1,355	$149.2K	81,516	73,295	+8,221	open	—	02-07 22:35
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	260	$117.5K	66,326	53,899	+12,427	open	—	02-03 20:03
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	203	$71.3K	35,023	38,270	-3,246	open	—	03-04 16:43
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	283	$59.5K	28,614	32,920	-4,306	open	—	02-28 12:00
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	374	$54.4K	37,596	22,707	+14,890	open	—	03-30 12:24
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	164	$53.8K	27,149	27,830	-681	open	—	02-01 02:18
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	250	$51.7K	28,854	34,013	-5,159	open	—	03-01 10:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	119	$46.5K	24,304	23,132	+1,172	open	—	02-01 02:27
Will the US strike Iran next?	152	$42.0K	23,060	20,743	+2,318	open	—	01-29 22:31
will the us strike somalia next 656	75	$37.4K	20,519	17,108	+3,411	open	—	01-24 20:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	128	$36.8K	18,100	20,400	-2,300	open	—	04-20 14:47
Will the US strike Somalia next?	111	$33.8K	15,635	19,765	-4,130	open	—	02-04 23:23
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	161	$32.5K	17,050	18,714	-1,664	open	—	02-09 21:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	84	$31.9K	16,178	17,477	-1,299	open	—	06-17 01:10
Will the US strike Somalia next?	95	$29.5K	13,054	16,780	-3,727	open	—	01-28 00:00
will iran strike israel on march 10	308	$28.8K	17,218	14,714	+2,504	open	—	03-15 15:27
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	224	$28.4K	20,863	9,287	+11,576	open	—	02-18 03:21
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	262	$26.1K	13,554	13,357	+197	open	—	03-17 18:33
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	256	$24.2K	12,058	12,479	-421	open	—	03-27 11:31
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	85	$22.5K	15,282	7,832	+7,450	open	—	07-19 23:48
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	137	$22.2K	13,695	10,131	+3,564	open	—	03-23 19:19
will seguro win all of portugals districts	72	$20.2K	7,199	13,128	-5,928	open	—	02-08 22:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	61	$18.4K	10,388	8,369	+2,019	open	—	06-17 18:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	36	$18.0K	9,600	8,800	+800	open	—	05-24 11:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	24	$16.7K	10,222	6,722	+3,500	open	—	06-17 18:37
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	80	$16.0K	12,413	5,544	+6,869	open	—	03-10 18:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	63	$15.8K	8,589	8,653	-65	open	—	06-16 13:29
Will the US strike Iran next?	44	$15.4K	13,278	2,362	+10,916	open	—	02-04 22:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 11:59:43	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x264573…
08-10 11:58:43	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	37	95¢	$36	0xac0a45…
08-10 11:57:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xe000d4…
08-10 11:56:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0xda358f…
08-10 11:55:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0xb722a8…
08-10 11:54:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x051bfb…
08-10 11:53:43	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	37	95¢	$36	0x6df9e4…
08-10 11:53:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0xeb265c…
08-10 11:52:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x9e306c…
08-10 11:51:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0xb94b5f…
08-10 11:46:43	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	27	95¢	$25	0xbc4875…
08-10 11:45:43	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x18baa6…
08-10 11:44:43	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x260758…
08-10 11:43:43	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x60c51e…
08-10 11:42:43	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0xb01fca…
08-10 11:41:43	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x412f3c…
08-10 11:32:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x33a51f…
08-10 11:31:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x462974…
08-10 11:30:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x428cc0…
08-10 11:29:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x8494de…
08-10 11:28:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x4befd9…
08-10 11:27:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x63a948…
08-10 11:24:43	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x5945e0…
08-10 11:23:43	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x275952…
08-10 11:22:43	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	37	95¢	$36	0xd184ef…
08-10 11:22:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc61cf3…
08-10 11:21:43	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	36	95¢	$35	0x7be371…
08-10 11:21:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x632bc0…
08-10 11:20:43	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0xa81c35…
08-10 11:19:43	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0xc8fb79…
08-10 11:14:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	71	87¢	$62	0x0bf41d…
08-10 11:13:43	russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x88cc15…
08-10 11:13:03	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0xbd130e…
08-10 11:12:03	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	38	95¢	$37	0x2f2cb6…
08-10 11:11:03	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x4b0887…
08-10 11:07:03	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x0451ca…
08-10 11:06:03	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0xd4367c…
08-10 11:05:03	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	38	95¢	$37	0x7e19e0…
08-10 11:04:33	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x6a6539…
08-10 11:04:04	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0xea14d7…
08-10 11:03:33	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x75a328…
08-10 11:02:33	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x117c6b…
08-10 10:58:33	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0xe9315e…
08-10 10:58:30	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x464107…
08-10 10:58:03	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x9af024…
08-10 10:57:33	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	35	95¢	$34	0x71b803…
08-10 10:57:03	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0xd4b738…
08-10 10:56:33	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x7daf5a…
08-10 10:55:03	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x5a3df8…
08-10 10:54:03	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	38	95¢	$37	0x0370e4…
08-10 10:53:03	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	38	95¢	$37	0x6d9a5c…
08-10 10:51:04	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	32	95¢	$31	0xcf7899…
08-10 10:50:33	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x6a591c…
08-10 10:50:03	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	38	95¢	$37	0x28ba0c…
08-10 10:49:33	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x3ab598…
08-10 10:49:03	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xd44cd4…
08-10 10:48:33	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x76ed26…
08-10 10:48:09	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	94	51¢	$48	0x83566b…
08-10 10:48:03	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	38	95¢	$37	0x8f544e…
08-10 10:47:51	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc73199…
08-10 10:47:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x3c9cf3…
08-10 10:47:03	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x885661…
08-10 10:45:22	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x64e561…
08-10 10:44:22	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	23	95¢	$21	0xba063d…
08-10 10:43:52	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x97365e…
08-10 10:43:22	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x631919…
08-10 10:42:54	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	38	95¢	$37	0xff72bf…
08-10 10:42:24	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x979c19…
08-10 10:41:54	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	38	95¢	$37	0xcd423e…
08-10 10:40:52	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xa99dc2…
08-10 10:39:54	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	38	95¢	$37	0x45d469…
08-10 10:38:52	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	38	95¢	$37	0xd58385…
08-10 10:37:52	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xce2a12…
08-10 10:37:22	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xfcff86…
08-10 10:36:54	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x064451…
08-10 10:36:22	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x0097cc…
08-10 10:35:52	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	38	95¢	$37	0x799109…
08-10 10:35:22	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x845578…
08-10 10:34:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	136	86¢	$117	0xbbed6c…
08-10 10:34:22	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	15	95¢	$15	0x4afa2d…
08-10 10:33:24	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x2b85c9…
08-10 10:32:24	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x21dfb8…
08-10 10:31:22	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	26	95¢	$24	0xa6b41d…
08-10 10:30:54	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x16ab77…
08-10 10:30:22	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x03d4db…
08-10 10:29:54	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0xf60ad8…
08-10 10:29:24	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x807829…
08-10 10:28:52	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	34	95¢	$33	0x835a48…
08-10 10:28:22	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x054592…
08-10 10:27:52	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	38	95¢	$37	0xfecf23…
08-10 10:27:22	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x18832b…
08-10 10:26:52	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x92f218…
08-10 10:26:24	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x1fbe56…
08-10 10:25:24	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xeb95a0…
08-10 10:25:00	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	36	95¢	$35	0x742cab…
08-10 10:24:43	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	36	95¢	$35	0x6e308a…
08-10 10:24:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x60e9aa…
08-10 10:24:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x94cf04…
08-10 10:23:43	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xf594cd…
08-10 10:20:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x03c8df…