Realized P&L
+$28.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.70K
Hit rate
83.0%
Resolved
4,798
Trades
155,809
lifetime
Volume
$4.66M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$30.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 01:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 261 days
Categories
Politics
51% 75% +$10,428
Other
34% 52% -$1,180
Sports
13% 50% +$18,014
Crypto
1% 85% +$790
Tech
0% 77% +$138
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 659 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +4,706 $4,214 96¢ $4.5K +$281 09-16 18:32
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +3,500 $3,470 100¢ $3.5K +$13 10-28 22:16
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +2,500 $2,104 98¢ $2.4K +$333 09-03 22:10
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +2,222 $2,174 98¢ $2.2K +$1 10-28 13:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,500 $1,912 86¢ $2.1K +$236 09-24 09:06
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,000 $1,987 100¢ $2.0K +$13 10-28 23:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,500 $637 82¢ $1.2K +$586 10-02 18:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $981 98¢ $982 +$2 10-26 10:54
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1,000 $921 96¢ $955 +$34 09-19 16:19
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $872 92¢ $925 +$53 08-29 16:56
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -2,157 -$1,142 41¢ $-884 +$257 09-21 07:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +900 $870 98¢ $881 +$11 10-25 09:15
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +1,000 $668 83¢ $826 +$158 10-27 12:06
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +800 $692 91¢ $728 +$36 10-01 12:18
Nuggets vs. Pelicans Nuggets +688 $420 99¢ $681 +$261 10-28 23:47
Flames vs. Oilers Oilers +688 $433 94¢ $643 +$210 10-28 20:41
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5 Under +644 $296 98¢ $628 +$332 10-28 12:06
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +800 $595 78¢ $620 +$26 10-28 23:29
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage Hanwha Life Esports +544 $430 80¢ $432 +$3 10-27 14:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 Yes +1,050 $813 40¢ $424 -$389 10-01 10:51
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +500 $408 83¢ $415 +$7 09-15 15:18
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs FUT Esports +588 $417 70¢ $415 -$3 10-28 20:53
Trump out as President before 2027? No +400 $376 96¢ $384 +$8 08-20 16:57
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs Astralis +633 $323 52¢ $326 +$3 10-29 00:14
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $330 64¢ $318 -$12 09-24 11:26
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5 Over +488 $239 65¢ $317 +$78 10-28 15:52
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +294 $281 97¢ $285 +$5 09-30 20:17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +300 $261 94¢ $280 +$20 08-18 23:44
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +300 $180 88¢ $263 +$83 09-29 16:31
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5 Over +388 $171 58¢ $225 +$54 10-28 22:30