Sparse-Celsius 0x8f4112…b3260e
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$316
Unrealized P&L
-$188
Hit rate
39.6%
Resolved
9
Trades
41,006
lifetime
Volume
$3.09M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$75
Open exposure
$7.68K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 04:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
67% 60% $-250
Other
27% 67% $-42
Sports
4% 0% $-23
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 3157 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -3,756 $-3,729 100¢ $-3752 $-23 06-14 23:31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $860 86¢ $855 $-5 06-30 11:57
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes -765 $-808 100¢ $-763 +$44 06-30 11:42
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +500 $484 100¢ $498 +$14 06-23 11:32
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +500 $435 88¢ $438 +$2 06-26 23:41
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +1,145 $210 28¢ $315 +$104 06-28 16:55
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? No +298 $296 100¢ $297 +$1 06-29 23:10
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30? No +200 $199 100¢ $199 $-0 06-29 20:30
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +200 $144 96¢ $191 +$48 06-29 14:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +600 $400 29¢ $171 $-229 06-17 19:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +200 $138 72¢ $144 +$6 06-24 16:57
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -200 $-74 26¢ $-53 +$21 06-04 22:27
Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-8 42¢ $-4 +$4 06-25 20:50
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +800 $69 0¢ $2 $-67 06-18 02:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +242 $110 0¢ $1 $-109 06-19 18:54