(anonymous) 0xdf0e45…38c02b
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$171
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
6,743
lifetime
Volume
$211.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$3.60K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-13
last 07-24 12:50
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
42% — —
Politics
20% — —
Sports
20% — —
Tech
15% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 678 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +526 $331 52¢ $271 $-60 07-07 06:11
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +424 $282 62¢ $265 $-17 07-24 00:36
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +292 $197 88¢ $255 +$58 07-07 18:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +526 $203 48¢ $255 +$52 07-08 02:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +265 $239 89¢ $236 $-2 07-23 06:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +266 $154 66¢ $177 +$23 07-06 12:13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +201 $152 86¢ $172 +$20 07-23 12:54
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +249 $107 68¢ $171 +$63 07-08 13:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +233 $195 72¢ $169 $-26 07-17 12:28
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +246 $148 66¢ $162 +$15 07-20 21:55
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +182 $158 88¢ $159 +$1 06-30 12:28
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +151 $122 78¢ $117 $-5 07-03 07:34
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? No +118 $113 96¢ $113 $-0 07-07 02:08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +126 $111 80¢ $100 $-11 07-08 12:05
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +246 $99 34¢ $84 $-15 07-20 21:08
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +102 $83 82¢ $83 $-0 07-21 05:40
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -126 $-80 65¢ $-81 $-2 07-23 14:25
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +145 $90 56¢ $81 $-9 07-23 00:22
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +249 $145 32¢ $78 $-67 07-08 13:25
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +197 $165 38¢ $74 $-91 07-23 19:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +194 $94 37¢ $72 $-22 06-28 08:39
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +71 $71 90¢ $63 $-7 07-17 05:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +60 $48 99¢ $60 +$12 06-28 21:01
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +59 $52 89¢ $52 +$1 07-20 06:22
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +55 $48 84¢ $46 $-2 07-20 14:20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +167 $19 28¢ $46 +$27 07-21 08:43
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +84 $46 54¢ $45 $-1 07-20 22:31
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +84 $44 46¢ $39 $-5 07-20 22:53
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +292 $135 12¢ $36 $-99 07-07 18:28
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -118 $-32 29¢ $-34 $-2 06-24 11:20