Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$59
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
5,031
lifetime
Volume
$160.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$2.62K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-13
last 07-04 06:25
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
37%
Politics
22%
Sports
22%
Tech
15%
Crypto
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 678 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +258 $204 84¢ $215 +$12 07-02 00:49
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +346 $218 60¢ $209 $-9 07-02 11:38
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +201 $152 86¢ $173 +$21 06-25 13:42
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +182 $158 83¢ $151 $-7 06-30 12:28
Will Brittany Mahomes be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? No +146 $143 100¢ $146 +$3 06-30 19:41
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +346 $129 40¢ $137 +$8 06-30 02:54
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +137 $127 92¢ $125 $-2 07-03 13:59
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +151 $122 78¢ $118 $-5 07-03 07:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +190 $104 60¢ $115 +$11 06-29 03:41
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +120 $114 94¢ $113 $-1 07-04 00:13
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? No +118 $112 96¢ $113 +$1 07-01 19:09
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +130 $83 70¢ $90 +$7 07-01 15:09
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +91 $75 98¢ $89 +$14 07-03 03:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +194 $94 38¢ $75 $-19 06-28 08:39
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +82 $70 86¢ $71 +$1 06-30 19:11
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +69 $66 96¢ $66 +$0 07-03 02:08
Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +70 $65 93¢ $65 $-0 07-04 00:19
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +68 $65 96¢ $65 +$1 07-03 18:23
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No -61 $-46 82¢ $-50 $-4 06-16 14:11
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +103 $73 48¢ $50 $-23 07-04 08:51
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +50 $49 99¢ $50 +$1 07-01 10:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +60 $48 78¢ $46 $-1 06-28 21:01
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +87 $75 52¢ $45 $-30 07-04 00:19
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +52 $43 82¢ $42 $-1 07-01 06:56
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +130 $78 30¢ $40 $-38 07-01 15:07
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -118 $-32 29¢ $-34 $-2 06-24 11:20
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +151 $29 22¢ $33 +$5 07-03 07:34
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +182 $24 17¢ $31 +$7 06-30 12:28
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -44 $-24 70¢ $-31 $-7 06-22 08:04
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +31 $30 96¢ $30 +$0 07-03 04:48