(anonymous) 0xdf0e45…38c02b
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$27.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.43K
Hit rate
29.5%
Resolved
3,114
Trades
32,087
lifetime
Volume
$1.51M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$49.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-13
last 10-27 05:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 136 days
Categories
Other
50% 26% -$15,188
Politics
36% 32% -$7,831
Sports
7% 20% -$1,579
Tech
5% 12% -$2,279
Crypto
1% 18% -$194
Pop-Culture
0% 25% -$69
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 568 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +7,079 $6,168 86¢ $6.1K -$90 10-26 16:26
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +5,408 $4,291 96¢ $5.2K +$916 09-15 18:46
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +3,100 $2,449 89¢ $2.8K +$310 10-16 14:28
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +2,873 $2,413 94¢ $2.7K +$274 10-25 08:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,479 $2,436 74¢ $2.6K +$121 10-26 21:56
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,744 $2,477 65¢ $2.4K -$29 10-26 17:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,338 $1,532 94¢ $2.2K +$654 10-15 12:38
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,660 $2,186 77¢ $2.0K -$142 10-19 11:32
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +2,151 $1,179 72¢ $1.5K +$369 10-07 03:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +2,087 $1,448 74¢ $1.5K +$86 09-26 06:10
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,104 $1,341 70¢ $1.5K +$143 10-25 23:04
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,754 $1,175 83¢ $1.5K +$281 10-11 04:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,819 $1,343 78¢ $1.4K +$85 10-22 15:12
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +1,392 $1,114 80¢ $1.1K -$7 10-24 07:47
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +1,375 $1,094 80¢ $1.1K +$6 10-01 15:02
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7,079 $919 14¢ $1.0K +$83 10-26 16:26
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,048 $817 94¢ $980 +$163 09-21 13:25
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,100 $491 88¢ $963 +$471 09-10 06:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +951 $833 100¢ $951 +$118 10-23 21:54
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +1,220 $1,126 76¢ $933 -$192 10-24 11:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3,479 $1,054 26¢ $922 -$132 10-20 14:51
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +1,090 $937 84¢ $921 -$16 10-24 20:47
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,739 $848 53¢ $916 +$67 10-26 11:31
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +1,140 $844 80¢ $906 +$63 09-23 14:25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +968 $875 92¢ $885 +$10 10-02 23:24
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +906 $826 92¢ $838 +$12 10-04 00:20
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +2,391 $958 35¢ $827 -$131 10-26 03:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,739 $889 47¢ $824 -$66 10-26 11:31
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,174 $888 68¢ $804 -$84 10-03 10:37
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +897 $702 88¢ $790 +$89 10-05 21:34