Realized P&L
-$15.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.60K
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
8
Trades
2,811
lifetime
Volume
$3.30M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.17K
Open exposure
$522.2K
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 07-20 23:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
46% 100% +$304
Politics
41% 75% $-15,735
Sports
7%
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +230,000 $201,100 92¢ $210.4K +$9,350 07-03 02:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +74,604 $73,404 99¢ $73.6K +$192 07-21 02:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +78,000 $63,830 74¢ $57.3K $-6,500 07-18 09:13
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +47,121 $42,978 92¢ $43.6K +$609 07-21 02:31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +51,989 $43,021 84¢ $43.4K +$390 07-20 16:36
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +28,110 $25,173 90¢ $25.2K $-14 07-21 02:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +19,000 $18,226 98¢ $18.6K +$328 07-20 15:34
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +20,000 $16,762 88¢ $17.7K +$938 07-16 13:46
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +12,240 $10,457 88¢ $10.7K +$253 07-21 02:19
Trump out as President before 2027? No +10,000 $9,200 92¢ $9.2K +$50 07-02 13:37
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +5,000 $4,980 100¢ $5.0K +$2 07-20 15:42
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +7,989 $7,349 54¢ $4.3K $-3,063 07-16 08:03
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +1,928 $1,703 90¢ $1.7K +$28 07-13 15:00
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +1,200 $1,068 92¢ $1.1K +$42 06-02 02:06
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? Yes +400 $348 86¢ $342 $-6 07-03 13:36
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +7 $6 90¢ $7 +$0 07-06 04:04