Realized P&L
+$6.64K
Unrealized P&L
+$11.2K
Hit rate
91.0%
Resolved
1,564
Trades
141,030
lifetime
Volume
$3.56M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$307.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 08:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 183 days
Categories
Other
63% 84% +$15,489
Politics
29% 86% +$2,893
Sports
6% 88% +$776
Tech
3% 45% -$12,520
Crypto
0% 87% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 5854 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +29,631 $29,465 100¢ $29.5K +$62 10-27 10:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +29,631 $21,963 92¢ $27.4K +$5,445 10-27 10:07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +24,473 $24,209 100¢ $24.4K +$239 10-26 17:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +14,860 $14,617 99¢ $14.8K +$147 10-26 17:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +14,860 $14,785 99¢ $14.7K -$44 10-26 17:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +14,860 $14,536 97¢ $14.5K -$70 10-26 17:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +14,860 $10,762 79¢ $11.7K +$977 10-26 17:04
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +11,519 $11,484 100¢ $11.5K +$24 09-15 12:27
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +11,519 $11,466 100¢ $11.5K +$36 09-15 12:27
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +11,519 $11,126 100¢ $11.5K +$376 09-15 12:27
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +11,519 $11,377 100¢ $11.5K +$113 09-15 12:27
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +11,521 $10,249 98¢ $11.3K +$1,076 09-15 12:27
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +10,821 $10,788 100¢ $10.8K +$17 09-06 21:06
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +10,656 $10,634 100¢ $10.6K +$6 09-06 19:02
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7,075 $7,042 100¢ $7.1K +$22 10-25 23:33
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7,216 $7,147 97¢ $7.0K -$158 10-25 23:33
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +6,948 $6,903 100¢ $6.9K +$17 10-27 09:53
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +6,981 $6,747 99¢ $6.9K +$132 10-27 09:53
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +8,463 $7,046 77¢ $6.5K -$542 10-25 23:33
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +6,398 $6,328 100¢ $6.4K +$50 10-27 06:14
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +6,398 $6,368 100¢ $6.4K +$1 10-27 06:14
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +6,398 $5,908 98¢ $6.3K +$377 10-27 06:14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +6,948 $2,497 89¢ $6.2K +$3,701 10-27 09:53
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,710 $5,681 100¢ $5.7K +$10 10-25 23:33
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +4,369 $4,359 100¢ $4.4K +$3 10-27 09:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +4,389 $4,344 99¢ $4.4K +$12 10-22 15:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +4,389 $4,298 99¢ $4.3K +$44 10-22 15:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +4,389 $4,328 98¢ $4.3K -$5 10-22 15:53
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,257 $4,245 100¢ $4.3K +$6 10-09 18:41
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +6,398 $5,097 66¢ $4.2K -$852 10-27 06:14