Realized P&L (7d)
+$334
Unrealized P&L
+$15.6K
Hit rate
85.4%
Resolved (7d)
37
Trades (7d)
16,909
143,049 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$648.3K
$3.67M lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$282.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 09:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 185 days
Categories
Other
63% 84% +$15,768
Politics
29% 86% +$2,893
Sports
5% 88% +$764
Tech
3% 45% -$12,520
Crypto
0% 87% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 5854 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +25,004 $24,899 100¢ $24.9K +$17 10-30 07:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +25,004 $24,711 99¢ $24.8K +$118 10-30 07:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +25,004 $24,465 98¢ $24.5K +$76 10-30 07:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +25,004 $18,936 74¢ $18.6K -$308 10-30 07:19
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +13,519 $4,394 100¢ $13.5K +$9,126 10-27 23:41
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +13,274 $13,248 100¢ $13.3K +$13 10-27 22:34
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +11,519 $11,466 100¢ $11.5K +$36 09-15 12:27
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +11,519 $11,377 100¢ $11.5K +$125 09-15 12:27
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +11,519 $11,126 100¢ $11.5K +$341 09-15 12:27
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +11,521 $10,249 99¢ $11.4K +$1,139 09-15 12:27
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +7,275 $7,205 100¢ $7.3K +$60 10-30 00:19
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +7,275 $7,242 100¢ $7.2K +$1 10-30 00:19
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +7,275 $6,775 99¢ $7.2K +$424 10-30 00:19
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +7,101 $6,867 100¢ $7.1K +$209 10-29 01:51
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7,075 $7,042 100¢ $7.1K +$22 10-25 23:33
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +7,068 $7,023 100¢ $7.1K +$35 10-29 01:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +7,068 $2,611 100¢ $7.0K +$4,432 10-29 01:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +24,691 $6,730 29¢ $7.0K +$307 10-30 07:19
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7,216 $7,147 97¢ $7.0K -$125 10-25 23:33
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +8,463 $7,046 78¢ $6.6K -$474 10-25 23:33
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,710 $5,681 98¢ $5.6K -$68 10-25 23:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +4,732 $4,686 99¢ $4.7K +$21 10-29 11:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +4,732 $4,668 99¢ $4.7K +$19 10-29 11:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +4,732 $4,638 99¢ $4.7K +$35 10-29 11:56
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4,532 $4,517 100¢ $4.5K +$8 10-29 06:03
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4,532 $4,512 100¢ $4.5K +$9 10-29 06:03
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4,532 $4,504 100¢ $4.5K +$10 10-29 06:03
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4,532 $4,460 99¢ $4.5K +$15 10-29 06:03
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4,467 $4,458 100¢ $4.5K +$2 10-29 06:03
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4,467 $4,449 100¢ $4.5K +$3 10-29 06:03