Realized P&L (30d)
+$2.77K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.17K
Hit rate
87.4%
Resolved (30d)
162
Trades (30d)
22,909
143,414 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$949.0K
$3.69M lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$279.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 04:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 187 days
Categories
Other
63% 84% +$7,236
Politics
29% 86% +$2,915
Sports
5% 88% +$764
Tech
3% 52% -$3,941
Crypto
0% 87% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 5854 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +27,449 $27,337 100¢ $27.4K +$16 10-31 22:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +27,749 $27,168 98¢ $27.3K +$151 10-31 22:38
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +27,449 $27,140 99¢ $27.2K +$103 10-31 22:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +27,449 $20,705 72¢ $19.9K -$805 10-31 22:38
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +11,519 $11,466 100¢ $11.5K +$36 09-15 12:27
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +11,519 $11,377 100¢ $11.5K +$125 09-15 12:27
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +11,519 $11,126 100¢ $11.5K +$336 09-15 12:27
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +11,521 $10,249 99¢ $11.4K +$1,122 09-15 12:27
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +11,145 $11,114 100¢ $11.1K +$14 09-09 14:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +27,137 $7,458 30¢ $8.3K +$819 10-31 22:38
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +7,575 $7,504 100¢ $7.6K +$59 10-30 17:34
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +7,575 $7,541 100¢ $7.5K +$0 10-30 17:34
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +7,575 $7,073 99¢ $7.5K +$435 10-30 17:34
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7,075 $7,042 100¢ $7.1K +$22 10-25 23:33
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7,216 $7,147 98¢ $7.1K -$89 10-25 23:33
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +8,463 $7,046 75¢ $6.4K -$694 10-25 23:33
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,710 $5,681 98¢ $5.6K -$65 10-25 23:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +5,332 $5,283 99¢ $5.3K +$20 10-31 08:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +5,332 $5,264 99¢ $5.3K +$23 10-31 08:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +5,332 $5,230 98¢ $5.3K +$22 10-31 08:43
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +5,121 $4,869 98¢ $5.0K +$157 11-01 00:43
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4,952 $4,936 100¢ $4.9K +$8 11-01 00:19
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4,952 $4,931 100¢ $4.9K +$9 11-01 00:19
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4,952 $4,923 100¢ $4.9K +$12 11-01 00:19
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4,952 $4,876 99¢ $4.9K +$29 11-01 00:19
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4,887 $4,868 100¢ $4.9K +$7 11-01 00:19
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4,887 $4,734 99¢ $4.8K +$114 11-01 00:19
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4,952 $4,515 94¢ $4.7K +$157 11-01 00:19
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4,667 $4,658 100¢ $4.7K +$2 10-30 21:44
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +4,491 $4,465 100¢ $4.5K +$20 11-01 00:52