Realized P&L
+$6.99K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.31K
Hit rate
90.7%
Resolved
1,602
Trades
143,735
lifetime
Volume
$3.71M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$291.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 17:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 189 days
Categories
Other
63% 84% +$7,213
Politics
29% 86% +$2,952
Sports
5% 88% +$764
Tech
3% 52% -$3,941
Crypto
0% 87% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 5854 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +28,149 $28,035 100¢ $28.1K +$16 11-02 17:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +28,149 $27,837 100¢ $28.0K +$186 11-02 17:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +28,449 $27,847 98¢ $27.9K +$47 11-02 17:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +28,149 $21,227 76¢ $21.5K +$307 11-02 17:45
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +11,519 $11,377 100¢ $11.5K +$125 09-15 12:27
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +11,519 $11,466 100¢ $11.5K +$25 09-15 12:27
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +11,519 $11,126 100¢ $11.5K +$364 09-15 12:27
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +11,521 $10,249 99¢ $11.5K +$1,208 09-15 12:27
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +11,145 $11,114 100¢ $11.1K +$14 09-09 14:02
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +10,821 $10,788 100¢ $10.8K +$17 09-06 21:06
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +7,575 $7,504 100¢ $7.6K +$59 10-30 17:34
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +7,575 $7,541 100¢ $7.5K +$4 10-30 17:34
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +7,575 $7,073 99¢ $7.5K +$416 10-30 17:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +27,837 $7,654 26¢ $7.4K -$277 11-02 17:45
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7,075 $7,042 100¢ $7.1K +$25 10-25 23:33
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7,246 $7,176 97¢ $7.0K -$136 11-03 01:43
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +8,493 $7,065 76¢ $6.4K -$636 11-03 01:43
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +6,146 $5,878 98¢ $6.0K +$139 11-03 07:41
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,740 $5,710 100¢ $5.7K +$4 11-03 01:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +5,332 $5,283 99¢ $5.3K +$20 10-31 08:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +5,332 $5,264 99¢ $5.3K +$28 10-31 08:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +5,332 $5,230 97¢ $5.2K -$53 10-31 08:43
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +5,057 $5,041 100¢ $5.0K +$8 11-01 21:56
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +5,057 $5,036 100¢ $5.0K +$9 11-01 21:56
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +5,057 $5,027 100¢ $5.0K +$12 11-01 21:56
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +5,057 $4,980 99¢ $5.0K +$11 11-01 21:56
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4,992 $4,973 100¢ $5.0K +$7 11-01 21:56
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4,992 $4,839 99¢ $4.9K +$111 11-01 21:56
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +7,575 $5,827 65¢ $4.9K -$933 10-30 17:34
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +5,057 $4,614 95¢ $4.8K +$182 11-01 21:56