Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open
Total volume
$1,003
$769 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$94,213
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 06:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | — | $450 | $450 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $261 | $261 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | — | $101 | $101 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $38 | $38 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 2 | — | $30 | $30 |
| Below median | 5 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | — | $511 | $511 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $130 | $130 |
| unranked | 8 | — | $85 | $85 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +320 | $318 | $318 | 2 | 05-10 04:02 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +149 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 05-06 15:35 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +131 | $130 | $130 | 2 | 05-10 08:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xd32c…a4c2 | No | +38 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-10 04:02 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 20:22 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-07 09:04 |
| Grave-Pathway 0x1625…6ff7 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-10 11:41 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-06 21:11 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 09:04 |
| Cooperative-Screw 0x97e7…ade6 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x38ab…ab66 | No | +2 | $2 | $4 | 3 | 05-14 06:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 06:26:13 | (anonymous) 0x38ab…ab66 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe3b7bc… |
| 05-14 06:05:55 | (anonymous) 0x38ab…ab66 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe93e03… |
| 05-14 00:57:13 | (anonymous) 0x38ab…ab66 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x4e9dd5… |
| 05-13 12:18:18 | Slight-Guinea 0xd39c…8d35 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x88c76a… |
| 05-13 06:11:30 | Slight-Guinea 0xd39c…8d35 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x2ab89b… |
| 05-13 02:08:57 | Multicolored-Publicity 0xebae…e9d8 | No | SELL | 48 | 99¢ | $47 | 0xa07d1b… |
| 05-13 00:51:22 | Multicolored-Publicity 0xebae…e9d8 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x931393… |
| 05-13 00:05:59 | Slight-Guinea 0xd39c…8d35 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xeca2bb… |
| 05-12 22:58:12 | Slight-Guinea 0xd39c…8d35 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xc32fe0… |
| 05-12 21:45:50 | Slight-Guinea 0xd39c…8d35 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x45b122… |
| 05-12 21:02:45 | Slight-Guinea 0xd39c…8d35 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xed7645… |
| 05-12 20:22:48 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x0f054b… |
| 05-12 00:09:12 | Lanky-Rehospitalisation 0xdda4…a6f3 | No | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xa91af3… |
| 05-11 22:22:52 | (anonymous) 0xd39c…8d35 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x3ec5f8… |
| 05-10 17:00:51 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcc818d… |
| 05-10 15:27:48 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd1543… |
| 05-10 15:17:20 | (anonymous) 0xd786…d09e | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x8f87bb… |
| 05-10 14:57:35 | (anonymous) 0xd786…d09e | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x0823b9… |
| 05-10 14:56:55 | (anonymous) 0xd786…d09e | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x942861… |
| 05-10 12:55:24 | Attentive-Goodwill 0x0432…5686 | No | SELL | 33 | 99¢ | $33 | 0xfb8af6… |
| 05-10 11:41:19 | Grave-Pathway 0x1625…6ff7 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x970fb5… |
| 05-10 08:21:30 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x2f74fa… |
| 05-10 04:02:04 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 101 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x3feb9b… |
| 05-10 04:02:04 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $199 | 0xfc585b… |
| 05-10 04:02:04 | (anonymous) 0xd32c…a4c2 | No | BUY | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x7cb2f9… |
| 05-10 03:20:53 | (anonymous) 0x6cf5…4a23 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xce8e9a… |
| 05-09 22:15:23 | Ironclad-Prey 0x0c59…b98b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0ecef… |
| 05-09 18:49:21 | (anonymous) 0x9e7c…f06f | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x62beec… |
| 05-09 18:42:51 | (anonymous) 0x9e7c…f06f | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xcc015b… |
| 05-09 18:27:08 | (anonymous) 0x9e7c…f06f | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x989d6e… |
| 05-09 18:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x9e7c…f06f | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd1164a… |
| 05-09 15:03:40 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x4304fe… |
| 05-09 11:20:04 | Blushing-Variable 0x408e…94f5 | No | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $51 | 0x377f46… |
| 05-09 10:34:57 | Blushing-Variable 0x408e…94f5 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x665234… |
| 05-09 04:19:49 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xe548c8… |
| 05-08 14:45:25 | Cooperative-Screw 0x97e7…ade6 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x48c3f3… |
| 05-07 09:04:31 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x694c5c… |
| 05-07 09:04:31 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xe89307… |
| 05-07 00:38:04 | Quaint-Proceedings 0x225f…990b | No | SELL | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x46bf52… |
| 05-06 21:11:46 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x42a70f… |
| 05-06 15:35:30 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 149 | 100¢ | $148 | 0xe612e9… |
| 05-06 15:35:29 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 119 | 100¢ | $119 | 0x463574… |
| 05-06 07:09:26 | Attentive-Goodwill 0x0432…5686 | No | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0xb5a43a… |