Flamboyant-Beginner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

134

Trades

1,585

lifetime

Volume

$7.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-30 18:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 78% $-33

Politics

35% 67% $-12

Other

5% 100% +$3

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	06-19 22:44
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No		+4	$3	100¢	$4	+$1	06-10 08:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	5	$147	159	0	+159	open	—	04-02 15:19
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$147	80	80	+0	open	—	06-11 18:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	8	$114	61	61	+0	open	—	04-07 20:03
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$105	61	56	+5	open	—	05-25 05:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$82	493	43	+450	open	—	04-08 15:29
btc updown 5m 1776712500	2	$76	39	39	+0	open	—	04-20 19:20
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?	4	$75	79	0	+79	open	—	04-02 04:50
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	5	$68	70	0	+70	open	—	03-31 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	05-01 16:00
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 1, 2026?	5	$64	32	32	+0	open	—	04-02 15:14
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	5	$54	60	0	+60	open	—	04-26 19:09
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	5	$53	78	0	+78	open	—	04-21 03:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	3	$51	27	27	+0	open	—	04-15 04:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 10	5	$51	29	29	+1	open	—	04-10 16:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	4	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	05-02 15:05
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 2?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-02 13:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-03 04:01
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 1, 2026?	3	$47	48	0	+48	open	—	04-01 10:25
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 14	6	$45	53	0	+53	open	—	04-14 15:36
bitcoin up or down on april 17 2026	2	$42	43	0	+43	open	—	04-17 13:31
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 2, 2026?	3	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	04-02 16:38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	3	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	04-19 16:37
will bitcoin reach 79k on april 17	1	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	04-17 20:21
bitcoin above 74k on april 17	2	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	04-17 13:22
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$37	8,917	0	+8,917	open	—	04-08 06:12
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$35	37	0	+37	open	—	04-14 02:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$32	38	0	+38	open	—	04-19 03:11
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?	3	$32	34	0	+34	open	—	04-03 10:21
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	5	$32	33	6	+27	open	—	04-13 08:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	05-02 16:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 18:03:52	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xd6d9db…
06-30 17:59:32	btc updown 5m 1782842100	Down	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x0f98b5…
06-30 17:58:47	btc updown 5m 1782842100	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xec5f57…
06-30 17:58:40	btc updown 5m 1782842100	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x36c129…
06-29 03:14:26	btc updown 5m 1782702600	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd83e20…
06-28 18:59:19	eth updown 5m 1782672900	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe5f108…
06-28 18:58:46	btc updown 5m 1782672900	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x5de3f4…
06-28 12:07:41	btc updown 5m 1782648300	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x761259…
06-28 12:04:28	btc updown 5m 1782648000	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x02888f…
06-27 16:03:04	btc updown 5m 1782576000	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x6141db…
06-27 15:56:44	btc updown 15m 1782575100	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x13400a…
06-27 15:48:10	ethereum above 1600 on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcbcb9e…
06-27 15:47:16	bitcoin above 60k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda9a27…
06-26 07:14:13	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x34e622…
06-25 10:58:53	eth updown 5m 1782384900	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x32129d…
06-25 04:09:10	btc updown 5m 1782360300	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x085aac…
06-25 04:08:20	btc updown 5m 1782360300	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x15c92c…
06-19 22:44:07	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xec528d…
06-16 18:05:29	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	SELL	23	76¢	$17	0x182807…
06-15 16:42:33	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5f94f0…
06-15 15:57:57	btc updown 5m 1781538900	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd5e48c…
06-15 15:09:51	bitcoin above 66k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0d2ff4…
06-15 07:57:37	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	11	76¢	$8	0xafa972…
06-15 07:57:22	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x5534d4…
06-15 05:28:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x783606…
06-14 19:28:19	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6195f7…
06-14 19:28:12	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x17b114…
06-14 19:27:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc0b6fa…
06-14 19:27:09	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x576766…
06-14 19:22:34	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xb776aa…
06-13 19:42:57	btc updown 5m 1781379600	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe60610…
06-13 05:28:55	btc updown 5m 1781328300	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1d367f…
06-12 14:46:00	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x592475…
06-12 13:49:25	btc updown 5m 1781271900	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa28dcc…
06-12 09:34:39	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0b98c8…
06-12 09:33:45	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x44bdbf…
06-12 05:50:28	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc1cc2d…
06-12 03:04:46	btc updown 5m 1781233200	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf7a3a2…
06-11 20:09:21	btc updown 5m 1781208300	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x5a9d43…
06-11 20:02:01	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x053336…
06-11 19:57:42	btc updown 5m 1781207700	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xaaaa1c…
06-11 18:09:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	52	87¢	$46	0xd2558b…
06-11 04:48:39	btc updown 5m 1781153100	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x390112…
06-11 04:46:37	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7297d3…
06-11 04:43:52	btc updown 5m 1781152800	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa96495…
06-11 04:09:25	btc updown 5m 1781150700	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x73c05e…
06-11 03:24:43	btc updown 5m 1781148000	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x85e54d…
06-11 03:19:16	btc updown 5m 1781147700	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x816b91…
06-11 03:14:16	btc updown 5m 1781147400	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5c9cfe…
06-10 11:59:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x098a25…
06-10 11:57:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x737bce…
06-10 11:56:00	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbb2475…
06-10 11:53:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xb26d83…
06-10 08:37:43	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x67228e…
06-10 08:36:27	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x0692dd…
06-10 08:36:15	israel closes its airspace by june 14	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe5227b…
06-10 08:33:51	btc updown 5m 1781080200	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x777497…
06-09 16:36:13	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x788069…
06-09 05:44:07	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x70c132…
06-09 03:24:07	btc updown 5m 1780975200	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdf2afd…
06-09 03:19:22	btc updown 5m 1780974900	Down	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x398fca…
06-09 03:18:54	btc updown 5m 1780974900	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe4ba96…
06-09 03:18:06	btc updown 5m 1780974900	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x057298…
06-09 03:17:01	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 15 20260607234650334	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xd54cb5…
06-09 03:14:16	btc updown 5m 1780974600	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe6c1c3…
06-09 02:57:52	btc updown 5m 1780973700	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x7b12e2…
06-09 02:22:30	btc updown 5m 1780971600	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb9dcc4…
06-09 02:11:34	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x510abc…
06-09 02:10:00	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x8525e3…
06-09 02:09:45	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x4b8ffa…
06-08 17:28:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x12c9e2…
06-08 16:31:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x76f18a…
06-08 16:31:00	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3e52d3…
06-07 19:58:48	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf12a43…
06-07 19:17:28	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xfc24f7…
06-07 18:52:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x7847c8…
06-07 15:28:42	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x37a854…
06-07 15:26:24	bitcoin above 62k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x2677b7…
06-06 11:56:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x0d2f90…
06-06 11:56:09	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4f5c83…
06-06 11:55:58	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x61e4b5…
06-05 18:54:18	btc updown 15m 1780685100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd3ca13…
06-05 18:40:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdc807d…
06-05 18:38:42	btc updown 5m 1780684500	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x83764a…
06-05 18:37:54	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x527a36…
06-05 18:33:57	btc updown 5m 1780684200	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x138dc4…
06-05 14:16:28	bitcoin above 58k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x40ecee…
06-04 13:23:01	bitcoin above 60k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd296b5…
06-04 13:22:42	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc90194…
06-03 19:10:13	Iran closes its airspace by June 8?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc4b4e6…
06-03 02:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa6d731…
06-02 18:22:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe54b86…
06-02 18:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa1ffd5…
06-02 18:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe0b4e5…
06-02 18:12:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x28988b…
06-02 18:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa7aed2…
06-02 08:51:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x87cd0f…
06-02 08:50:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xab0ddc…
06-02 05:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe52813…
06-01 20:13:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8fb0e0…