Large-Automaton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$248

Unrealized P&L

+$21

Hit rate

76.3%

Resolved

161

Trades

1,163

lifetime

Volume

$3.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$38

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 11-04 16:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

66% 51% +$200

Politics

18% 50% +$83

Sports

12% 52% +$11

Tech

3% 25% -$20

Crypto

1% 0% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+630	$10	2¢	$13	+$3	08-20 19:57
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	+878	-$1	1¢	$13	+$13	11-04 16:51
will openais valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 538 161	Yes	+167	$15	3¢	$5	-$9	06-21 20:20
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+79	$0	6¢	$5	+$5	09-03 06:19
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+692	$10	0¢	$1	-$9	05-15 04:28
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+50	-$4	0¢	$0	+$4	05-20 14:18
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+0	-$14	0¢	$0	+$14	07-19 06:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tisza win at least 110 seats	2	$198	115	115	+0	Yes	+$32	04-12 21:59
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	103	$175	12,000	7,500	+4,500	No	+$23	07-23 20:29
will tisza win at least 120 seats	3	$172	110	110	+0	Yes	+$47	04-13 15:26
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	205	$149	27,500	25,000	+2,500	No	+$49	07-24 15:33
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	177	$135	23,500	20,000	+3,500	No	+$34	07-24 14:48
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	171	$100	20,000	15,000	+5,000	No	+$20	07-24 15:36
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	17	$84	3,077	1,539	+1,538	No	+$24	06-09 16:05
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$83	0	100	-100	No	-$17	04-12 15:49
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	2	$73	70	70	+0	Yes	+$53	07-15 20:55
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	2	$70	358	0	+358	No	-$70	07-14 19:36
will tisza win 110119 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	2	$64	210	210	+0	No	-$5	04-12 15:47
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	8	$59	450	450	+0	open	—	06-22 22:50
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	4	$58	192	145	+47	No	+$37	04-18 18:43
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	4	$52	474	474	+0	No	+$18	06-19 20:09
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	4	$51	917	917	+0	No	+$11	07-23 06:48
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	4	$44	1,001	1,001	+0	No	+$14	06-10 12:41
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	5	$43	283	262	+22	No	+$13	05-27 12:59
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	1	$40	849	0	+849	No	-$40	10-07 08:00
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	4	$38	632	582	+50	Yes	+$14	05-25 10:28
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	8	$38	1,178	1,156	+22	No	+$18	05-22 16:08
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?	4	$37	1,398	1,398	+0	No	+$13	05-29 09:02
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	4	$37	1,321	1,321	+0	No	+$13	06-12 09:00
Will Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	8	$36	1,550	1,550	+0	No	+$14	05-16 17:56
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$35	843	843	+0	Yes	+$15	06-07 15:39
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$35	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$15	08-23 22:20
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	5	$35	400	400	+0	No	+$15	05-30 04:23
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	4	$34	141	141	+0	No	+$14	05-20 18:34
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$33	612	612	+0	No	+$15	06-15 23:24
will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	4	$32	510	510	+0	No	+$12	07-18 19:13
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	2	$32	754	754	+0	No	+$12	05-21 17:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 16:51:40	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x581177…
10-28 01:25:57	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,449	1¢	$13	0x44aed7…
10-07 08:00:02	Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	849	5¢	$40	0x0ac4dd…
09-03 06:19:40	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	79	12¢	$10	0x515619…
08-30 09:20:36	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,399	1¢	$18	0x3aeed0…
08-30 09:13:54	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0xf2b749…
08-29 04:48:07	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x9f77f3…
08-29 04:48:01	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xd120d6…
08-28 22:30:13	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xe1ae08…
08-28 22:30:07	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x55cca6…
08-23 22:20:19	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,500	1¢	$25	0xd170d8…
08-20 20:00:06	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xccb213…
08-20 19:57:49	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	630	2¢	$10	0xf15ef0…
08-20 19:55:27	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	375	3¢	$10	0x6a98e5…
08-20 19:53:58	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xef6d03…
08-20 19:52:24	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x62de49…
08-20 19:49:57	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0xacc40a…
08-11 06:26:04	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	365	3¢	$11	0x3c3f83…
08-10 23:10:12	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0xc6e624…
08-10 22:28:45	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x787761…
08-10 20:44:36	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x001c9d…
08-10 19:27:04	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x797b2f…
08-10 18:44:46	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	172	3¢	$5	0xaacfa6…
08-10 18:10:34	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x84f591…
08-10 07:01:19	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0x0493a9…
08-10 06:59:51	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	135	7¢	$10	0x55e164…
08-10 06:57:55	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	715	1¢	$10	0xae8dcf…
08-10 06:53:42	will russia capture bilytske by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0x776504…
08-10 06:45:31	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?	Yes	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0x0062c4…
08-09 02:01:09	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x9e4d99…
08-08 22:15:22	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x745c4c…
08-08 22:15:18	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xdaff75…
08-08 20:10:48	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x548089…
08-08 20:10:42	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x6906d6…
08-08 19:08:39	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc5e975…
08-08 18:03:48	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf0fe9e…
08-08 18:03:24	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x56735c…
08-08 18:03:19	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x1538b2…
08-08 18:03:13	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc2896f…
08-08 08:43:25	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xf99564…
08-08 06:44:45	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd0657d…
08-08 06:26:33	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	1¢	$1	0xc39e6d…
08-08 06:26:21	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	1¢	$1	0x828f1b…
08-08 00:51:04	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x79fc49…
08-08 00:50:54	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x60c1ad…
08-08 00:50:49	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf3b10a…
08-06 13:35:26	Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xa55c56…
07-27 02:50:33	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0xeda6f4…
07-24 15:36:33	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe2a31f…
07-24 15:36:30	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	237	0¢	$0	0xe0afcf…
07-24 15:36:30	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x867531…
07-24 15:36:28	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x9a202a…
07-24 15:36:25	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xe9be2d…
07-24 15:36:21	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xcede1d…
07-24 15:36:18	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	795	0¢	$2	0xb9d5ff…
07-24 15:36:18	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x3538cf…
07-24 15:36:18	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x2308b8…
07-24 15:35:54	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0xd2d786…
07-24 15:35:48	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xf2c4cb…
07-24 15:35:48	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	97	0¢	$0	0x8dfc0b…
07-24 15:35:45	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x110f4d…
07-24 15:35:40	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0637a6…
07-24 15:35:39	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x207683…
07-24 15:35:27	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	142	0¢	$0	0xb64691…
07-24 15:35:21	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x95d01c…
07-24 15:35:21	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x557f05…
07-24 15:35:21	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x42f2b1…
07-24 15:35:19	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x7a840f…
07-24 15:35:09	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0xccbeaa…
07-24 15:35:09	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	158	0¢	$0	0x6abfd9…
07-24 15:35:07	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xc6abce…
07-24 15:35:06	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0x2ec9be…
07-24 15:34:46	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0x1dac1c…
07-24 15:34:42	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	140	0¢	$0	0x3d7bd2…
07-24 15:34:36	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x957d0c…
07-24 15:34:24	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	412	0¢	$1	0xdbfbb5…
07-24 15:34:24	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xd2fe15…
07-24 15:34:18	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	140	0¢	$0	0xb8ed39…
07-24 15:34:13	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x94fc7a…
07-24 15:34:07	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x70a4bf…
07-24 15:34:06	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xe24671…
07-24 15:34:04	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xb05272…
07-24 15:33:46	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xb4b96c…
07-24 15:33:46	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x9da230…
07-24 15:33:40	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe4f212…
07-24 15:33:36	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0x3c8cc9…
07-24 15:33:13	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x367d25…
07-24 14:48:06	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xed2bb4…
07-24 14:48:06	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x8e2f88…
07-24 14:47:34	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x36c9ac…
07-24 14:47:34	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x1a2d4d…
07-24 14:41:43	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	177	0¢	$1	0x42c28f…
07-24 14:33:16	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x907b40…
07-24 14:30:10	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	791	0¢	$2	0x5cfa9b…
07-24 14:26:22	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xb3100e…
07-24 14:24:22	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x373618…
07-24 14:23:24	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xabf56f…
07-24 14:23:22	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x98b2d3…
07-24 14:21:18	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0xcfc008…
07-24 14:21:18	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	303	0¢	$1	0x8ada92…