Realized P&L
-$79.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$368
Hit rate
85.6%
Resolved
743
Trades
9,300
lifetime
Volume
$3.47M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$373
Open exposure
$15.0K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-31 20:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 182 days
Categories
Other
70% 62% +$14,890
Politics
16% 56% -$102,018
Sports
6% 62% +$11,433
Crypto
6% 60% -$3,094
Tech
3% 50% -$203
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -3,194 -$2,984 97¢ $-3106 -$123 06-11 23:12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -2,983 -$2,798 97¢ $-2907 -$109 06-12 14:19
Trump out as President before 2027? No -2,515 -$2,246 97¢ $-2435 -$189 06-11 23:16
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -2,636 -$2,150 80¢ $-2095 +$55 06-28 02:00
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? No -1,284 -$1,241 97¢ $-1242 -$1 10-28 07:37
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,238 -$1,115 96¢ $-1183 -$68 06-19 21:52
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -1,170 -$1,140 99¢ $-1160 -$20 06-06 14:43
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +400 $352 96¢ $384 +$32 08-25 12:04
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No +333 $283 95¢ $316 +$33 05-15 13:37
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +400 $92 42¢ $168 +$76 07-01 21:02
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +0 $54 3¢ $0 -$54 09-03 14:15