Realized P&L
+$378
Unrealized P&L
-$631
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
4,300
lifetime
Volume
$2.33M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$541
Open exposure
$14.0K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-10 00:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
67% 40% $-99
Politics
15%
Crypto
8%
Sports
6% 50% +$477
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -5,000 $-4,885 99¢ $-4938 $-52 06-01 12:15
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -5,175 $-4,399 92¢ $-4736 $-336 06-01 17:18
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -1,170 $-1,140 97¢ $-1131 +$9 06-06 14:43
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? Yes -1,029 $-525 80¢ $-818 $-293 05-29 23:05
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -776 $-750 97¢ $-750 +$0 06-10 04:46
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -800 $-776 92¢ $-737 +$39 06-06 04:42
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? No +382 $360 100¢ $382 +$22 05-29 03:25
Trump out as President before 2027? No -374 $-333 90¢ $-334 $-2 05-29 08:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +200 $170 76¢ $153 $-17 05-27 23:02