Realized P&L
+$378
Unrealized P&L
-$422
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
5,048
lifetime
Volume
$2.54M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$503
Open exposure
$19.4K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-30 22:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
69% 40% $-99
Politics
14%
Crypto
7%
Sports
6% 50% +$477
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -3,468 $-3,451 100¢ $-3463 $-12 06-30 00:17
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -3,194 $-2,984 92¢ $-2951 +$32 06-11 23:12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -2,978 $-2,793 94¢ $-2809 $-16 06-12 14:19
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -2,534 $-2,441 96¢ $-2431 +$10 06-19 21:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,655 $1,550 82¢ $1.4K $-184 06-19 21:51
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -1,170 $-1,140 97¢ $-1134 +$5 06-06 14:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,238 $-1,115 90¢ $-1121 $-6 06-19 21:52
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1,212 $-1,087 92¢ $-1109 $-22 06-11 23:16
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -1,318 $-1,043 80¢ $-1048 $-4 06-28 02:00
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 $-920 94¢ $-935 $-15 06-12 13:19
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes -892 $-856 96¢ $-853 +$3 06-19 21:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +600 $396 30¢ $183 $-213 06-15 13:52