Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

34.6%

Resolved

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$3.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$225

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-02 20:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Politics

33% — —

Tech

15% — —

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Sports

4% 50% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes		-228	$-228	98¢	$-225	+$3	07-02 20:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	1	$228	0	228	-228	open	—	07-02 20:21
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	5	$185	345	185	+160	open	—	03-02 06:36
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	7	$176	196	0	+196	open	—	03-07 05:07
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$121	100	100	+0	open	—	01-30 20:17
will gpt 6 be released by march 31 2026	5	$112	60	60	+0	open	—	02-16 03:03
will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	4	$74	40	40	+0	open	—	03-11 05:09
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$74	80	30	+50	open	—	02-07 01:42
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$64	78	0	+78	open	—	03-06 04:10
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	2	$61	33	33	+0	open	—	02-18 07:08
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	5	$60	79	0	+79	open	—	02-04 18:28
will frankenstein win exactly 1 award at the oscars	1	$60	70	0	+70	open	—	01-23 22:41
will google have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$60	65	0	+65	open	—	01-23 22:33
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	3	$59	62	0	+62	open	—	01-23 22:34
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	2	$59	64	0	+64	open	—	01-24 22:45
trump out as president by march 31	2	$58	60	0	+60	open	—	02-18 06:38
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	3	$57	60	0	+60	open	—	01-27 18:32
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$57	64	0	+64	open	—	01-23 22:32
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$55	65	0	+65	open	—	01-23 22:33
trumprx launched by january 31 2026	4	$54	30	30	+0	open	—	01-30 04:36
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	1	$54	60	0	+60	open	—	02-20 04:57
will super bowl lx have between 120m and 124m viewers	4	$54	30	30	+0	open	—	02-05 23:47
will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by march 31 2026	3	$53	60	0	+60	open	—	01-30 08:28
will kanye tweet again by february 28	4	$49	60	0	+60	open	—	01-28 10:18
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$41	65	65	+0	open	—	01-14 22:42
will kpop demon hunters win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	1	$40	44	0	+44	open	—	03-01 20:08
will cd win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	2	$38	40	0	+40	open	—	03-01 00:57
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$36	44	0	+44	open	—	02-04 03:04
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$35	40	0	+40	open	—	03-06 04:20
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$33	30	30	+0	open	—	02-07 01:38
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	2	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	01-29 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 20:21:13	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	228	100¢	$228	0xf99241…
03-11 05:09:05	will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x90ff3f…
03-07 14:40:17	will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	Yes	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x027804…
03-07 13:46:43	will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xf21efa…
03-07 13:46:43	will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xe46ca2…
03-07 13:46:43	will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc916a0…
03-07 05:07:17	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x8b9832…
03-07 02:43:25	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xbb6f14…
03-06 04:20:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x5f7155…
03-06 04:16:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xe7ac18…
03-06 04:15:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0x0bcd8e…
03-06 04:10:39	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xa7cf85…
03-02 06:36:47	Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	No	BUY	63	87¢	$55	0xc0e838…
03-02 01:28:17	Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	No	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0x5048f2…
03-01 21:48:33	Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x929a2c…
03-01 20:10:39	Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	Yes	SELL	185	12¢	$22	0xcc937b…
03-01 20:09:53	Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	Yes	BUY	185	13¢	$24	0x4ba61a…
03-01 20:08:33	will kpop demon hunters win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0x7f9df7…
03-01 20:06:37	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	38	86¢	$33	0xeb14d7…
03-01 00:57:05	will cd win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x050117…
03-01 00:54:13	will cd win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xe171c6…
02-27 20:48:29	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xcda4f6…
02-27 20:48:29	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xc9657f…
02-27 18:43:47	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x8635a0…
02-27 18:43:33	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x2d29d2…
02-25 03:06:46	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x0387ea…
02-20 04:57:32	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x1c55cb…
02-18 07:08:52	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0x91a806…
02-18 07:03:00	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0x80b24a…
02-18 06:38:46	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xdb7294…
02-18 06:02:06	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x2e37c3…
02-18 05:15:24	will ryan coogler win best director at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xd7fb11…
02-18 05:06:12	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xd817c8…
02-18 05:04:12	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 20	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xbba47c…
02-18 04:45:28	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x715abb…
02-18 04:45:04	will ryan coogler win best director at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x0230d4…
02-18 04:34:04	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x0ef314…
02-16 03:03:55	will gpt 6 be released by march 31 2026	No	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x8bc0ec…
02-15 18:49:25	will gpt 6 be released by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xca431f…
02-15 18:43:43	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x8794d3…
02-07 18:27:41	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x45a0ae…
02-07 18:22:33	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0xcb6c94…
02-07 01:42:39	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x5fc9c4…
02-07 01:38:09	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0xc84537…
02-07 01:37:57	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	30	25¢	$7	0x986f4a…
02-06 17:06:19	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x81b666…
02-06 05:07:59	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x720410…
02-05 23:47:35	will super bowl lx have between 120m and 124m viewers	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x601478…
02-05 23:34:59	will super bowl lx have between 120m and 124m viewers	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xb3dbb8…
02-05 04:01:15	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xaa20cf…
02-04 18:28:39	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0xa1cecf…
02-04 18:26:37	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0xd955f3…
02-04 18:26:37	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0xb375b9…
02-04 18:26:35	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x9a7ff9…
02-04 18:26:35	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x8612ba…
02-04 03:04:08	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x5dae28…
02-04 02:55:48	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xbc1feb…
02-04 02:54:10	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	35	82¢	$29	0x11ce63…
02-04 02:41:48	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0xc94efb…
02-04 02:18:26	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xf58b4e…
02-03 18:51:20	will pcc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x613c55…
02-03 02:20:24	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x2a77c2…
02-02 22:12:30	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	90	93¢	$84	0x6ee3d9…
02-02 06:03:14	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xed7cd6…
02-02 02:07:38	will jos miguel aguilar berrocal win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4bef91…
02-01 21:45:48	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	Yes	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0x4ca9e3…
01-31 05:30:00	us strike on colombia by march 31	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xb34d8d…
01-30 20:31:12	will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb50041…
01-30 20:17:56	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0xf6181e…
01-30 08:28:06	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by march 31 2026	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x862de6…
01-30 04:36:52	trumprx launched by january 31 2026	No	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0xaa355c…
01-30 04:26:30	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x6a394a…
01-30 04:18:52	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7a7c56…
01-30 03:58:10	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x2f654f…
01-30 03:35:48	trumprx launched by january 31 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe158c5…
01-30 03:33:18	trumprx launched by january 31 2026	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x6c2843…
01-29 17:14:20	will lady gaga win 0 grammys	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x8934d2…
01-29 16:00:44	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	60¢	$44	0xf98a90…
01-29 16:00:32	will lady gaga win 0 grammys	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xcc20c6…
01-29 15:51:30	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xae4cca…
01-29 15:51:26	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0x9b6b86…
01-29 15:47:38	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x049fce…
01-29 15:47:36	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x268fb8…
01-29 10:24:30	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xcfff64…
01-29 10:24:24	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x97b242…
01-29 05:41:30	will gpt 6 be released by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x848d55…
01-29 05:41:26	will gpt 6 be released by march 31 2026	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xbd1567…
01-29 04:19:40	will gpt 6 be released by march 31 2026	No	BUY	51	91¢	$46	0xc69bdf…
01-28 10:18:23	will kanye tweet again by february 28	Yes	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x919aa2…
01-28 09:43:07	will kanye tweet again by february 28	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x00c3de…
01-28 08:19:57	will kanye tweet again by february 28	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x344706…
01-28 06:53:25	will india join the board of peace	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xefd8ee…
01-28 04:42:29	will brazil join the board of peace	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x0c0406…
01-28 03:41:57	will kanye tweet again by february 28	Yes	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x29e632…
01-28 03:14:39	trumprx launched by january 31 2026	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x804b29…
01-28 03:07:09	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x6a8240…
01-28 02:06:01	will brazil join the board of peace	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xaebf0e…
01-27 18:32:55	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x992eaf…
01-27 16:48:39	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xb8b1a5…
01-27 11:53:17	will super bowl lx have between 120m and 124m viewers	No	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0xc3fbe2…