Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
77.6%
Resolved
124
Trades
305
lifetime
Volume
$326
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$57
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-13
last 10-26 14:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Other
61% 75% +$3
Politics
22% 83% -$1
Tech
9% 77% +$0
Sports
5% 71% +$3
Crypto
3% 33% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$1 08-17 12:01
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 08-12 11:47
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 08-12 11:49
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +3 $2 97¢ $3 +$1 08-12 06:43
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +3 $1 80¢ $2 +$1 08-12 11:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 09-05 11:40
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 07-19 09:49
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 09-05 11:40
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-17 11:43
US recession by end of 2026? No +2 $2 93¢ $2 +$0 09-05 11:45
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $0 09-26 17:06
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +2 $2 87¢ $2 $0 08-12 11:40
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 93¢ $2 $0 10-16 20:16
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 97¢ $2 +$1 06-16 12:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2 $2 80¢ $2 $0 08-31 12:37
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 $0 09-06 05:15
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +2 $2 73¢ $2 $0 10-20 07:25
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +4 $2 44¢ $2 $0 08-12 06:38
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +2 $1 97¢ $2 +$1 07-15 18:09
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +2 $1 82¢ $2 +$1 06-15 14:08
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +2 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-30 13:25
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-15 14:59
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +2 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 06-27 07:03
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 Yes +2 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 08-13 12:23
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-16 13:01
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-01 07:21
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-18 13:28
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31 Anthropic +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-18 13:31
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No +2 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 06-15 07:09
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-15 08:09