Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
86.5%
Resolved
8
Trades
494
lifetime
Volume
$694
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$11
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 06-30 13:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
42% 50% $-1
Politics
28% 50% +$2
Sports
13% 100% +$3
Crypto
9%
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? Yes -199 $-7 $-3 +$4 06-05 00:17
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Yes -81 $-2 $-3 $-0 06-02 00:02
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? Yes +70 $3 $2 $-1 05-30 23:15
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? Yes +141 $3 $0 $-2 05-29 05:39
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes +180 $2 $0 $-2 05-31 01:55
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +134 $3 $0 $-3 05-27 20:10
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? Yes -70 $-4 $-0 +$3 06-03 17:19
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -81 $-4 $-0 +$4 06-17 17:51
Kurds declare independence from Iran? Yes +33 $1 $0 $-0 06-01 22:55
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? Yes -164 $-7 $-0 +$7 06-06 07:09
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? Yes -40 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-21 06:28
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? Yes -156 $-3 $-0 +$2 05-28 14:16
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? Yes +151 $5 $0 $-5 06-02 10:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? Yes -72 $-3 $-0 +$3 06-25 14:09
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +141 $3 $0 $-3 05-29 06:57
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30? Yes +141 $3 $0 $-3 05-29 02:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +104 $3 $0 $-3 05-27 22:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +94 $2 $0 $-2 06-01 19:13
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? Yes +10 $0 $0 $-0 06-02 08:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes +70 $3 $0 $-3 05-29 00:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes -70 $-4 $-0 +$3 05-31 04:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes +70 $-0 $0 +$0 06-04 06:24
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Yes -66 $-3 $-0 +$3 06-11 15:53
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes -64 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-07 01:36
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-22 22:55
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? Yes +59 $0 $0 $-0 05-31 06:10
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +57 $-0 $0 +$1 06-02 21:41
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes -52 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-08 19:18
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season? Yes +3 $0 $0 $-0 06-02 07:21
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +9 $-1 $0 +$1 06-05 21:48