Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
86.5%
Resolved
8
Trades
480
lifetime
Volume
$666
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$52
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 06-09 14:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
42% 50% $-1
Politics
28% 50% +$2
Sports
14% 100% +$3
Crypto
8%
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? Yes +70 $3 $5 +$2 05-30 23:15
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? No -141 $-4 $-4 +$0 06-03 10:52
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? Yes -70 $-4 $-4 $-0 06-03 17:19
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? Yes -199 $-7 $-3 +$3 06-05 00:17
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes +180 $2 $3 +$1 05-31 01:55
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +91 $3 $3 $-0 06-02 05:17
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes +76 $3 $2 $-0 06-04 02:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +94 $2 $2 +$0 06-01 19:13
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes +74 $3 $2 $-1 06-04 01:23
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +134 $3 $2 $-1 05-27 20:10
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? Yes -164 $-7 $-2 +$5 06-06 07:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes -70 $-4 $-2 +$2 05-31 04:38
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? Yes +46 $2 $2 +$0 06-07 09:42
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? Yes +151 $5 $2 $-4 06-02 10:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +104 $3 $2 $-1 05-27 22:02
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Yes -81 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-02 00:02
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? Yes +122 $3 $1 $-1 06-03 23:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes +70 $-0 $1 +$1 06-04 06:24
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +141 $3 $1 $-2 05-29 06:57
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? Yes -156 $-3 $-1 +$1 05-28 14:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes +70 $3 $1 $-2 05-29 00:15
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? Yes +13 $-0 $1 +$1 06-03 18:53
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +57 $-0 $1 +$1 06-02 21:41
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? Yes +141 $3 $1 $-2 05-29 05:39
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30? Yes +141 $3 $1 $-2 05-29 02:02
Kurds declare independence from Iran? Yes +33 $1 $1 +$0 06-01 22:55
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes -64 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-07 01:36
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? Yes +59 $0 $0 +$0 05-31 06:10
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes -52 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-08 19:18
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +20 $-1 $0 +$1 06-01 22:00