Mundane-League — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

Trades

495

lifetime

Volume

$694

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-30 21:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

42% 50% $-1

Politics

28% 50% +$2

Sports

13% 100% +$3

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

6% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes		+70	$3	1¢	$1	$-2	05-30 23:15
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?	Yes		+3	$0	1¢	$0	$-0	06-02 07:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	18	$29	313	313	+0	Yes	+$3	05-04 17:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	14	$28	378	308	+70	open	—	06-04 06:24
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	12	$26	429	249	+180	open	—	05-31 01:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	16	$25	343	342	+1	open	—	06-07 20:13
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	17	$21	495	420	+75	open	—	05-21 20:20
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	15	$19	280	280	+0	open	—	04-30 21:33
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	14	$18	586	586	+0	open	—	04-30 15:40
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	7	$14	206	206	+0	open	—	05-19 16:56
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	4	$13	220	220	+0	open	—	06-04 21:48
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	4	$13	197	197	+0	open	—	06-06 19:16
Iran leadership change by June 30?	4	$13	140	140	+0	open	—	06-02 20:55
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	3	$13	91	255	-164	open	—	06-06 07:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	10	$12	148	148	+0	open	—	05-08 03:53
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	9	$12	148	148	+0	open	—	05-04 10:48
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	8	$12	250	193	+57	open	—	06-02 21:41
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	11	$11	498	263	+235	open	—	04-23 15:01
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	7	$10	201	129	+72	open	—	04-20 14:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$10	156	94	+62	open	—	05-01 09:23
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	6	$10	134	215	-81	open	—	06-17 17:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	4	$9	164	70	+94	open	—	06-01 19:13
will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	4	$9	132	70	+62	open	—	06-05 02:21
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$9	275	275	+0	open	—	04-18 20:22
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	22	$9	493	261	+232	open	—	05-12 00:34
Netanyahu out by May 31?	7	$8	189	188	+1	open	—	05-03 22:12
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$8	281	281	+0	No	+$1	04-17 23:48
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$8	80	80	+0	open	—	04-14 17:54
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$7	477	333	+144	open	—	04-15 20:15
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	5	$7	96	96	+0	open	—	06-10 14:53
Will Sunderland finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	3	$7	574	574	+0	open	—	04-14 10:08
will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	2	$7	166	166	+0	open	—	06-09 08:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 21:53:25	Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	131	0¢	$0	0x8c614b…
06-30 13:59:23	Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	1¢	$1	0xaa7e83…
06-30 13:58:11	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	2¢	$2	0x8b46ef…
06-25 14:09:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	72	5¢	$3	0x2ebde2…
06-22 22:55:43	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xa21253…
06-21 06:28:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x5ca6ff…
06-17 17:51:22	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x9d81c2…
06-17 17:43:11	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0xaa1b9e…
06-17 17:42:31	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0x61d13e…
06-16 07:01:27	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	3¢	$4	0x5fd1f2…
06-15 18:48:34	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	4¢	$3	0x8a90b5…
06-12 05:21:33	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	Yes	SELL	46	5¢	$2	0x801bff…
06-11 15:53:42	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	66	4¢	$3	0x518175…
06-11 12:50:54	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	83	4¢	$3	0x050361…
06-10 14:53:03	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x006aa8…
06-09 14:47:55	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	83	3¢	$3	0xec32a6…
06-09 08:28:43	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	SELL	166	2¢	$4	0x1b8fea…
06-09 07:59:31	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	166	2¢	$3	0xbfbbe7…
06-08 19:18:54	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	52	5¢	$2	0x81d5b7…
06-07 20:13:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	65	5¢	$3	0xdb1c9e…
06-07 09:42:39	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x10cfdc…
06-07 01:36:46	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	4¢	$2	0x3a676b…
06-06 19:16:57	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x982dd7…
06-06 07:09:24	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	4¢	$3	0x3adc5b…
06-05 21:48:43	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	61	6¢	$3	0x6affbd…
06-05 21:15:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0xfbd3a9…
06-05 21:14:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0xc9d9f7…
06-05 21:09:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	108	3¢	$4	0xcdb956…
06-05 18:25:06	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0xaf935b…
06-05 07:06:10	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x7d3171…
06-05 06:08:03	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xe0893c…
06-05 03:51:00	will meta dip to 500 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	70	5¢	$3	0x3f8519…
06-05 03:34:45	will meta dip to 500 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x05d189…
06-05 03:33:10	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	Yes	BUY	72	4¢	$3	0x4f809d…
06-05 02:21:09	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	62	4¢	$3	0x9e02d8…
06-05 01:41:45	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	141	2¢	$3	0xbb8112…
06-05 00:17:24	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	199	3¢	$7	0x273b20…
06-04 21:48:31	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	3¢	$4	0x3a1f32…
06-04 20:54:42	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	3¢	$3	0x61c157…
06-04 20:22:15	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	108	3¢	$3	0x4615be…
06-04 20:19:24	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xa79580…
06-04 19:41:16	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xfbd2b7…
06-04 18:32:15	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xa7c3e9…
06-04 18:32:15	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x627ba7…
06-04 18:29:27	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	164	4¢	$6	0xa56b25…
06-04 17:44:54	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	112	3¢	$4	0x37c108…
06-04 16:05:01	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	112	2¢	$3	0xaf6f89…
06-04 06:24:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	65	4¢	$3	0xb9b090…
06-04 06:10:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa7f8bd…
06-04 02:56:30	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	70	5¢	$4	0x6a895d…
06-04 02:06:51	Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0xfcf788…
06-04 02:02:37	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x024af6…
06-04 02:02:07	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	63	4¢	$3	0x25f578…
06-04 01:23:13	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0x9c6d17…
06-03 23:06:37	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	2¢	$3	0xc3a513…
06-03 18:53:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x99db1e…
06-03 18:06:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1fe22c…
06-03 17:19:34	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	Yes	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0xd38139…
06-03 13:38:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	70	6¢	$4	0xcb8b87…
06-03 11:10:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	64	5¢	$3	0xbd60e5…
06-03 10:52:14	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	155	2¢	$4	0x35670f…
06-03 10:50:59	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	Yes	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x0d6d96…
06-03 01:36:35	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	83	4¢	$3	0xd9deb1…
06-02 22:26:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x1d2861…
06-02 22:04:03	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x897a8c…
06-02 21:41:49	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	No	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x2bafc2…
06-02 20:55:37	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	70	5¢	$4	0x959435…
06-02 20:52:06	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x14b39d…
06-02 19:38:13	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	88	3¢	$2	0xdcd48f…
06-02 19:32:44	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x2f3a67…
06-02 19:12:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x3dd287…
06-02 16:53:43	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x259d75…
06-02 10:54:42	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x3c9c0b…
06-02 10:09:45	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x20f545…
06-02 08:39:43	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x05e205…
06-02 08:39:41	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x48bd18…
06-02 08:39:40	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x37005c…
06-02 08:39:38	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x68b545…
06-02 08:39:36	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xacfa81…
06-02 07:21:40	Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x2351dc…
06-02 06:47:47	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x8f501d…
06-02 05:17:58	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	3¢	$3	0xfbd3a6…
06-02 04:22:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x4c8d2c…
06-02 01:03:17	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd194f7…
06-02 01:03:14	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x768f74…
06-02 01:03:12	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x152395…
06-02 01:03:07	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xefc08a…
06-02 01:03:00	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x6f2c43…
06-02 00:02:58	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	81	3¢	$2	0x660c2e…
06-01 22:55:24	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0x8707d5…
06-01 22:15:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	99	4¢	$4	0xb8b32d…
06-01 22:00:07	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x665f85…
06-01 21:26:26	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x13314c…
06-01 20:41:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0x07f8bd…
06-01 20:29:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x93d201…
06-01 20:28:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2ac1b2…
06-01 20:28:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xa9a9e5…
06-01 20:21:15	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0xc78f8a…
06-01 19:52:43	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	97	4¢	$4	0x1f1dde…
06-01 19:44:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xa5140e…