Realized P&L
+$8.34K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.55K
Hit rate
71.0%
Resolved
500
Trades
3,288
lifetime
Volume
$352.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$107
Open exposure
$20.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-26 17:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Politics
39% 67% +$2,586
Other
37% 66% +$1,248
Sports
21% 57% +$4,449
Tech
2% 75% +$89
Crypto
1% 67% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,626 $2,416 92¢ $2.4K -$13 10-26 16:16
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,728 $1,833 68¢ $1.9K +$35 08-19 20:41
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +2,323 $1,554 68¢ $1.6K +$37 08-24 09:23
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -8,660 -$1,667 16¢ $-1399 +$268 09-30 20:47
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +1,776 $1,469 73¢ $1.3K -$176 09-27 23:57
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,809 $825 66¢ $1.2K +$378 05-14 11:47
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -7,506 -$1,139 15¢ $-1100 +$40 08-29 08:26
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,594 $869 68¢ $1.1K +$223 09-20 10:42
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -900 -$867 96¢ $-867 $0 10-26 15:51
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -25,343 -$557 2¢ $-634 -$76 08-28 21:18
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +600 $91 97¢ $582 +$491 10-04 01:07
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +542 $518 96¢ $518 +$0 09-28 14:30
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +8,066 $654 6¢ $504 -$150 07-08 18:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +458 $364 98¢ $446 +$82 07-21 19:03
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,907 $143 2¢ $418 +$275 08-14 15:13
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +601 $274 66¢ $400 +$126 05-15 13:46
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +733 $579 54¢ $397 -$182 09-23 18:02
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +493 $276 80¢ $397 +$121 08-12 04:12
Trump out as President before 2027? No -400 -$388 96¢ $-384 +$4 10-26 15:55
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +424 $233 80¢ $341 +$108 08-12 01:54
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +443 $176 74¢ $330 +$154 10-10 01:28
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +700 $266 42¢ $291 +$25 09-19 09:02
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,500 $330 16¢ $248 -$82 10-21 19:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +400 $128 61¢ $246 +$118 06-20 22:43
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes -377 $236 62¢ $-232 -$468 06-30 22:08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -1,500 -$416 14¢ $-215 +$200 06-05 22:38
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,000 $260 5¢ $206 -$54 09-13 16:26
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $166 96¢ $191 +$25 06-11 04:45
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -185 -$203 97¢ $-180 +$23 10-26 15:50
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +200 $94 55¢ $109 +$15 09-25 02:29