Realized P&L
+$15.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$721
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
529
Trades
3,378
lifetime
Volume
$364.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$108
Open exposure
$10.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-07 21:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 148 days
Categories
Politics
40% 71% +$8,821
Other
37% 66% +$1,262
Sports
20% 57% +$4,958
Tech
2% 80% +$155
Crypto
1% 67% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -7,506 -$1,139 26¢ $-1963 -$824 08-29 08:26
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -9,437 -$1,780 17¢ $-1571 +$209 11-05 16:24
Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +4,513 $387 20¢ $880 +$493 09-17 04:41
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -900 -$867 97¢ $-869 -$2 10-26 15:51
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -25,343 -$557 3¢ $-722 -$165 08-28 21:18
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +742 $709 73¢ $542 -$167 11-05 16:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +558 $443 87¢ $487 +$44 11-06 22:43
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +542 $518 90¢ $486 -$32 09-28 14:30
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +13,254 -$154 3¢ $404 +$558 11-07 21:28
Trump out as President before 2027? No -400 -$388 97¢ $-388 $0 10-26 15:55
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -300 -$289 98¢ $-294 -$4 10-30 05:35
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,780 -$13 6¢ $-280 -$267 11-07 20:02
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +1,568 $267 12¢ $196 -$71 07-18 14:57
Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +1,884 $51 9¢ $178 +$127 09-10 20:07
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,143 $34 12¢ $143 +$109 11-06 22:06
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +133 $44 97¢ $129 +$85 11-06 21:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -1,500 -$416 8¢ $-127 +$288 06-05 22:38
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,500 -$140 2¢ $-88 +$52 08-13 20:10
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5,000 -$54 1¢ $-73 -$19 08-17 21:51
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -2,335 -$26 3¢ $-62 -$36 06-05 22:42
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,568 -$20 4¢ $56 +$76 10-21 19:28
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -569 -$137 8¢ $-43 +$94 06-05 22:37
Will New York Giants win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +863 $31 4¢ $37 +$6 09-22 18:42
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +7,317 $63 0¢ $26 -$38 09-13 16:23
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No -918 -$457 2¢ $-22 +$435 06-30 21:26
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,000 $260 1¢ $22 -$238 09-13 16:26
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,000 -$27 1¢ $-16 +$10 07-01 14:03
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,010 $10 1¢ $14 +$4 11-07 01:09
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,000 $22 1¢ $12 -$9 09-17 17:37
Will New York Giants win the 2026 NFC East? Yes +13 $3 52¢ $7 +$4 09-18 03:17