Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.76K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.72K
Hit rate
80.3%
Resolved (90d)
62
Trades (90d)
574
3,263 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$44.6K
$356.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$109
Open exposure
$23.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-02 17:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 146 days
Categories
Politics
40% 67% +$2,586
Other
37% 66% +$1,262
Sports
20% 57% +$4,958
Tech
2% 80% +$155
Crypto
1% 67% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +6,250 $4,354 76¢ $4.7K +$365 11-01 17:06
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,626 $2,416 96¢ $2.5K +$92 10-26 16:16
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,728 $1,833 80¢ $2.2K +$336 08-19 20:41
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +2,323 $1,554 78¢ $1.8K +$269 08-24 09:23
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -8,660 -$1,667 16¢ $-1377 +$290 09-30 20:47
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,809 $825 76¢ $1.4K +$540 05-14 11:47
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,594 $869 70¢ $1.1K +$255 09-20 10:42
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +1,487 $1,243 75¢ $1.1K -$134 10-31 13:29
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -7,506 -$1,139 15¢ $-1092 +$47 08-29 08:26
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -900 -$867 97¢ $-872 -$5 10-26 15:51
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -25,343 -$557 3¢ $-697 -$140 08-28 21:18
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,907 $143 3¢ $638 +$495 08-14 15:13
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +542 $518 94¢ $512 -$6 09-28 14:30
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +8,066 $654 5¢ $440 -$215 07-08 18:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +458 $364 95¢ $434 +$69 07-21 19:03
Trump out as President before 2027? No -400 -$388 96¢ $-386 +$2 10-26 15:55
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +700 $266 50¢ $347 +$81 09-19 09:02
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +733 $579 43¢ $317 -$262 09-23 18:02
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -300 -$289 98¢ $-294 -$5 10-30 05:35
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes -377 $236 74¢ $-281 -$517 06-30 22:08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -1,500 -$416 14¢ $-212 +$204 06-05 22:38
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $166 98¢ $195 +$29 06-11 04:45
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -185 -$203 98¢ $-181 +$22 10-26 15:50
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +200 $94 44¢ $87 -$7 09-25 02:29
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,500 -$140 2¢ $-79 +$61 08-13 20:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -569 -$137 13¢ $-74 +$63 06-05 22:37
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -2,335 -$26 3¢ $-74 -$48 06-05 22:42
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5,000 -$54 1¢ $-70 -$16 08-17 21:51
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,568 -$20 4¢ $56 +$76 10-21 19:28
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,000 $260 1¢ $38 -$222 09-13 16:26