Realized P&L (7d)
+$626
Unrealized P&L
+$1.53K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
53
3,318 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$11.8K
$359.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$108
Open exposure
$23.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-31 13:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 145 days
Categories
Politics
40% 67% +$2,586
Other
37% 66% +$1,248
Sports
20% 57% +$4,958
Tech
2% 75% +$89
Crypto
1% 67% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +5,430 $3,772 72¢ $3.9K +$111 10-31 13:41
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,626 $2,416 94¢ $2.5K +$66 10-26 16:16
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,728 $1,833 78¢ $2.1K +$308 08-19 20:41
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +2,323 $1,554 80¢ $1.8K +$292 08-24 09:23
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -8,660 -$1,667 16¢ $-1425 +$242 09-30 20:47
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,809 $825 70¢ $1.3K +$450 05-14 11:47
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,594 $869 74¢ $1.2K +$303 09-20 10:42
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +1,487 $1,243 78¢ $1.2K -$89 10-31 13:29
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -7,506 -$1,139 15¢ $-1141 -$2 08-29 08:26
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -900 -$867 96¢ $-863 +$4 10-26 15:51
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -25,343 -$557 3¢ $-646 -$89 08-28 21:18
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +542 $518 94¢ $511 -$7 09-28 14:30
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +8,066 $654 6¢ $472 -$183 07-08 18:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +458 $364 96¢ $437 +$73 07-21 19:03
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,907 $143 2¢ $429 +$286 08-14 15:13
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +601 $274 70¢ $424 +$150 05-15 13:46
Trump out as President before 2027? No -400 -$388 96¢ $-385 +$3 10-26 15:55
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +733 $579 43¢ $316 -$264 09-23 18:02
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +700 $266 42¢ $291 +$25 09-19 09:02
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -300 -$289 94¢ $-283 +$6 10-30 05:35
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes -377 $236 70¢ $-262 -$498 06-30 22:08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -1,500 -$416 15¢ $-219 +$197 06-05 22:38
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,000 $260 5¢ $198 -$62 09-13 16:26
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $166 97¢ $195 +$29 06-11 04:45
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -185 -$203 98¢ $-182 +$21 10-26 15:50
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +200 $94 44¢ $87 -$7 09-25 02:29
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,500 -$140 2¢ $-86 +$54 08-13 20:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -569 -$137 15¢ $-83 +$54 06-05 22:37
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5,000 -$54 2¢ $-75 -$21 08-17 21:51
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,568 -$20 3¢ $54 +$74 10-21 19:28