Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?
open
Total volume
$138
Trades
28
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$35
Latest YES mid
40¢
Latest NO mid
60¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-09 16:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-50.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $8
vs crowd: 50% YES on $98)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $48 | $13 | +$35 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $1 | $19 | $18 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $11 | $10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $22 | $22 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $47 | — | +$47 |
| unranked | 5 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | +65 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-05 16:17 |
| Identical-Inverse 0x5c98…a58b | No | +29 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 07-09 16:35 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 16:17 |
| Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | +15 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-24 22:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +15 | $1 | $13 | 2 | 07-09 16:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 07:59 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 22:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xa8c6…773b | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 09:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 16:35:25 | Same-Diner 0xfd45…c05e | No | SELL | 9 | 52¢ | $4 | 0x366865… |
| 07-09 16:35:25 | Identical-Inverse 0x5c98…a58b | No | BUY | 19 | 53¢ | $10 | 0x366865… |
| 07-09 16:35:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 10 | 53¢ | $6 | 0x366865… |
| 07-09 16:33:23 | Same-Diner 0xfd45…c05e | No | SELL | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xe63643… |
| 07-09 16:33:23 | Identical-Inverse 0x5c98…a58b | No | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0xe63643… |
| 07-09 16:33:23 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | SELL | 8 | 52¢ | $4 | 0xe63643… |
| 07-07 22:03:17 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xc21425… |
| 07-07 22:03:17 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xc21425… |
| 07-02 14:37:25 | Untidy-Shrimp 0xa270…5a96 | No | SELL | 1 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x2db70d… |
| 07-02 14:37:25 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | BUY | 1 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x2db70d… |
| 06-24 22:02:50 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xbcd152… |
| 06-24 22:02:50 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | BUY | 15 | 50¢ | $8 | 0x8b7886… |
| 06-24 22:02:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xbcd152… |
| 06-24 22:02:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 15 | 50¢ | $8 | 0x8b7886… |
| 06-22 10:29:16 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | BUY | 0 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x62b138… |
| 06-22 10:29:16 | (anonymous) 0x6f95…70a9 | No | SELL | 0 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x62b138… |
| 06-17 07:59:49 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x842833… |
| 06-17 07:59:49 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x842833… |
| 06-09 09:39:54 | (anonymous) 0xa8c6…773b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xa02e98… |
| 06-09 09:39:54 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | BUY | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0xa02e98… |
| 06-05 16:17:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xf53ac5… |
| 06-05 16:17:27 | Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 72¢ | $47 | 0xf53ac5… |
| 06-05 16:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 28¢ | $7 | 0xf53ac5… |
| 06-05 16:17:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xf53ac5… |
| 06-03 22:53:51 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 3 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x337ce0… |
| 06-03 22:53:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x337ce0… |
| 05-28 16:05:32 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | No | SELL | 9 | 50¢ | $4 | 0xd1fe6f… |
| 05-28 16:05:32 | Curvy-Perfume 0x44b4…c872 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 50¢ | $4 | 0xd1fe6f… |