Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?
open
Total volume
$915
Trades
43
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$35
Latest YES mid
40¢
Latest NO mid
60¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-15 01:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-53.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $8
vs crowd: 54% YES on $582)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $288 | $184 | +$104 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $23 | $53 | $29 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $3 | $25 | $22 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $9 | $7 | +$2 |
| Median | 5 | $14 | $44 | $30 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $22 | $22 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $286 | $170 | +$117 |
| unranked | 6 | $3 | $12 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | +566 | $286 | $286 | 2 | 08-13 00:05 |
| Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | No | +220 | $170 | $170 | 2 | 08-15 01:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +65 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 08-15 01:25 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +37 | $8 | $10 | 2 | 08-15 01:25 |
| Identical-Inverse 0x5c98…a58b | No | +29 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 07-09 16:35 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 16:17 |
| Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | +15 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-24 22:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | +8 | $4 | $12 | 6 | 08-05 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 07:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-15 01:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +4 | $-4 | $18 | 3 | 08-05 09:30 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 22:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-05 09:30 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-30 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xa8c6…773b | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 09:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 01:25:36 | Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | No | BUY | 80 | 79¢ | $63 | 0x5d0ce3… |
| 08-15 01:25:36 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | SELL | 80 | 79¢ | $63 | 0x5d0ce3… |
| 08-15 01:25:31 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x316c8d… |
| 08-15 01:25:31 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 22¢ | $9 | 0x316c8d… |
| 08-15 01:25:31 | Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | No | BUY | 140 | 76¢ | $107 | 0x316c8d… |
| 08-15 01:25:31 | Magnificent-Cast 0xe8cd…b264 | No | SELL | 30 | 70¢ | $21 | 0x316c8d… |
| 08-15 01:25:31 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 22¢ | $14 | 0x316c8d… |
| 08-13 00:05:34 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 80 | 53¢ | $42 | 0xd37e82… |
| 08-13 00:05:34 | Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | BUY | 501 | 48¢ | $240 | 0xd37e82… |
| 08-13 00:05:34 | (anonymous) 0xb5e2…e599 | Yes | SELL | 421 | 48¢ | $202 | 0xd37e82… |
| 08-05 09:30:41 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | BUY | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x08237f… |
| 08-05 09:30:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 10 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x08237f… |
| 08-05 09:30:41 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 3 | 56¢ | $2 | 0x08237f… |
| 07-30 20:12:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0xd92c72… |
| 07-30 20:12:30 | Capital-Union 0xdc4a…dddc | No | SELL | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0xd92c72… |
| 07-09 16:35:25 | Same-Diner 0xfd45…c05e | No | SELL | 9 | 52¢ | $4 | 0x366865… |
| 07-09 16:35:25 | Identical-Inverse 0x5c98…a58b | No | BUY | 19 | 53¢ | $10 | 0x366865… |
| 07-09 16:35:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 10 | 53¢ | $6 | 0x366865… |
| 07-09 16:33:23 | Same-Diner 0xfd45…c05e | No | SELL | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xe63643… |
| 07-09 16:33:23 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | SELL | 8 | 52¢ | $4 | 0xe63643… |
| 07-09 16:33:23 | Identical-Inverse 0x5c98…a58b | No | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0xe63643… |
| 07-07 22:03:17 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xc21425… |
| 07-07 22:03:17 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xc21425… |
| 07-02 14:37:25 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | BUY | 1 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x2db70d… |
| 07-02 14:37:25 | Untidy-Shrimp 0xa270…5a96 | No | SELL | 1 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x2db70d… |
| 06-24 22:02:50 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | BUY | 15 | 50¢ | $8 | 0x8b7886… |
| 06-24 22:02:50 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xbcd152… |
| 06-24 22:02:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xbcd152… |
| 06-24 22:02:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 15 | 50¢ | $8 | 0x8b7886… |
| 06-22 10:29:16 | (anonymous) 0x6f95…70a9 | No | SELL | 0 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x62b138… |
| 06-22 10:29:16 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | BUY | 0 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x62b138… |
| 06-17 07:59:49 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x842833… |
| 06-17 07:59:49 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x842833… |
| 06-09 09:39:54 | (anonymous) 0xa8c6…773b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xa02e98… |
| 06-09 09:39:54 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | BUY | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0xa02e98… |
| 06-05 16:17:27 | Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 72¢ | $47 | 0xf53ac5… |
| 06-05 16:17:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xf53ac5… |
| 06-05 16:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 28¢ | $7 | 0xf53ac5… |
| 06-05 16:17:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xf53ac5… |
| 06-03 22:53:51 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 3 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x337ce0… |
| 06-03 22:53:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x337ce0… |
| 05-28 16:05:32 | Curvy-Perfume 0x44b4…c872 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 50¢ | $4 | 0xd1fe6f… |
| 05-28 16:05:32 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | No | SELL | 9 | 50¢ | $4 | 0xd1fe6f… |