Magnificent-Cast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

-$97

Hit rate

82.4%

Resolved

167

Trades

520

lifetime

Volume

$4.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$139

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 09-01 20:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

44% 76% -$65

Sports

39% 79% -$52

Politics

11% 54% +$31

Crypto

4% 73% +$11

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes		-139	-$40	99¢	$-138	-$97	05-19 03:23
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	No		-1	-$1	95¢	$-1	+$0	08-22 20:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba den gsw 2026 02 22	42	$375	340	340	+0	Warriors	+$10	02-22 23:02
lol c9 sen 2026 02 22	8	$292	147	147	+0	Cloud9	+$2	02-22 23:21
will trump say obama during the state of the union address 686	12	$165	94	94	-0	Yes	+$20	02-25 03:44
nba uta hou 2026 02 23	5	$154	90	80	+10	Rockets	+$6	02-24 03:28
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	7	$152	100	100	+0	No	-$2	02-23 10:05
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$149	100	100	+0	No	-$3	02-25 17:56
Will Pablo Lopez win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	1	$138	0	140	-140	open	—	05-04 21:09
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	16	$138	60	80	-20	No	+$0	02-25 20:28
cbb ucf byu 2026 02 24	17	$125	215	204	+11	UCF Knights	-$74	02-25 04:53
cbb lou ncar 2026 02 23	8	$110	57	57	+0	North Carolina Tar Heels	+$4	02-24 02:09
nba det nyk 2026 02 19	2	$89	50	50	+0	Pistons	+$10	02-20 03:55
will apple announce the iphone 17e by march 15	7	$82	41	50	-9	Yes	+$1	02-20 15:03
cbb lou ncar 2026 02 23 spread away 2pt5	4	$82	41	41	+0	North Carolina Tar Heels	+$1	02-24 02:11
ere sit exc 2026 02 20 sit	4	$80	44	44	+0	Yes	+$8	02-20 21:36
cbb duke mich 2026 02 21	9	$79	100	120	-20	Duke Blue Devils	+$20	02-22 01:30
nba bkn cle 2026 02 19	5	$79	40	40	+0	Cavaliers	+$1	02-20 01:27
cbb msvlst grmbst 2026 02 23	3	$76	40	40	+0	Grambling State Tigers	+$2	02-24 03:33
will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$74	40	40	+0	No	+$0	02-25 20:54
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	5	$73	40	40	+0	No	+$1	02-21 03:11
nba dal min 2026 02 20	6	$73	40	40	+0	Timberwolves	+$5	02-21 03:03
nba mil nop 2026 02 20 spread home 3pt5	12	$63	32	32	+0	Bucks	+$1	02-21 03:16
cbb aubrn okl 2026 02 24 spread away 2pt5	2	$50	25	25	+0	Oklahoma Sooners	+$0	02-25 04:15
cbb aubrn okl 2026 02 24 spread away 1pt5	2	$50	25	25	+0	Oklahoma Sooners	+$0	02-25 04:53
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$48	20	40	-20	Yes	+$16	02-21 05:23
will the state of the union be 150 minutes or longer 871	3	$47	25	25	+0	No	+$1	02-25 03:46
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$45	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	02-23 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$44	30	30	+0	Up	+$4	06-13 22:25
nba uta hou 2026 02 23 assists vince williams jr 3pt5	3	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$1	02-24 05:39
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	4	$40	0	139	-139	open	—	05-19 03:23
cbb bayl kanst 2026 02 17 spread away 4pt5	4	$40	20	20	+0	Kansas State Wildcats	+$0	02-18 04:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 20:47:43	Will Sonny Gray win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x9829c5…
09-01 20:47:15	Will Sonny Gray win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x808053…
09-01 20:47:13	Will Sonny Gray win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x6b4ad3…
08-22 20:39:24	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xea6d24…
08-22 20:38:06	Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xf54e06…
08-22 20:37:55	Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x8a1bd5…
08-15 01:25:31	Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?	No	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x316c8d…
07-09 23:52:53	Will Bryce Miller win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	139	1¢	$1	0x1f36a8…
07-05 10:42:04	Will Max Fried win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	132	0¢	$1	0x42340b…
07-05 02:37:04	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xfb29cb…
06-23 00:04:14	Will George Kirby win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x8dc335…
06-18 03:28:53	Will Cole Ragans win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	139	1¢	$1	0xe068b1…
06-17 03:14:07	Will Max Fried win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf35744…
06-13 22:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xb3c739…
06-13 22:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xfe8929…
06-13 22:38:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x7c628e…
06-13 22:38:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x5d0c79…
06-13 22:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x68ba63…
06-13 22:36:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x732fd8…
06-13 22:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa74806…
06-13 22:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x54e0aa…
06-13 22:34:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x537455…
06-13 22:32:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x8c88a9…
06-13 22:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xb01797…
06-13 22:28:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe45079…
06-13 22:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x58a7ac…
06-13 22:27:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x95df32…
06-13 22:26:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf9a73d…
06-13 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x6eedad…
06-13 22:22:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x23d884…
06-13 22:20:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x74593c…
06-13 22:17:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x356040…
06-13 22:16:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xd8ef38…
06-13 22:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0531a5…
06-13 22:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x393ff3…
06-13 22:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9ad7ec…
06-13 22:07:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x7374d8…
06-13 22:01:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x568c21…
06-13 21:58:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x00291d…
06-13 21:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xe126a9…
06-13 21:51:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xeaa990…
06-13 21:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4568db…
06-13 21:46:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x8f1fb6…
06-13 21:41:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xc679f7…
06-13 21:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa8c930…
06-13 21:37:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x67a984…
06-13 21:34:00	Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x8e4c6b…
06-13 21:33:45	Will Trump Airport become law this year?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x4c14a8…
06-13 21:33:15	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x07fbab…
06-13 21:33:06	Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x108edb…
06-13 21:32:55	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xcfb4d9…
06-13 21:32:43	Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xac2739…
06-10 20:08:16	Will Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x4d504d…
06-10 19:57:33	Will Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x83d273…
06-10 04:00:31	Will Max Fried win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x84b77c…
06-08 00:52:03	Will Logan Gilbert win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	139	1¢	$1	0xab8e79…
06-07 12:37:34	Will Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x84cff7…
06-05 06:25:40	Will Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x60aede…
06-03 10:37:27	Will Garrett Crochet win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x7683eb…
06-03 03:32:51	Will Kyle Bradish win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x66f517…
05-31 13:08:47	Will Garrett Crochet win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x0f0c41…
05-27 17:28:56	Will Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xac92e0…
05-26 00:27:08	Will Kevin Gausman win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	139	1¢	$2	0xf8a00b…
05-25 11:29:19	Will Tarik Skubal win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	139	1¢	$1	0xf090c0…
05-23 18:09:27	Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	39	15¢	$6	0x752dbd…
05-23 18:09:12	Will Kyle Bradish win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0x70be65…
05-23 18:08:45	Will Bryan Woo win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	139	3¢	$4	0x2ffa2d…
05-23 18:08:35	Will Max Fried win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xadc977…
05-23 18:08:02	Will Hunter Brown win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x54c1b4…
05-23 18:07:56	Will Hunter Brown win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf34573…
05-23 18:07:34	Will Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	120	10¢	$12	0x209ce4…
05-22 23:43:15	Will Gavin Williams win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	139	1¢	$1	0xba5d0e…
05-21 23:10:41	Will Joe Ryan win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	139	0¢	$1	0x964b81…
05-20 16:41:28	Will Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x2d8aaa…
05-20 15:28:52	Will Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x4f979a…
05-19 19:45:58	Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	104	8¢	$8	0xe40554…
05-19 03:23:31	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	18	29¢	$5	0xcddc08…
05-19 01:48:34	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	80	29¢	$23	0x508582…
05-18 10:40:35	Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0xba1c59…
05-18 06:48:16	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0x683696…
05-18 06:48:15	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x522a3b…
05-17 21:57:53	Will Nathan Eovaldi win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	59	0¢	$0	0xe0bb2a…
05-17 20:14:45	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	6,833	0¢	$7	0xee556f…
05-17 19:59:49	Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0x7ae614…
05-17 19:59:42	Will Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x942a3f…
05-17 19:58:02	Will MacKenzie Gore win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x3f6ff3…
05-17 19:57:44	Will Carlos Rodón win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	61	1¢	$1	0xb1f747…
05-17 19:57:16	Will Nathan Eovaldi win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0xfbc374…
05-04 21:09:38	Will Pablo Lopez win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	140	99¢	$138	0x3328d6…
02-28 21:23:43	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x16c8e8…
02-27 14:19:01	Will Paradex launch a token by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x261815…
02-27 09:45:47	Will Paradex launch a token by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xcef4f3…
02-25 20:54:28	will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x509a76…
02-25 20:52:06	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x694b23…
02-25 20:34:44	x banned in uk by march 31	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x4d5d17…
02-25 20:28:54	will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xd2d025…
02-25 20:26:36	will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x718860…
02-25 20:12:00	will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x773ed7…
02-25 20:03:36	will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xefd685…
02-25 20:02:34	will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0cbb63…